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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Carlisle United
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            CARDIFF CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Xavier Lambert         11    2   13     Gk Federico Acuña         10    0   10
Sw Ramires Jesus           5    2    7     Sw David Lemaigre          6    2    8
Df Owen Sansom             9    0    9     Df Hrvoje Livaja           8    1    9
Df Jacob Beynon            5    2    7     Df Heorhiy Kirichenko      6    2    8
Df Eirwyn Davey            2    2    4     Mf Ramzi Riahi            10    1   11
Mf Duško Kolomyets        10    1   11     Mf Jeong Yong              6    2    8
Mf Marcus Teulet           5    2    7     Mf Artur Zalewski          2    2    4
Mf Aliyu Edet              2    2    4     Fw Mason Johnston          7    0    7
Df Salem Bejaoui          10    1   11     Fw Gaëtan Chair            6    2    8
Fw Javier Gimenez          5    2    7     Fw Ben Davidson            6    1    7
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek      2    2    4     Fw Arouna Geremi           5    1    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  7 31 22 11        ROSTER TOTALS      10  8 17 23 28    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  7  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  7 38 22 11         T O T A L S       10  8 17 23 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.96 (no red card)

Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.2 (no red card)

Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.46 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.76 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.83 (no red card)

Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.41 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.13 (no red card)

Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.18 (no red card)

Df Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.15 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.91 (no red card)

Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.91 (no red card)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Federico Acuña: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.14 (no red card)

Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.49 (no red card)

Df Hrvoje Livaja: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.97 (no red card)

Df Heorhiy Kirichenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.34 (no red card)

Mf Ramzi Riahi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.97 (no red card)

Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.72 (no red card)

Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.27 (no red card)

Fw Mason Johnston: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.73 (no red card)

Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.6 (no red card)

Fw Ben Davidson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.52 (no red card)

Fw Arouna Geremi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.62 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 88.31 (no injury) 
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.92 (no injury) 
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.99 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.28 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.58 (no injury) 
Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.22 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.45 (no injury) 
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.69 (no injury) 
Df Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.09 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.25 (no injury) 
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.3 (no injury) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Federico Acuña: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 87.99 (no injury) 
Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.4 (no injury) 
Df Hrvoje Livaja: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.19 (no injury) 
Df Heorhiy Kirichenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.45 (no injury) 
Mf Ramzi Riahi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.42 (no injury) 
Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.8 (no injury) 
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.88 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Johnston: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.32 (no injury) 
Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.88 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Davidson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.15 (no injury) 
Fw Arouna Geremi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.13 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Duško Kolomyets SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Federico Acuña SL 10

     intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ramzi Riahi SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 11

     intRndPk = 97
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          13   7  38  22  11
  Cardiff City FC          10   8  17  23  28

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (11 - 17)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 2 ((38 - 28) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 58.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 85.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          10   8  17  23  28
  Carlisle United          13   7  38  22  11

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 38)
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 2 ((17 - 11) / 3); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Heorhiy Kirichenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Heorhiy Kirichenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ramzi Riahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 1  -  CARDIFF CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Cardiff are out. Carlisle must win, hope Dorchester lose, and make up the goal difference.
John (Port Vale FC) 05/19 - 12:04 AM
This game was pointless I couldn’t qualify but well done Carlisle
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 05/25 - 6:38 PM
A confidence booster for some of the younger players, but little else to take away from this drab encounter.
Dave (Carlisle United) 05/26 - 7:14 AM
 
 
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