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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Bo Norlén               5    2    7     Gk Finlay Palmer          13    0   13
Df Abdel Bejaoui           8    0    8     Sw Bryn Gough             10    0   10
Df Secundino López         4    2    6     Df Bassirou Mbaye         13    0   13
Df Yahaya Etim             2    2    4     Df Mohamadou Sy            5    2    7
Mf Mark Davies            11    0   11     Df Hugo Rabiot             2    0    2
Mf Cameron Gates           5    2    7     Mf Jorge Perez            10    0   10
Mf Fernando Militao        2    2    4     Mf Oscar Bremer            5    2    7
Fw Bartosz Frankowski      9    0    9     Fw Syam Arfaoui           13    0   13
Fw Lennon Smith            6    0    6     Fw Nenad Kovtun           13    0   13
Fw Ricardo Cabanas         5    0    5     Fw Charles Sweeney        16    0   16
Fw Valeriy Yastenko        2    2    4     Fw Evaristo Masis          5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7  0 18 22 24        ROSTER TOTALS      13 10 22 17 49    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7  0 18 22 24         T O T A L S       13 10 22 17 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.16 (no red card)

Df Abdel Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.84 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.52 (no second yellow)

Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.69 (no red card)

Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.57 (no red card)

Mf Mark Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.7 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.48 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.59 (no red card)

Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.14 (no red card)

Fw Lennon Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.79 (no red card)

Fw Ricardo Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.63 (no red card)

Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.55 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.59 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.14 (no red card)

Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.17 (no red card)

Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.55 (no red card)

Df Hugo Rabiot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.73 (no red card)

Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.09 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.88 (no red card)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.79 (no red card)

Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.07 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.95 (no red card)

Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.65 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 5.22 (no injury) 
Df Abdel Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.09 (no injury) 
Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.17 (no injury) 
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.88 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Davies: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.86 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.0 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.07 (no injury) 
Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.15 (no injury) 
Fw Lennon Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.16 (no injury) 
Fw Ricardo Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.11 (no injury) 
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.7 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 99.74 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.32 (no injury) 
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.63 (no injury) 
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.36 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Rabiot: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.8 (no injury) 
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.29 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.58 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.33 (no injury) 
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.1 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.59 (no injury) 
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.52 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mark Davies SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 13

     intRndPk = 28
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Charles Sweeney SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 5

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          7   0  18  22  24
  Plymouth Argyle FC       13  10  22  17  49

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 2 (24 - 22); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((22 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 49) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Mark Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 2.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 11.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       13  10  22  17  49
  Swindon Town FC          7   0  18  22  24

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 31 (49 - 18); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 24) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 5.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 17.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 71.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 40.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 26.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 71.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 30.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 25.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 57.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 13.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 1.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 74.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 71.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
30: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 58.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
31: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 85.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 0  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 7
 
Match Notes
I don't know if it will be possible, but we're going to try to be competitive in all 3 matches to start this season. That could position us extremely well in the early goings!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 05/18 - 2:08 PM
Oh wow, this will really help our Goal Differential!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 05/18 - 10:00 PM
 
 
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