(N)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Xavier Lambert 14 1 15 Gk Ryan Vukovic 6 2 8
Sw Cristhian Dybala 11 0 11 Sw Bryn Gough 13 1 14
Df Toshihiro Nakamura 13 0 13 Df Nestor Omlin 13 0 13
Df Jacob Beynon 10 1 11 Df Mohamadou Sy 10 2 12
Df Eirwyn Davey 5 2 7 Df Leonardo Marino 6 1 7
Mf Jacek Frankowski 13 0 13 Mf Jorge Perez 13 0 13
Mf Aliyu Edet 5 2 7 Mf Faustino Verón 6 2 8
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 15 0 15 Fw Si-Won Min-woo 13 0 13
Fw Javier Gimenez 10 1 11 Fw Syam Arfaoui 16 0 16
Fw Salem Bejaoui 10 0 10 Fw Nenad Kovtun 10 0 10
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 5 2 7 Fw Farzan Vestergaard 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
15 11 31 20 43 ROSTER TOTALS 8 14 32 21 47
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 11 31 20 43 T O T A L S 8 14 32 21 47
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.15 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.18 (no red card)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.43 (no red card)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.9 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.92 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.42 (no red card)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.44 (no red card)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.83 (no red card)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.92 (no red card)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.4 (no red card)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.54 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.51 (no red card)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.16 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.34 (no red card)
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.16 (no red card)
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.75 (no red card)
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.3 (no red card)
Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.9 (no red card)
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.79 (no red card)
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.91 (no red card)
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.13 (no red card)
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.05 (no red card)
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.82 (no red card)
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.09 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 72.76 (no injury)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.72 (no injury)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.02 (no injury)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.58 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.62 (no injury)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.42 (no injury)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.57 (no injury)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.9 (no injury)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.43 (no injury)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.85 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.44 (no injury)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 16.63 (no injury)
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.25 (no injury)
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.73 (no injury)
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.13 (no injury)
Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.08 (no injury)
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.47 (no injury)
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.35 (no injury)
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.31 (no injury)
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.28 (no injury)
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.26 (no injury)
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.3 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Takeshi Fukunishi SL 15
- Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 6
intRndPk = 52
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Syam Arfaoui SL 16
- Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 14
intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 17 11 31 20 43
Plymouth Argyle FC 8 14 32 21 47
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 11 (43 - 32); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 21) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 47) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 8.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 67.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 56.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 14.8 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Plymouth Argyle FC 8 14 32 21 47
Carlisle United 17 11 31 20 43
Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 16 (47 - 31); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((21 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 43) / 3; rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Mf Faustino Verón
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 56.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 81.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.9 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 1 - PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 2
Match Notes
Both teams thru with a win. Plymouth thru with a draw. Carlisle thru in a draw if Crewe lose by five or more. Plymouth also thru in a loss if Crewe lose by three more goals.
John (Port Vale FC) 01/05 - 3:13 AM
Cheers, John - my head was starting to hurt analysing the various permutations.
Dave (Carlisle United) 01/11 - 12:41 AM
All I heard is we're through with a win. Done.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/11 - 3:29 PM
You're through with a win.
Dave (Carlisle United) 01/12 - 2:09 AM
We couldn't ask for a better result, especially with the GK situation we had this session.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/18 - 3:04 AM