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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            LINCOLN CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Maciej Piechniczek     12    0   12     Gk Mousa Boffin           12    0   12
Sw Yerry Azofeifa         12    0   12     Sw Jakob Petersen         10    0   10
Df Júlio Casemiro         11    0   11     Df William Baker          12    0   12
Df Gonçalo Cancelo        10    0   10     Df Hans Murphy            10    0   10
Mf Søren Jacobsen         10    0   10     Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug     9    0    9
Mf Luis Fati               9    0    9     Df Goran Butina            8    0    8
Fw Sebastian Zielinski    13    0   13     Mf Weston Williamson      13    0   13
Fw Granit Wicky           13    0   13     Mf Babou Kebe              5    2    7
Fw Tim Scholz             16    0   16     Fw Sérgio da Rocha        13    0   13
Fw Michal Buncol          11    0   11     Fw Jay Hanny              16    0   16
Fw Valentyn Shulga        10    0   10     Fw Owen Jones              5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 12 21 19 63        ROSTER TOTALS      12 10 39 20 36    
       0  0  0  2  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 12 21 21 63         T O T A L S       12 10 39 20 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.84 (no red card)

Sw Yerry Azofeifa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.24 (no red card)

Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.58 (no red card)

Df Gonçalo Cancelo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 26.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 95.24 (no red card)

Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 75.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.55 (no red card)

Mf Luis Fati: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 30.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 50.59 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 88.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.72 (no red card)

Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.16 (no red card)

Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.17 (no red card)

Fw Michal Buncol: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 68.11 (no red card)

Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 48.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.61 (no red card)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.47 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.68 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.05 (no second yellow)

Df William Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.59 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.97 (no red card)

Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.72 (no red card)

Df Goran Butina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.38 (no red card)

Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.49 (no red card)

Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.45 (no red card)

Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.06 (no red card)

Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.89 (no second yellow)

Fw Owen Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.35 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 2
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 30.2 (no injury) 
Sw Yerry Azofeifa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 30.72 (no injury) 
Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 64.4 (no injury) 
Df Gonçalo Cancelo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.42 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Gonçalo Cancelo is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.97 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Fati: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.14 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 48.91 (no injury) 
Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 34.15 (no injury) 
Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 70.61 (no injury) 
Fw Michal Buncol: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 56.35 (no injury) 
Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.06 (no injury) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 69.12 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.17 (no injury) 
Df William Baker: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.33 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 73.09 (no injury) 
Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.41 (no injury) 
Df Goran Butina: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.74 (no injury) 
Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.44 (no injury) 
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 85.98 (no injury) 
Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 36.62 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 5.48 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Jones: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.37 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tim Scholz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 12

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jay Hanny SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Maciej Piechniczek SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          12  12  21  21  63
  Lincoln City FC          12  10  39  20  36

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 24 (63 - 39); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 1 ((21 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Mf Søren Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Michal Buncol
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 32.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 44.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 43.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 45.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 91.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Michal Buncol
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 79.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 78.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Michal Buncol
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Michal Buncol
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 38.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          12  10  39  20  36
  Tranmere Rovers          12  12  21  21  63

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 15 (36 - 21); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Owen Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Owen Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 27.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 59.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 3  -  LINCOLN CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Been grouped with TRA a lot in the AP in recent years, we must be on the wrong side of THE OLMEC.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 05/18 - 1:37 PM
Not quite as bad here for our GK, but still fairly terrible (3 of 8 shots on goal were goals).
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 05/18 - 6:43 PM
 
 
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