(N)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
Watford
James Tucker
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION WATFORD
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Emilio Jimenez 5 2 7 Gk Mads Frost 14 1 15
Sw Bradley Perry 8 0 8 Sw Nico Lehmann 10 1 11
Df Marc-Vivien Djemba 6 0 6 Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 17 1 18
Df Ali Chukwu 5 2 7 Df Shoichi Morita 12 1 13
Df Dariusz Kaminski 2 2 4 Df José Mendes 6 2 8
Mf Tammaro Pedrini 8 0 8 Fw Dmitry Soroka 12 0 12
Mf Boris Perisic 5 2 7 Mf Aidan Maddison 12 0 12
Mf Ogunsakin Okafor 2 2 4 Mf Oliwer Säfström 9 1 10
Mf William Ejide 2 2 4 Fw Djonno De boer 13 1 14
Fw Michaël Fellaini 7 2 9 Fw Vitalik Semenyuk 10 1 11
Fw Noman Sellimi 2 2 4 Fw Takao Soma 9 1 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
7 8 17 23 13 ROSTER TOTALS 15 11 39 22 47
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
7 8 17 23 13 T O T A L S 18 11 39 22 48
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Emilio Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.65 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.62 (no red card)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.44 (no red card)
Df Marc-Vivien Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.63 (no red card)
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.34 (no red card)
Df Dariusz Kaminski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.21 (no red card)
Mf Tammaro Pedrini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.05 (no red card)
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.43 (no red card)
Mf Ogunsakin Okafor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.04 (no red card)
Mf William Ejide: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.59 (no red card)
Fw Michaël Fellaini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.4 (no red card)
Fw Noman Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.01 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.46 (no second yellow)
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.67 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.28 (no red card)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.31 (no red card)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.08 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.8 (no red card)
Df José Mendes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.46 (no red card)
Fw Dmitry Soroka: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.78 (no red card)
Mf Aidan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.43 (no red card)
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.42 (no red card)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.15 (no red card)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.47 (no red card)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.39 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Emilio Jimenez: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 34.6 (no injury)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.17 (no injury)
Df Marc-Vivien Djemba: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.74 (no injury)
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.59 (no injury)
Df Dariusz Kaminski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.57 (no injury)
Mf Tammaro Pedrini: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.47 (no injury)
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.01 (no injury)
Mf Ogunsakin Okafor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.69 (no injury)
Mf William Ejide: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.87 (no injury)
Fw Michaël Fellaini: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.17 (no injury)
Fw Noman Sellimi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.41 (no injury)
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 70.62 (no injury)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.08 (no injury)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.53 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.36 (no injury)
Df José Mendes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.01 (no injury)
Fw Dmitry Soroka: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.7 (no injury)
Mf Aidan Maddison: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.8 (no injury)
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.96 (no injury)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.87 (no injury)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.69 (no injury)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.51 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Tammaro Pedrini SL 8
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mykhailo Pavlyuk SL 17
- Defending Gk: Emilio Jimenez SL 5
intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 7 8 17 23 13
Watford 18 11 39 22 48
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 39)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((17 - 48) / 3; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Mf Tammaro Pedrini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 18 11 39 22 48
Brighton & Hove Albion 7 8 17 23 13
Watford Fw Attacks = 31 (48 - 17); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 23) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 9 ((39 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 40
1: Attack for Df Shoichi Morita
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 55.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 12.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 94.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Df Shoichi Morita
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 22.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 1.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 58.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 32.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 70.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
19: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 87.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
21: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 26.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 45.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 37.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw Dmitry Soroka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Dmitry Soroka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Dmitry Soroka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 27.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
29: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target)
30: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 12.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
31: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
32: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
34: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 86.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
36: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 38.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
37: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
38: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
39: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 99.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
40: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0 - WATFORD 6
Match Notes
We’ve not made it past the group stage since S48. 🤮
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/11 - 11:34 AM
Watford bringing their trademark chaos to a neutral ground. Brighton will likely dissect them with their usual precision — should be efficient rather than entertaining.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/12 - 6:30 PM ❤1
That's high praise for Brian from Olmec Head Marcus...
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/14 - 10:12 PM
B-Squared loves his cup runs but JT's Watford won't roll over on a neutral pitch. Should be a proper battle this one.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/15 - 12:03 AM
B-Squared's unpredictability is genuinely interesting on paper. Whether it translates without a crowd pulling for either side is the more relevant question today.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/15 - 12:03 AM
Was there ever a doubt?
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/16 - 11:20 PM
The result you needed James. Go get that trophy!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/16 - 11:21 PM
Six goals conceded at a neutral venue. Beerman's renaissance men apparently decided this was the chapter where the protagonist loses badly.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/17 - 12:08 AM ❤1
I thought this would be a tough one, but the Renaissance men had other ideas. Can I claim back the 3 GPP for my GK as he had nothing to do?
James (Watford) 05/18 - 12:35 PM