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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 49 // Landing
 
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Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HEREFORD UNITED FC                         PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Raymond Hamadou         5    2    7     Gk Ryan Vukovic            5    2    7
Sw Patrizio Viviani        5    2    7     Df Nestor Omlin           13    0   13
Df Tyler Long              9    0    9     Df Bassirou Mbaye         11    0   11
Df Ceri Kelly              7    0    7     Df Robert Bak              5    2    7
Df Hans LecLercq           6    0    6     Mf Jorge Perez            13    0   13
Df Seny Sarr               5    2    7     Mf Tatsuo Itakura         11    0   11
Mf Blaise Akanji           5    2    7     Mf Oscar Bremer           10    0   10
Mf Filip Kramaric          5    2    7     Mf Khaled Balhadj          8    0    8
Fw Lukasz Dudka           10    0   10     Mf Faustino Verón          5    2    7
Fw Kaj Jensen             10    0   10     Fw Si-Won Min-woo         13    0   13
Fw Manuel Benaglio        10    0   10     Fw Farzan Vestergaard      5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7  7 29 14 30        ROSTER TOTALS       7  0 31 49 20    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7  7 29 14 30         T O T A L S        7  0 31 49 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Raymond Hamadou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.21 (no red card)

Sw Patrizio Viviani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.58 (no red card)

Df Tyler Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.43 (no red card)

Df Ceri Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.02 (no red card)

Df Hans LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.04 (no red card)

Df Seny Sarr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.67 (no red card)

Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.4 (no red card)

Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.36 (no red card)

Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.63 (no red card)

Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.09 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.39 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.89 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.04 (no red card)

Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.54 (no red card)

Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.02 (no red card)

Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.5 (no red card)

Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.83 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.42 (no red card)

Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.4 (no red card)

Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.93 (no red card)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.61 (no red card)

Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.78 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Raymond Hamadou: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.32 (no injury) 
Sw Patrizio Viviani: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.23 (no injury) 
Df Tyler Long: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.18 (no injury) 
Df Ceri Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.72 (no injury) 
Df Hans LecLercq: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.11 (no injury) 
Df Seny Sarr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.82 (no injury) 
Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.42 (no injury) 
Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.58 (no injury) 
Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.49 (no injury) 
Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.82 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.18 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 4.4 (no injury) 
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.98 (no injury) 
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.41 (no injury) 
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.09 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Robert Bak is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.57 (no injury) 
Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.24 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.48 (no injury) 
Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.65 (no injury) 
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.11 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.92 (no injury) 
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.2 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lukasz Dudka SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 5

     intRndPk = 3
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nestor Omlin SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Raymond Hamadou SL 5

     intRndPk = 21
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       7   7  29  14  30
  Plymouth Argyle FC       7   0  31  49  20

Plymouth Argyle FC is using Offside Trap!
Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 31)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 49) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 3 ((29 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Tyler Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 26.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Ceri Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 79.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Seny Sarr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 2.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       7   0  31  49  20
  Hereford United FC       7   7  29  14  30

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 29)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 18 ((49 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 1 ((31 - 30) / 5); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Bassirou Mbaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 61.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 46.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 36.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 15.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 82.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Faustino Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 12.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 83.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 81.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HEREFORD UNITED FC 2  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 4
 
Match Notes
The first two matches in the AP Cup are always a race to 4 points. If you can manage 4 points in the first two matches, you are in a really good position to advance.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/04 - 3:27 PM
The PK was unfair and uncalled for. But solid tactics saw us through the day!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/05 - 3:04 AM
 
 
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