(H)
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
FA Cup Round 1 Replay
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWANSEA CITY AFC CREWE ALEXANDRA FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Pathé Ndong 8 2 10 Gk Per Holmdahl 6 2 8
Df Enrique Masis 13 0 13 Sw Tommy McGree 13 1 14
Df Miguel de la Cruz 11 0 11 Df Sion Davey 13 1 14
Df Gharib Alami 10 0 10 Df Santiago Castillo 11 -1 10
Df Jordan Cummings 5 2 7 Df Edwin O'Doherty 6 2 8
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard 10 0 10 Mf Patrice Djemba 10 1 11
Mf Khalid Idrissi 9 0 9 Mf Ian Tejeda 10 1 11
Fw Gerry Maclaren 13 1 14 Mf Thomas Robinson 6 1 7
Fw Michaël Van der heijden16 2 18 Fw Erik Strömstedt 12 0 12
Fw Renato Cabanas 11 0 11 Fw Ryu Haraguchi 15 1 16
Fw Yeltsin Venegas 5 2 7 Fw Damien Sanchez 7 1 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
10 0 41 19 50 ROSTER TOTALS 8 14 32 29 36
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 6 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
10 0 41 25 53 T O T A L S 8 14 32 29 36
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.61 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.49 (no red card)
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.64 (no red card)
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.99 (no red card)
Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.77 (no red card)
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.13 (no red card)
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.24 (no red card)
Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.94 (no red card)
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.73 (no red card)
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.89 (no red card)
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.24 (no red card)
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.85 (no red card)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.03 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.08 (no red card)
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.27 (no red card)
Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.25 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.04 (no second yellow)
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.43 (no red card)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.56 (no red card)
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.49 (no red card)
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.86 (no red card)
Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.24 (no red card)
Fw Erik Strömstedt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.06 (no red card)
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.8 (no red card)
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.61 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 1.94 (no injury)
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.86 (no injury)
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.46 (no injury)
Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.15 (no injury)
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.62 (no injury)
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.42 (no injury)
Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.97 (no injury)
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.54 (no injury)
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.36 (no injury)
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.76 (no injury)
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.82 (no injury)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 42.85 (no injury)
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.63 (no injury)
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.79 (no injury)
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.32 (no injury)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.05 (no injury)
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.94 (no injury)
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.36 (no injury)
Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.28 (no injury)
Fw Erik Strömstedt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.15 (no injury)
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.08 (no injury)
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.58 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 16
- Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 6
intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ryu Haraguchi SL 15
- Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 8
intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swansea City AFC 10 0 41 25 53
Crewe Alexandra FC 8 14 32 29 36
Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 21 (53 - 32); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((41 - 36) / 5); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Df Miguel de la Cruz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 2.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 10.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 52.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 35.31 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 39.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 8 14 32 29 36
Swansea City AFC 10 0 41 25 53
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 41)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((29 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 53) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 77.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 54.06 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 0 - CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
Match Notes
That’s 5 of our first 6 games this season, against either Carlisle or Swansea.
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/05 - 8:19 AM
Yup
Roy (Swansea City AFC) 01/11 - 9:57 PM
Mmmmm! I think I will take the win and not try to work that one out.
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/12 - 7:13 AM