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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Maddison         12    0   12     Gk Gareth James            2    2    4
Df Bradley Perry           6    0    6     Sw Markus Gunter           3    2    5
Df Marc-Vivien Djemba      6    0    6     Df Bonturo Ferrari         7    0    7
Df Jaap De wit             6    0    6     Df Miguel de la Cruz       6    0    6
Df Ali Chukwu              5    2    7     Df Aaron Turner            5    0    5
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye          8    0    8     Df Max McDiarmid           2    2    4
Mf Tammaro Pedrini         8    0    8     Mf Gonçalo da Rocha        5    1    6
Mf Anders Bergroth         6    1    7     Mf Mikkel Hedegaard        5    1    6
Mf Boris Perisic           5    2    7     Mf Ihor Kobyliansky        2    2    4
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko        8    0    8     Fw Claude Antier           5    2    7
Fw Michaël Fellaini        7    2    9     Fw Javier Perez            2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 25 30 17        ROSTER TOTALS       4  5 22 16 11    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  7  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  0 41 30 17         T O T A L S        4  5 22 16 11    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.38 (no red card)

Df Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.02 (no red card)

Df Marc-Vivien Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.34 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.0 (no red card)

Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.46 (no red card)

Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.12 (no red card)

Mf Tammaro Pedrini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.43 (no red card)

Mf Anders Bergroth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.28 (no red card)

Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.49 (no red card)

Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.05 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Fellaini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.33 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gareth James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.12 (no red card)

Sw Markus Gunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.22 (no red card)

Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.3 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.35 (no red card)

Df Aaron Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.16 (no red card)

Df Max McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.1 (no red card)

Mf Gonçalo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.93 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.85 (no red card)

Mf Ihor Kobyliansky: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.1 (no red card)

Fw Claude Antier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.09 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.93 (no second yellow)

Fw Javier Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.67 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 37.88 (no injury) 
Df Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.07 (no injury) 
Df Marc-Vivien Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.01 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.71 (no injury) 
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.99 (no injury) 
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.58 (no injury) 
Mf Tammaro Pedrini: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.02 (no injury) 
Mf Anders Bergroth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.31 (no injury) 
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.05 (no injury) 
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.15 (no injury) 
Fw Michaël Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.28 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gareth James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 19.86 (no injury) 
Sw Markus Gunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.37 (no injury) 
Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.07 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.5 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Turner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.58 (no injury) 
Df Max McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.31 (no injury) 
Mf Gonçalo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.71 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.67 (no injury) 
Mf Ihor Kobyliansky: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.96 (no injury) 
Fw Claude Antier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.59 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.04 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Abdoul N'Diaye SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Gareth James SL 2

     intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bonturo Ferrari SL 7
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 12

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   12   0  41  30  17
  Swansea City AFC         4   5  22  16  11

Brighton & Hove Albion is Playing For A Draw!
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 22)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 4 ((30 - 16) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 3 ((41 - 11) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Jaap De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Bradley Perry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Ali Chukwu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 46.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Boris Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 41 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 35.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Abdoul N'Diaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Abdoul N'Diaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 70.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Tammaro Pedrini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 41 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 19.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         4   5  22  16  11
  Brighton & Hove Albion   12   0  41  30  17

Brighton & Hove Albion is using Offside Trap!
Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (11 - 41)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((22 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Miguel de la Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 82.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Bonturo Ferrari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 88.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 2
 
Match Notes
Ugh, what…?
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/16 - 9:29 PM  
I k ow it was our C team, but still surprised by this result. We’re going to get you next time, Roy!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/16 - 11:19 PM  
Beerman's adaptable-like-water philosophy met its match today — Swansea simply turned off the tap. Another home defeat won't help those promotion ambitions.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/17 - 12:08 AM  
 
 
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