(N)
Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S LEEDS UNITED DERBY COUNTY Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Tadhg Boyle 13 1 14 Gk Fernando Pellistri 14 1 15 Sw Edoardo Martini 9 0 9 Df Mikkel Iversen 5 2 7 Df Yozhef Shapoval 12 0 12 Df Johnny Müller 2 2 4 Df Manuel Palencia 11 0 11 Mf Ognjen Barisic 9 0 9 Df Keith Wilson 11 0 11 Mf Henry Rowles 5 2 7 Mf Etienne Waseige 10 0 10 Mf Lukasz Bereszynski 5 2 7 Mf Leif Abrahamsen 5 2 7 Mf Cédric Kenne 2 2 4 Fw Christophe Thuram 13 0 13 Mf Krystian Sobolewski 2 2 4 Fw Jens Larsen 16 0 16 Fw Ramzi Sellimi 5 2 7 Fw Geon-u Seung-woo 10 0 10 Fw Erik Christiansen 5 2 7 Fw Hwangbo Min-sung 5 2 7 Fw Eligio Palacios 2 2 4 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 9 34 17 46 ROSTER TOTALS 15 0 11 31 18 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 14 9 34 17 46 T O T A L S 15 0 11 31 18 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Tadhg Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.47 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.18 (no red card) Sw Edoardo Martini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.14 (no red card) Df Yozhef Shapoval: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.74 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.75 (no second yellow) Df Manuel Palencia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.39 (no red card) Df Keith Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.23 (no red card) Mf Etienne Waseige: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.74 (no red card) Mf Leif Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.04 (no red card) Fw Christophe Thuram: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.45 (no red card) Fw Jens Larsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.94 (no red card) Fw Geon-u Seung-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.72 (no red card) Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.99 (no red card) ******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.12 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.84 (no red card) Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.68 (no red card) Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.35 (no red card) Mf Ognjen Barisic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.97 (no red card) Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.51 (no red card) Mf Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.88 (no red card) Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.46 (no red card) Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.57 (no red card) Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.9 (no red card) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.49 (no red card) Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.37 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.31 (no second yellow) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0 - Derby County Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Tadhg Boyle: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 7.25 (no injury) Sw Edoardo Martini: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.27 (no injury) Df Yozhef Shapoval: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.99 (no injury) Df Manuel Palencia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.31 (no injury) Df Keith Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.8 (no injury) Mf Etienne Waseige: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.75 (no injury) Mf Leif Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.69 (no injury) Fw Christophe Thuram: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.6 (no injury) Fw Jens Larsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.87 (no injury) Fw Geon-u Seung-woo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.83 (no injury) Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.67 (no injury) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Derby County Team Hardness = 0 - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 82.77 (no injury) Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.26 (no injury) Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.3 (no injury) Mf Ognjen Barisic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.93 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 6 Ognjen Barisic is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Ognjen Barisic new match skill level = 5 Ognjen Barisic new match total level = 5 Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.98 (no injury) Mf Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.54 (no injury) Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.69 (no injury) Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.08 (no injury) Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.63 (no injury) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.8 (no injury) Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.41 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Jens Larsen SL 16 - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 14 intRndPk = 68 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick) ******* LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Mikkel Iversen SL 5 - Defending Gk: Tadhg Boyle SL 13 intRndPk = 47 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Leeds United 14 9 34 17 46 Derby County 15 0 11 27 18 Derby County is using Offside Trap! Leeds United Fw Attacks = 18 (46 - 11) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 27) / 2; rounded up) Leeds United Df Attacks = 6 ((34 - 18) / 3); result rounded up Leeds United Total Attacks = 24 1: Attack for Df Manuel Palencia Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 11.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Manuel Palencia Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 64.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Yozhef Shapoval Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 26.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Df Yozhef Shapoval Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Df Yozhef Shapoval Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 10.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Df Yozhef Shapoval Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 8.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 57.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Geon-u Seung-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 14.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 9.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 99.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 15: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 16.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 4.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Geon-u Seung-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 56.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Derby County 15 0 11 27 18 Leeds United 14 9 34 17 46 Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 34) Derby County Mf Attacks = 5 ((27 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((11 - 46) / 5; rounded up) Derby County Total Attacks = 5 1: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Ognjen Barisic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Ognjen Barisic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 8.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Lukasz Bereszynski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E LEEDS UNITED 1 - DERBY COUNTY 0
Match Notes
Derby are through with a five-goal win and Brighton lose (maybe less than five if Brighton lose by multiple goals). Leeds through if they can better Brighton's result or win by 4 more goals than Brighton.
John (Port Vale FC) 05/19 - 12:09 AM
This is a must-win for Leeds. But even with a win here, we may still not get through. Maybe we should just give up on this one!!
Abe (Leeds United) 05/20 - 3:45 PM