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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Wycombe Wanderers
Aires Martins Jr.
 
Bristol City FC
Roger Mendonça
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WYCOMBE WANDERERS                          BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tim Neuville            8    0    8     Gk Alberto Flores         14    1   15
Df Francesco Montella     13    0   13     Df Marcus Bergman         11    0   11
Df Hans Larsson           10    0   10     Df Cadwaladr Lewis        10    0   10
Df Abel Malacia            6    2    8     Df Eugene Goodwin          6    2    8
Mf Sebastian Watts         9    0    9     Mf Isaac Semenyo          10    0   10
Mf Alfonso Rodríguez       6    2    8     Mf Efe Akpan               6    2    8
Mf Sebastian Silvera       6    2    8     Mf Rafal Karas             2    2    4
Fw Mathieu Song           13    0   13     Fw Dafydd Chapman         10    0   10
Fw Ricardo Sousa          13    0   13     Fw Mbark Sabiri           10    0   10
Fw Krunoslav Modric       11    0   11     Fw Bryan Deshayes          7    0    7
Fw David Avril             5    0    5     Fw Ulf Helander            5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  0 31 25 42        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 29 22 34    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       8  0 31 25 42         T O T A L S       16  0 29 22 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tim Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.09 (no red card)

Df Francesco Montella: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.55 (no red card)

Df Hans Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.21 (no second yellow)

Df Abel Malacia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.09 (no red card)

Mf Sebastian Watts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.67 (no red card)

Mf Alfonso Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.64 (no red card)

Mf Sebastian Silvera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.32 (no red card)

Fw Mathieu Song: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.15 (no red card)

Fw Ricardo Sousa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.21 (no red card)

Fw Krunoslav Modric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.85 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.08 (no second yellow)

Fw David Avril: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.04 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.69 (no second yellow)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 63.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 21.19 (no red card)

Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.65 (no red card)

Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.31 (no red card)

Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.41 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.83 (no red card)

Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.99 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.26 (no second yellow)

Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.78 (no red card)

Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.39 (no red card)

Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.56 (no red card)

Fw Bryan Deshayes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.96 (no red card)

Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.68 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Tim Neuville: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 60.01 (no injury) 
Df Francesco Montella: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.35 (no injury) 
Df Hans Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.85 (no injury) 
Df Abel Malacia: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.42 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Abel Malacia is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Abel Malacia new match skill level =  3
      Abel Malacia new match total level =  5
Mf Sebastian Watts: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.34 (no injury) 
Mf Alfonso Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.32 (no injury) 
Mf Sebastian Silvera: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.18 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Sebastian Silvera is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Sebastian Silvera new match skill level =  3
      Sebastian Silvera new match total level =  5
Fw Mathieu Song: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.73 (no injury) 
Fw Ricardo Sousa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.58 (no injury) 
Fw Krunoslav Modric: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.5 (no injury) 
Fw David Avril: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.34 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 72.96 (no injury) 
Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.36 (no injury) 
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.94 (no injury) 
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.93 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.16 (no injury) 
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.91 (no injury) 
Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.36 (no injury) 
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.97 (no injury) 
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.23 (no injury) 
Fw Bryan Deshayes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.47 (no injury) 
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.28 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Francesco Montella SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marcus Bergman SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Tim Neuville SL 8

     intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Wycombe Wanderers        8   0  28  22  42
  Bristol City FC          16   0  29  22  34

Wycombe Wanderers Fw Attacks = 13 (42 - 29); result rounded up
Wycombe Wanderers Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 34) / 5;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw Ricardo Sousa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 70.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Krunoslav Modric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 91.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Krunoslav Modric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Krunoslav Modric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 40.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Mathieu Song
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Krunoslav Modric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Ricardo Sousa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 97.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Ricardo Sousa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 45.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Krunoslav Modric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 35.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Krunoslav Modric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 66.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Ricardo Sousa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 90.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Mathieu Song
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 2.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Mathieu Song
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 59.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          16   0  29  22  34
  Wycombe Wanderers        8   0  28  22  42

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 6 (34 - 28); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 42) / 5;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Wycombe Wanderers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Wycombe Wanderers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 37.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Wycombe Wanderers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 36.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Wycombe Wanderers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Wycombe Wanderers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Wycombe Wanderers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WYCOMBE WANDERERS 3  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Wycombe must win by four goals and hope Leicester also lose. Bristol are through with a multi-goal win or if they match or better Leicester's result.
John (Port Vale FC) 05/19 - 12:02 AM
Just held on to get through. Unlucky Aires
Roger (Bristol City FC) 05/25 - 7:44 PM
 
 
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