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Saturday, November 23rd, 2024 - 08:18:56 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonas Lien             13    0   13     Gk Fernando Pellistri     13    0   13
Sw Bradley Perry           5    2    7     Df Mikkel Iversen          5    2    7
Df Michael Addo           12    0   12     Df Johnny Müller           2    2    4
Df Eric Aidoo             10    0   10     Df Khalid Harit            2    2    4
Df Jaap De wit             5    2    7     Mf Ognjen Barisic          9    0    9
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf          12    0   12     Mf Lukasz Bereszynski      5    2    7
Mf Rigobert Mahamat       10    0   10     Mf Henry Rowles            5    2    7
Mf Yuriy Taran             5    2    7     Mf Krystian Sobolewski     2    2    4
Fw Elliot Wilkins         16    0   16     Fw Cédric Kenne            0    2    2
Fw Hideaki Endo           12    0   12     Fw Ramzi Sellimi           5    2    7
Fw Takao Soma              5    2    7     Fw Erik Christiansen       5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  7 29 29 35        ROSTER TOTALS      13  0 15 27 16    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  7 29 29 35         T O T A L S       13  0 15 29 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 35.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 71.44 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.68 (no red card)

Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.55 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.81 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.02 (no red card)

Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.45 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.44 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.85 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.57 (no second yellow)

Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.04 (no red card)

Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.79 (no red card)

Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.03 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.08 (no red card)

Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.79 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.35 (no red card)

Df Khalid Harit: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 47.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.46 (no red card)

Mf Ognjen Barisic: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 46.47 (no red card)

Mf Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.65 (no red card)

Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 37.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.95 (no red card)

Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 47.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.63 (no red card)

Fw Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.58 (no red card)

Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.42 (no red card)

Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 23.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.98 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 72.52 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 35.19 (no injury) 
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 56.32 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 93.92 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 60.07 (no injury) 
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 52.85 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 1.65 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Rigobert Mahamat is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 49.61 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 46.71 (no injury) 
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 86.37 (no injury) 
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 22.96 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 58.36 (no injury) 
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 0.97 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Mikkel Iversen is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Mikkel Iversen new match skill level =  3
      Mikkel Iversen new match total level =  5
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 92.43 (no injury) 
Df Khalid Harit: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 85.71 (no injury) 
Mf Ognjen Barisic: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 21.76 (no injury) 
Mf Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 47.12 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 56.43 (no injury) 
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 21.69 (no injury) 
Fw Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 10.97 (no injury) 
Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 8.18 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 89.42 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ognjen Barisic SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14   7  29  29  35
  Derby County             13   0  13  29  16

Derby County is using Offside Trap!
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 11 (35 - 13) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 5 ((29 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Michael Addo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 72.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Jaap De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Eric Aidoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Jaap De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Michael Addo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 67.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 35.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 78.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             13   0  13  29  16
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14   7  29  29  35

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 29)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((13 - 35) / 5;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
Match Notes
Our second meeting this session Martyn. Best of luck in your other match.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/01 - 7:06 PM
And finally Beerman recaps with……we will definitely go undefeated this session
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/15 - 1:38 AM
I appreciate your confidence in our team this season, Dave. I hope it's not premature. I mean, really, how could it be?
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/15 - 1:01 PM
Doubleheader for these 2 this session.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 05/18 - 2:04 PM
Perhaps this should’ve been the blowout match?
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/18 - 7:30 PM
 
 
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