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Watford
James Tucker
 
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Roy Rolsten
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mads Frost             13    0   13     Gk Pathé Ndong            10    0   10
Sw Nico Lehmann           10    0   10     Df Munir Hamdallah        11    0   11
Df Keita Hattori          13    0   13     Df Jordan Cummings        11    0   11
Df Shoichi Morita         12    0   12     Df Min-Seong Jung         10    0   10
Df Oskar Qvist             9    0    9     Df Shoichi Morishima       5    2    7
Df José Mendes             5    2    7     Mf Kwasi Twumasi          12    0   12
Df Blaise Amiel            2    2    4     Mf Matthew Zalewski        8    0    8
Mf Callum Rowles           8    0    8     Fw Dario Vasilj           13    0   13
Mf Octavio Barbosa         5    2    7     Fw Yeltsin Venegas        16    0   16
Fw Yassine Aloui           5    2    7     Fw Fernando Guimarães     10    0   10
Fw Trefor Lloyd            5    2    7     Fw Renato Cabanas         10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 10 45 15 14        ROSTER TOTALS      10  0 39 20 49    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  7  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 10 45 22 14         T O T A L S       10  0 39 20 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.3 (no red card)

Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.64 (no red card)

Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.2 (no red card)

Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.86 (no red card)

Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.75 (no red card)

Df José Mendes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.61 (no red card)

Df Blaise Amiel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.28 (no red card)

Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.82 (no red card)

Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.98 (no red card)

Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.41 (no red card)

Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.87 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.18 (no red card)

Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.5 (no red card)

Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.18 (no second yellow)

Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.51 (no red card)

Df Shoichi Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.67 (no red card)

Mf Kwasi Twumasi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.18 (no red card)

Mf Matthew Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.03 (no red card)

Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.35 (no red card)

Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.77 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.52 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.26 (no injury) 
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.39 (no injury) 
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.29 (no injury) 
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.9 (no injury) 
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.31 (no injury) 
Df José Mendes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.4 (no injury) 
Df Blaise Amiel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.12 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.02 (no injury) 
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.64 (no injury) 
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.88 (no injury) 
Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.19 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 67.74 (no injury) 
Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.13 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.58 (no injury) 
Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.93 (no injury) 
Df Shoichi Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.2 (no injury) 
Mf Kwasi Twumasi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.65 (no injury) 
Mf Matthew Zalewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.01 (no injury) 
Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.4 (no injury) 
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.51 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.63 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.41 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Keita Hattori SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 10

     intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Yeltsin Venegas SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 13

     intRndPk = 45
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  13  10  45  22  14
  Swansea City AFC         10   0  39  20  49

Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 39)
Watford Mf Attacks = 1 ((22 - 20) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Octavio Barbosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 15.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         10   0  39  20  49
  Watford                  13  10  45  22  14

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 4 (49 - 45); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 5 ((39 - 14) / 5); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Munir Hamdallah
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 42.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Min-Seong Jung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 15.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Shoichi Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Munir Hamdallah
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 30.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 0  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Should have scored
Roy (Swansea City AFC) 05/10 - 6:49 AM  
 
 
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