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Wednesday, June 4th, 2025 - 01:28:51 PM (gmt)
 
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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Federico Curbelo        2    2    4     Gk Kris Vermant            5    2    7
Df Martin Toivonen        12    0   12     Sw Esteban Martin         10    0   10
Df Dan Martinez            8    0    8     Df Hugo Quintero          13    0   13
Df Hajime Tanaka           5    2    7     Df Tobias Kimmich         12    0   12
Mf Fernando Militao        9    0    9     Df Sim Young-gwon          5    2    7
Mf Artem Fedorov           8    0    8     Df Bozidar Šimic           2    2    4
Mf Gustavo Moreno          5    2    7     Mf Bastiaan de Jong       13    0   13
Mf Virgil Hoekstra         3    2    5     Mf Bertus De leeuw        10    0   10
Mf Toby Llewellyn          2    2    4     Mf Dragan Shvets           5    2    7
Fw Bartosz Frankowski      8    0    8     Fw Aaron Jones            13    0   13
Fw Conway Roberts          5    2    7     Fw Boris Rudenko          13    0   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       4  0 27 33 15        ROSTER TOTALS       7 10 36 30 26    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       4  0 27 33 15         T O T A L S       10 10 36 30 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.73 (no red card)

Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.34 (no red card)

Df Dan Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.15 (no red card)

Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.97 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.69 (no red card)

Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.94 (no red card)

Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.13 (no red card)

Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.95 (no red card)

Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.72 (no red card)

Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.73 (no red card)

Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.42 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 9.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 58.02 (no red card)

Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 99.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 51.15 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 65.46 (no red card)

Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 31.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 63.54 (no red card)

Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 60.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 9.11 (no red card)

Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 69.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 8.59 (no red card)

Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 60.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 74.55 (no red card)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 50.49 (no red card)

Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 94.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 30.55 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 18.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 68.25 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 75.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 64.23 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 10.54 (no injury) 
Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 10.86 (no injury) 
Df Dan Martinez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 77.99 (no injury) 
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 30.22 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 84.43 (no injury) 
Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 31.89 (no injury) 
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 84.52 (no injury) 
Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 65.04 (no injury) 
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 51.39 (no injury) 
Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 36.28 (no injury) 
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 71.71 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 40.77 (no injury) 
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.4 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.81 (no injury) 
Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.45 (no injury) 
Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.64 (no injury) 
Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.99 (no injury) 
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.18 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.61 (no injury) 
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.99 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.32 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.08 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Martin Toivonen SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Kris Vermant SL 5

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 26 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hugo Quintero SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Federico Curbelo SL 2

     intRndPk = 86
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          4   0  27  33  15
  Dorchester Town          10  10  36  30  26

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 36)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((33 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((27 - 26) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Martin Toivonen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Artem Fedorov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          10  10  36  30  26
  Swindon Town FC          4   0  27  33  15

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 27)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 7 ((36 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 67.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Tobias Kimmich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 8.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Bozidar Šimic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 78.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Tobias Kimmich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 1  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 2
 
Match Notes
Both teams will target this game for a win. Good luck Matt.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 05/18 - 1:07 PM
Puts us back in contention but we made hard work of it.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 05/26 - 2:26 PM
 
 
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