(N)
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SWINDON TOWN FC HEREFORD UNITED FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Bo Norlén 5 2 7 Gk Mauricio Higuain 6 2 8 Df Billy Bennett 6 1 7 Sw Victor Cruz 6 0 6 Df Secundino López 5 2 7 Df Ceri Kelly 11 0 11 Df Yahaya Etim 2 2 4 Df Alan Cole 6 2 8 Mf Etienne Willems 10 0 10 Mf Nasiru Kabiru 9 0 9 Mf Kaies Mhedhebi 9 1 10 Mf Benito Apuzzo 8 0 8 Mf Cameron Gates 5 2 7 Fw Manuel Benaglio 11 0 11 Mf Fernando Militao 2 2 4 Fw Jaime Sánchez 8 0 8 Fw Lennon Smith 6 0 6 Fw Bernd Casteels 8 0 8 Fw Yuto Kawashima 5 2 7 Fw Kaj Jensen 6 2 8 Fw Ricardo Cabanas 5 0 5 Fw Lukasz Dudka 5 2 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 0 18 31 18 ROSTER TOTALS 8 6 19 17 42 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 7 0 18 31 18 T O T A L S 8 6 19 17 42 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.95 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.28 (no red card) Df Billy Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.0 (no red card) Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.88 (no red card) Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.89 (no red card) Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.14 (no red card) Mf Kaies Mhedhebi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.21 (no red card) Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.03 (no red card) Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.85 (no red card) Fw Lennon Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.06 (no red card) Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.46 (no red card) Fw Ricardo Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.44 (no red card) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.19 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.4 (no red card) Sw Victor Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.73 (no red card) Df Ceri Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.53 (no red card) Df Alan Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.71 (no red card) Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.93 (no red card) Mf Benito Apuzzo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.22 (no red card) Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.41 (no red card) Fw Jaime Sánchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.82 (no red card) Fw Bernd Casteels: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.64 (no red card) Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.9 (no red card) Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.86 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 53.78 (no injury) Df Billy Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.72 (no injury) Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.78 (no injury) Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.85 (no injury) Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.37 (no injury) Mf Kaies Mhedhebi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.64 (no injury) Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.17 (no injury) Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.23 (no injury) Fw Lennon Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.99 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 5 Lennon Smith loses 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Lennon Smith new match skill level = 3 Lennon Smith new match total level = 3 Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.44 (no injury) Fw Ricardo Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.17 (no injury) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0 - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 84.76 (no injury) Sw Victor Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.96 (no injury) Df Ceri Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.15 (no injury) Df Alan Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.17 (no injury) Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.98 (no injury) Mf Benito Apuzzo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.05 (no injury) Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.24 (no injury) Fw Jaime Sánchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.01 (no injury) Fw Bernd Casteels: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.27 (no injury) Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.99 (no injury) Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.15 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Etienne Willems SL 10 - Defending Gk: Mauricio Higuain SL 6 intRndPk = 35 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick) ******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Ceri Kelly SL 11 - Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 5 intRndPk = 54 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swindon Town FC 7 0 18 31 15 Hereford United FC 8 6 19 17 42 Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 19) Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((31 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 42) / 5; rounded up) Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 7 1: Attack for Mf Kaies Mhedhebi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 7.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 98.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Mf Kaies Mhedhebi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 16.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Kaies Mhedhebi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 83.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Mf Kaies Mhedhebi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Hereford United FC 8 6 19 17 42 Swindon Town FC 7 0 18 31 15 Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 24 (42 - 18); result rounded up Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 31) / 2; rounded up) Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 2 ((19 - 15) / 3); result rounded up Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 26 1: Attack for Df Alan Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 49.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Ceri Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 69.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 72.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Fw Jaime Sánchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 48.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Jaime Sánchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 42.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 89.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Kaj Jensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Jaime Sánchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Bernd Casteels Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Kaj Jensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 16.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Kaj Jensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Jaime Sánchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 48.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 43.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Jaime Sánchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 35.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Jaime Sánchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Kaj Jensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SWINDON TOWN FC 2 - HEREFORD UNITED FC 3
Match Notes
Swindon need to get a better result than Sheffield, while Hereford need to win big and hope Sheffield lose big to advance.
John (Port Vale FC) 05/18 - 11:56 PM