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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
AP Cup Group (1)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mousa Boffin           12    0   12     Gk Jonas Suffo            10    0   10
Sw Jakob Petersen         13    0   13     Df Enrique Masis          13    0   13
Df Hans Murphy            13    0   13     Df Miguel de la Cruz      10    0   10
Df Percy Triggs           10    0   10     Df Gharib Alami           10    0   10
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan       10    0   10     Df Rivaldo da Silva        3    2    5
Mf Aliou Sow              12    0   12     Mf Mikkel Hedegaard       10    0   10
Mf Akira Nagatomo          5    2    7     Mf Khalid Idrissi          9    0    9
Fw Vieira Mario           15    0   15     Mf Per Hamann              4    2    6
Fw Sérgio da Rocha        12    0   12     Fw Gerry Maclaren         13    0   13
Fw Owen Jones             10    0   10     Fw Renato Cabanas         10    0   10
Fw Martin Jashari          5    2    7     Fw Yeltsin Venegas         5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 13 33 19 44        ROSTER TOTALS      10  0 38 25 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 13 33 19 44         T O T A L S       10  0 38 25 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.1 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.9 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.88 (no red card)

Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.63 (no red card)

Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.07 (no red card)

Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.34 (no red card)

Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.45 (no red card)

Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.9 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.97 (no second yellow)

Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.77 (no red card)

Fw Owen Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.45 (no red card)

Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.64 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonas Suffo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.34 (no red card)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.03 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.83 (no red card)

Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.28 (no red card)

Df Rivaldo da Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.5 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.98 (no red card)

Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.09 (no red card)

Mf Per Hamann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.4 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.72 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.59 (no red card)

Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.59 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.63 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 43.39 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.65 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.82 (no injury) 
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.21 (no injury) 
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.97 (no injury) 
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.72 (no injury) 
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.82 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Akira Nagatomo is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.91 (no injury) 
Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.51 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.82 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.28 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jonas Suffo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 77.63 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.87 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.49 (no injury) 
Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.17 (no injury) 
Df Rivaldo da Silva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.12 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.37 (no injury) 
Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.21 (no injury) 
Mf Per Hamann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.1 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.98 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.46 (no injury) 
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.8 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Vieira Mario SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Suffo SL 10

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Enrique Masis SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 12

     intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          12  13  33  19  44
  Swansea City AFC         10   0  38  25  30

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 6 (44 - 38); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((33 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 77.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 41.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 27.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 94.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 12.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         10   0  38  25  30
  Lincoln City FC          12  13  33  19  44

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 33)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 3 ((25 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 44) / 5;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 62.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Per Hamann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 41.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 2  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
We know Roy primarily now as the KING of the SEC in TMVL, hopefully he is distracted by efforts there.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 01/04 - 3:58 PM
 
 
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