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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mohammed Zakari        12    0   12     Gk Valentin Lugn          13    0   13
Sw Toni Meyer             11    0   11     Df Joseph Jones           11    0   11
Df Goronwy Wright         13    0   13     Df Harry Martyn           10    0   10
Df Marek Murphy           10    0   10     Df Joan Hierro             5    2    7
Df Rory Kelly              5    2    7     Df Anders Jacobsen         2    2    4
Mf Andrej Kovac           10    0   10     Mf Arthur Goodwin         13    0   13
Mf Cesar Beto              5    2    7     Mf Issa Daouda            10    0   10
Fw Younes Regragui        13    0   13     Mf Kazuo Kawashima         5    2    7
Fw Mohammed Gyasi         16    0   16     Fw Geovanny Arley         13    0   13
Mf Danny Rose              3    2    5     Fw Victor Pino            10    0   10
Fw Eddie McBride           5    2    7     Fw Gustavo da Rocha        5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 11 30 22 36        ROSTER TOTALS      13  0 32 30 30    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 11 30 22 45         T O T A L S       13  0 32 30 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 8.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 67.23 (no red card)

Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.69 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.78 (no second yellow)

Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.44 (no red card)

Df Marek Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.24 (no red card)

Df Rory Kelly: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.75 (no red card)

Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.83 (no red card)

Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.48 (no red card)

Fw Younes Regragui: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.91 (no red card)

Fw Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.83 (no red card)

Mf Danny Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.44 (no red card)

Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.34 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.37 (no red card)

Df Joseph Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.78 (no red card)

Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.38 (no red card)

Df Joan Hierro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.51 (no red card)

Df Anders Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.67 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.74 (no red card)

Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.98 (no red card)

Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.3 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.05 (no red card)

Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.27 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.26 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 3.16 (no injury) 
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.57 (no injury) 
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.79 (no injury) 
Df Marek Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.88 (no injury) 
Df Rory Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.24 (no injury) 
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.98 (no injury) 
Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.54 (no injury) 
Fw Younes Regragui: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.29 (no injury) 
Fw Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.27 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Rose: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.23 (no injury) 
Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.1 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 85.35 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.13 (no injury) 
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.64 (no injury) 
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.23 (no injury) 
Df Anders Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.15 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.43 (no injury) 
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.25 (no injury) 
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.57 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.16 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.51 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.37 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mohammed Gyasi SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 13

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Arthur Goodwin SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Mohammed Zakari SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 69 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    13  11  30  22  45
  Preston North End FC     13   0  32  30  30

Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 7 (45 - 32) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 86.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Mohammed Gyasi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Mohammed Gyasi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Mohammed Gyasi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 18.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 17.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     13   0  32  30  30
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    13  11  30  22  45

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 30)
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((30 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 45) / 5;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 69.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Issa Daouda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Issa Daouda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 69.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 2
 
Match Notes
drawn against the infamous PNE. Lets be clard these lambs are not easily slaughtered!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 12/27 - 12:54 PM
I see WST is a 2 goal favorite sporting the T11. Good luck I-man.
Dave (Lewes FC) 01/06 - 1:55 PM
not sure how we are two goal favorites here. Did Dave pass Maths at school?
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/10 - 8:43 AM
Late PK was the difference. Me thinks WST wazzzz robbed
Dave (Lewes FC) 01/11 - 2:58 PM
thx for the show of support from Dave. We waz robbed indeed.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/11 - 3:01 PM
Here's an analogy to Dave's show of sympathy...
Allan (Brentford FC) 01/11 - 3:19 PM
...its like when a Crocodile is eating your leg and crying, but he's still eating your leg...
Allan (Brentford FC) 01/11 - 3:20 PM
 
 
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