(H)

Blyth Spartans AFC
Non League I

Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
FA Cup Round 1
Create NMR Lineup S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BLYTH SPARTANS AFC DERBY COUNTY Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Pedro Corona 10 0 10 Gk Fernando Pellistri 12 0 12 Df Bartosz Janas 11 0 11 Mf Rodrigo de Corona 12 0 12 Df Jorge Figo 11 0 11 Df Alex Hassan 12 0 12 Df Kurt Kelly 10 0 10 Df Johnny Müller 5 2 7 Df Duško Bondarenko 8 2 10 Mf Henry Rowles 9 0 9 Mf Smahi Ait 10 0 10 Mf Ike Azeez 9 0 9 Mf Lars Depay 7 0 7 Mf Peder Petersen 7 0 7 Mf Per Alexandersson 7 2 9 Mf Yahia El mostafa 10 0 10 Mf Reece Morrissey 4 0 4 Fw Erik Christiansen 10 0 10 Fw Weston Ross 11 0 11 Mf Reimundo Almada 7 0 7 Fw Saliou Sakho 9 0 9 Fw Jay Mitchell 8 0 8 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 0 42 30 20 ROSTER TOTALS 12 0 19 54 18 0 2 1 0 2 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 2 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 10 2 46 32 24 T O T A L S 12 0 19 54 18 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BLYTH SPARTANS AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 5 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Pedro Corona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.45 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.72 (no red card) Df Bartosz Janas: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 86.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 39.08 (no red card) Df Jorge Figo: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 4.43 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 1.44 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!) Jorge Figo new match skill level = 6 Jorge Figo new match total level = 6 Df Kurt Kelly: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 7.91 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 91.28 (no second yellow) Df Duško Bondarenko: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 20.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 84.89 (no red card) Mf Smahi Ait: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 96.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 92.98 (no red card) Mf Lars Depay: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 18.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 90.29 (no red card) Mf Per Alexandersson: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 0.03 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 54.28 (no second yellow) Mf Reece Morrissey: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 25.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 77.52 (no red card) Fw Weston Ross: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 16.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 28.05 (no red card) Fw Saliou Sakho: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 7.17 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 38.45 (no second yellow) ******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.93 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.29 (no red card) Mf Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.38 (no red card) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.77 (no red card) Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.21 (no red card) Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.09 (no red card) Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.43 (no red card) Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.16 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.83 (no second yellow) Mf Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.37 (no red card) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.56 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.37 (no second yellow) Mf Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.97 (no red card) Fw Jay Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.91 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BLYTH SPARTANS AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Blyth Spartans AFC Team Hardness = 5 - Derby County Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.87% Gk Pedro Corona: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 90.34 (no injury) Df Bartosz Janas: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 27.02 (no injury) Df Jorge Figo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 10.49 (no injury) Df Kurt Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 6.46 (no injury) Df Duško Bondarenko: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 9.06 (no injury) Mf Smahi Ait: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 84.56 (no injury) Mf Lars Depay: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 48.06 (no injury) Mf Per Alexandersson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 36.15 (no injury) Mf Reece Morrissey: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 77.66 (no injury) Fw Weston Ross: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 50.96 (no injury) Fw Saliou Sakho: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 53.76 (no injury) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Derby County Team Hardness = 0 - Blyth Spartans AFC Team Hardness = 5 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25% - Gk chance of injury = 3.12% Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 48.49 (no injury) Mf Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 16.38 (no injury) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 83.33 (no injury) Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 70.32 (no injury) Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 30.0 (no injury) Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 75.62 (no injury) Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 51.58 (no injury) Mf Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 79.52 (no injury) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 84.55 (no injury) Mf Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 24.53 (no injury) Fw Jay Mitchell: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 89.33 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Bartosz Janas SL 11 - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 12 intRndPk = 27 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick) ******* BLYTH SPARTANS AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Rodrigo de Corona SL 12 - Defending Gk: Pedro Corona SL 10 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 53 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 11 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BLYTH SPARTANS AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Blyth Spartans AFC 10 0 41 32 24 Derby County 12 0 19 54 18 Derby County is using Offside Trap! Blyth Spartans AFC Fw Attacks = 3 (24 - 19) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Blyth Spartans AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 54) / 2; rounded up) Blyth Spartans AFC Df Attacks = 5 ((41 - 18) / 5); result rounded up Blyth Spartans AFC Total Attacks = 8 1: Attack for Df Bartosz Janas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 58.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Kurt Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 96.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Df Kurt Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Df Bartosz Janas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 7.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Df Bartosz Janas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Weston Ross Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 75.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Saliou Sakho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Saliou Sakho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 81.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Derby County 12 0 19 54 18 Blyth Spartans AFC 10 0 41 32 24 Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 41) Derby County Mf Attacks = 11 ((54 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 24) / 5; rounded up) Derby County Total Attacks = 11 1: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Mf Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Mf Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 46.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Mf Rodrigo de Corona Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 14.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Mf Rodrigo de Corona Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 94.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BLYTH SPARTANS AFC 3 - DERBY COUNTY 3
Match Notes

Blythe have only beaten the Rams once in the FA Cup. It does not look too promising for them
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/04 - 3:08 PM