(N)

Swindon Town FC
Matt White

Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
AP Cup Group (1)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SWINDON TOWN FC DERBY COUNTY Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Bo Norlén 12 0 12 Gk Muhammed Asamoah 12 0 12 Df Secundino López 12 0 12 Sw Artur Boniek 8 0 8 Df Yahaya Etim 9 0 9 Df Rodrigo de Corona 11 0 11 Df Hajime Tanaka 5 2 7 Df Alex Hassan 11 0 11 Mf Cameron Gates 11 0 11 Df Federico Sorin 5 2 7 Mf Etienne Willems 10 0 10 Df Kwadwo Danlad 5 2 7 Mf Gustavo Moreno 5 2 7 Mf Muziano Doni 5 2 7 Mf Virgil Hoekstra 3 2 5 Mf Ezequiel Araujo 5 2 7 Fw Yuto Kawashima 12 0 12 Mf Yahia El mostafa 12 0 12 Fw Valeriy Yastenko 10 0 10 Fw Stefan Ake 5 2 7 Fw Conway Roberts 5 2 7 Fw Roque Ramos 5 2 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 12 0 28 33 29 ROSTER TOTALS 12 8 36 26 14 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 12 0 28 33 29 T O T A L S 12 8 36 28 14 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.28 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.01 (no red card) Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.22 (no red card) Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.2 (no red card) Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.3 (no red card) Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.12 (no red card) Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.51 (no red card) Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.92 (no red card) Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.09 (no red card) Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.87 (no red card) Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.47 (no red card) Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.19 (no red card) ******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.82 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.64 (no red card) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.82 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 13.27 (no second yellow) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.7 (no red card) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.6 (no red card) Df Federico Sorin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 21.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.18 (no red card) Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.76 (no red card) Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.24 (no red card) Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 43.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.32 (no red card) Mf Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 94.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 10.98 (no red card) Fw Stefan Ake: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 44.16 (no red card) Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.68 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 52.97 (no injury) Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 34.36 (no injury) Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.81 (no injury) Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.98 (no injury) Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.92 (no injury) Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 81.74 (no injury) Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 46.48 (no injury) Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.57 (no injury) Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.47 (no injury) Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 12.35 (no injury) Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.93 (no injury) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0% - Gk chance of injury = 1.5% Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 59.4 (no injury) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 59.31 (no injury) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.21 (no injury) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 90.67 (no injury) Df Federico Sorin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 55.76 (no injury) Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 69.93 (no injury) Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 87.0 (no injury) Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 76.14 (no injury) Mf Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.19 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Yahia El mostafa is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Fw Stefan Ake: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 13.62 (no injury) Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 92.6 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Secundino López SL 12 - Defending Gk: Muhammed Asamoah SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick) ******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Yahia El mostafa SL 12 - Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 12 intRndPk = 3 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 13 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swindon Town FC 12 0 28 33 29 Derby County 12 8 36 28 14 Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 36) Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((33 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((28 - 14) / 5); result rounded up Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 6 1: Attack for Df Yahaya Etim Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Secundino López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 83.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Df Yahaya Etim Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 79.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) ******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Derby County 12 8 36 28 14 Swindon Town FC 12 0 28 33 29 Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 28) Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 33) / 2; rounded up) Derby County Df Attacks = 3 ((36 - 29) / 3); result rounded up Derby County Total Attacks = 3 1: Attack for Df Kwadwo Danlad Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 16.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Alex Hassan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 21.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Kwadwo Danlad Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 11.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SWINDON TOWN FC 2 - DERBY COUNTY 1