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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hyun Tae-yong          10    0   10     Gk Kuma Morishima          3    2    5
Sw Pathé Sané              2    2    4     Sw Yarik Sidorenko         4    2    6
Df Jerome De Ketelaere     5    2    7     Df Enrique Masis           6    0    6
Df Meliton López           2    2    4     Df Min-Seong Jung          5    2    7
Mf Hélder Carvalho         9    0    9     Df Aaron Turner            3    2    5
Mf Benedicto González      5    2    7     Df Shoichi Morishima       2    2    4
Mf Charlie Maclaren        2    2    4     Mf Matthew Zalewski        4    2    6
Fw Peter Goossens         11    0   11     Mf Aurelien Maitron        2    2    4
Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti      8    0    8     Mf Kenneth Sani            2    0    2
Fw Martin Aguilera         5    2    7     Fw Fernando Guimarães      5    2    7
Fw Ayrton Chamot           2    2    4     Fw Claude Antier           2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  4 11 20 30        ROSTER TOTALS       5  6 22 12 11    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  6  0  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  4 17 20 33         T O T A L S        5  6 22 12 11    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 10.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 81.29 (no red card)

Sw Pathé Sané: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.96 (no red card)

Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.44 (no red card)

Df Meliton López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.8 (no red card)

Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.92 (no red card)

Mf Benedicto González: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.98 (no red card)

Mf Charlie Maclaren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.04 (no red card)

Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.98 (no red card)

Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.0 (no red card)

Fw Martin Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.37 (no red card)

Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.44 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kuma Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.28 (no red card)

Sw Yarik Sidorenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.83 (no red card)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.82 (no red card)

Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.38 (no red card)

Df Aaron Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.35 (no red card)

Df Shoichi Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.19 (no red card)

Mf Matthew Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.11 (no red card)

Mf Aurelien Maitron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.79 (no red card)

Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.57 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.34 (no red card)

Fw Claude Antier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.12 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 44.46 (no injury) 
Sw Pathé Sané: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.78 (no injury) 
Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.24 (no injury) 
Df Meliton López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.14 (no injury) 
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.94 (no injury) 
Mf Benedicto González: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.46 (no injury) 
Mf Charlie Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.39 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.02 (no injury) 
Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.38 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.85 (no injury) 
Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.87 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kuma Morishima: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 39.69 (no injury) 
Sw Yarik Sidorenko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.98 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.58 (no injury) 
Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.95 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Turner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.2 (no injury) 
Df Shoichi Morishima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.09 (no injury) 
Mf Matthew Zalewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.23 (no injury) 
Mf Aurelien Maitron: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.52 (no injury) 
Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.74 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.12 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Fernando Guimarães is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Fernando Guimarães new match skill level =  3
      Fernando Guimarães new match total level =  5
Fw Claude Antier: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.13 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Peter Goossens SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Kuma Morishima SL 3

     intRndPk = 7
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 7 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Enrique Masis SL 6
   - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             11   4  17  20  33
  Swansea City AFC         5   6  22  12   9

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 11 (33 - 22); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((20 - 12) / 2) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 3 ((17 - 9) / 3); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Meliton López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Jerome De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jerome De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Benedicto González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Benedicto González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 79.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 66.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 52.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 76.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 86.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 16.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 35.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         5   6  22  12   9
  Port Vale FC             11   4  17  20  33

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (9 - 17)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((12 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 33) / 3;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 5  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Swansea have always had our number!
John (Port Vale FC) 01/10 - 10:52 AM
 
 
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