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Is it time to rename "WALL" as "COMPLAINING WALL"...again?
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Friday, June 13th, 2025 - 04:23:58 PM (gmt)
 
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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentin Lugn          14    0   14     Gk Bo Norlén              12    0   12
Df Abdul Otu              11    0   11     Df Secundino López        12    0   12
Df Joel Calvo             10    0   10     Df Yahaya Etim             9    0    9
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait        10    0   10     Df Martin Toivonen        12    0   12
Mf Didier Mendy            8    0    8     Mf Cameron Gates          11    0   11
Mf Issa Daouda             5    2    7     Mf Etienne Willems        10    0   10
Fw Eduardo Luna           13    0   13     Mf Fernando Militao        9    0    9
Fw Geovanny Arley         10    0   10     Mf Artem Fedorov           8    0    8
Fw Victor Pino             5    2    7     Fw Yuto Kawashima         12    0   12
Fw Atsushi Morioka         5    2    7     Fw Valeriy Yastenko       10    0   10
Fw Gustavo da Rocha        2    2    4     Fw Bartosz Frankowski      8    0    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  0 21 25 41        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 33 38 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  6    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  0 21 34 41         T O T A L S       12  0 33 38 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.31 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.83 (no red card)

Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.8 (no red card)

Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.51 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.23 (no second yellow)

Mf Didier Mendy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.64 (no red card)

Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.92 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.23 (no second yellow)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.61 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.45 (no red card)

Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.69 (no red card)

Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.23 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.78 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.38 (no red card)

Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.12 (no second yellow)

Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.03 (no red card)

Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.91 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.55 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.22 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.23 (no red card)

Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.06 (no red card)

Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.97 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.81 (no second yellow)

Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.67 (no red card)

Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.55 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 5.73 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.59 (no injury) 
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.6 (no injury) 
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.13 (no injury) 
Mf Didier Mendy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.21 (no injury) 
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.13 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.74 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.47 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Geovanny Arley is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.04 (no injury) 
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.96 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.35 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 55.09 (no injury) 
Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.17 (no injury) 
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.03 (no injury) 
Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.94 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.44 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.51 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.99 (no injury) 
Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.68 (no injury) 
Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.96 (no injury) 
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.61 (no injury) 
Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.14 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Eduardo Luna SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 12

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Secundino López SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 14

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     14   0  21  34  41
  Swindon Town FC          12   0  33  38  36

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 8 (41 - 33); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 36) / 5;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 40.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 32.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 59.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 29.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          12   0  33  38  36
  Preston North End FC     14   0  21  34  41

Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 8 (36 - 21) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((38 - 34) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 41) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Artem Fedorov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 10.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 57.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 91.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 3.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Yuto Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 86.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Yuto Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Yuto Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 47.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 65.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Yuto Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 32.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Yuto Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 88.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 80.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 39.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 0  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 4
 
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