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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         PORT VALE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joshua Samed           12    0   12     Gk Hyun Tae-yong          13    0   13
Sw John Taylor             7    0    7     Sw Fokke Taylor            5    2    7
Df Sion Davey             10    0   10     Df Alessio Rinaldi         7    0    7
Df Gabriel Lind           10    0   10     Df Carsten Kragelund       5    2    7
Df Edwin O'Doherty         2    2    4     Df Philipp Vogel           2    2    4
Mf Stefan Boniek          10    0   10     Mf Alain Rieder            5    2    7
Mf Thomas Robinson        10    0   10     Mf Santiago Villa          2    2    4
Mf Patrice Djemba          5    2    7     Fw Reece Gray              9    0    9
Fw Ryu Haraguchi          13    0   13     Fw Peter Goossens          5    2    7
Fw Joel Zamora            10    0   10     Fw Busco Becchi            3    2    5
Fw Slava Levchenko         5    2    7     Fw Adam Vasilev            2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  7 24 27 30        ROSTER TOTALS      13  7 18 11 25    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  7 24 29 37         T O T A L S       13  7 18 11 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.69 (no red card)

Sw John Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.9 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.28 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.02 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.23 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.15 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.57 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.24 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.31 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.61 (no red card)

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.34 (no red card)

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.56 (no red card)

Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.15 (no red card)

Df Alessio Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.16 (no red card)

Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.69 (no red card)

Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.21 (no red card)

Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.11 (no red card)

Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.27 (no red card)

Fw Reece Gray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.2 (no second yellow)

Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.13 (no red card)

Fw Busco Becchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.33 (no red card)

Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.01 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 90.58 (no injury) 
Sw John Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.76 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.54 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.78 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.21 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.56 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.6 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.83 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.68 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.98 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.67 (no injury) 

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 68.29 (no injury) 
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.02 (no injury) 
Df Alessio Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.05 (no injury) 
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.53 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.21 (no injury) 
Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.98 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.19 (no injury) 
Fw Reece Gray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.56 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.63 (no injury) 
Fw Busco Becchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.04 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.54 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ryu Haraguchi SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 13

     intRndPk = 91
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Reece Gray SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 12

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12   7  24  29  37
  Port Vale FC             13   7  18  11  25

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 19 (37 - 18); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((29 - 11) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 25) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Thomas Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 85.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Thomas Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Thomas Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Thomas Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Thomas Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 77.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 74.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 65.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 28.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             13   7  18  11  25
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12   7  24  29  37

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 1 (25 - 24); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((11 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Fw Busco Becchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 4  -  PORT VALE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Very tough season opener but let’s do this
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/12 - 8:59 AM
PV haven't defeated Crewe for many seasons. And we're at Gretsy.
John (Port Vale FC) 05/17 - 10:50 PM
Delighted with that result, if unexpected
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/19 - 8:01 AM
 
 
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