(N)

Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes

Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
AP Cup Group (1)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Per Holmdahl 10 0 10 Gk Ryan Vukovic 13 0 13
Sw Piotr Sobolewski 13 0 13 Sw Hamdi Trabelsi 10 0 10
Df Festus Abubakar 13 0 13 Df Pius Issa 13 0 13
Df Ricardo Vogado 10 0 10 Df Shiro Minamino 10 0 10
Df Dominique Coltorti 5 2 7 Df Vitalik Shulga 2 2 4
Mf Óscar Cota 13 0 13 Mf Juan Molina 11 0 11
Mf Mario Pletikosa 9 0 9 Mf Min-Jun Sung 5 2 7
Mf Clement Harouna 5 2 7 Fw Danylo Morozov 13 0 13
Fw Gonzalo Lopez 14 0 14 Fw Farzan Vestergaard 15 0 15
Fw Olivier Havet 10 0 10 Fw Marcos Sánchez 10 0 10
Fw Kalle Ljungberg 5 2 7 Fw Charlie King 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
10 13 30 29 31 ROSTER TOTALS 13 10 27 18 45
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
10 13 30 29 31 T O T A L S 13 10 27 18 45
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.57 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.82 (no red card)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.79 (no red card)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.07 (no red card)
Df Ricardo Vogado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.95 (no red card)
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.05 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.44 (no second yellow)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.7 (no red card)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.66 (no red card)
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.46 (no red card)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.22 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Gonzalo Lopez new match skill level = 7
Gonzalo Lopez new match total level = 7
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.36 (no red card)
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.57 (no red card)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.6 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.98 (no red card)
Sw Hamdi Trabelsi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.88 (no red card)
Df Pius Issa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.73 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.03 (no second yellow)
Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.65 (no red card)
Df Vitalik Shulga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.21 (no red card)
Mf Juan Molina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.12 (no red card)
Mf Min-Jun Sung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.12 (no red card)
Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.25 (no red card)
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.12 (no red card)
Fw Marcos Sánchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.09 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.3 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
Marcos Sánchez new match skill level = 5
Marcos Sánchez new match total level = 5
Fw Charlie King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.37 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 99.73 (no injury)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.8 (no injury)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.33 (no injury)
Df Ricardo Vogado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.66 (no injury)
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.88 (no injury)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.97 (no injury)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.55 (no injury)
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.03 (no injury)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.55 (no injury)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.77 (no injury)
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.68 (no injury)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 46.41 (no injury)
Sw Hamdi Trabelsi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.21 (no injury)
Df Pius Issa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.76 (no injury)
Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.15 (no injury)
Df Vitalik Shulga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.9 (no injury)
Mf Juan Molina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.53 (no injury)
Mf Min-Jun Sung: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.68 (no injury)
Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.59 (no injury)
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.68 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Sánchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.61 (no injury)
Fw Charlie King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.64 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Festus Abubakar SL 13
- Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 13
intRndPk = 96
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Farzan Vestergaard SL 15
- Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 10
intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 10 13 30 29 24
Plymouth Argyle FC 13 10 27 18 40
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 27)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((29 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 40) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Clement Harouna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 61.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Clement Harouna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 8.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Plymouth Argyle FC 13 10 27 18 40
Crewe Alexandra FC 10 13 30 29 24
Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 10 (40 - 30); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 1 ((27 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Df Vitalik Shulga
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Marcos Sánchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 36.39 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 16.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 82.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 19.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0 - PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1
Match Notes
Two sides who, statistically speaking, have both underperformed their expected goals this season. Should be an interesting study in mediocrity. I'll have my notepad ready.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/07 - 7:56 PM
Wow, we get Olmec making (snarky) comments now!!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 05/09 - 2:17 AM

Result no surprise but the score was
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/10 - 8:37 AM
Good match. Two Red Cards!
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/10 - 1:49 PM
A win is a win is a win is a win.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 05/12 - 9:19 PM
However, we will of course protest our unjust red card!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 05/12 - 9:19 PM
Plymouth grind out a 1-0, Boston Rob will take it. All that attacking flair and it's a scrappy single goal that does the job — sometimes winning ugly is still winning.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/15 - 12:03 AM
Boston Rob gets his 1-0 and calls it attacking football. One goal, clean sheet, job done — though I suspect even he isn't entirely convinced that was the spectacle he promised.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/15 - 12:03 AM