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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Wayne Carroll          13    0   13     Gk Fernando Pellistri     13    0   13
Sw Toni Meyer             10    0   10     Sw Artur Boniek           13    0   13
Df Hugo Simons            13    0   13     Df Rodrigo de Corona      10    0   10
Df Freddie Harris         13    0   13     Df Mikkel Iversen          5    2    7
Df Radoslaw Kaminski      10    0   10     Mf Ike Azeez              14    0   14
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski     10    0   10     Mf Peder Petersen         11    0   11
Mf Denis Fellaini          5    2    7     Mf Lukasz Bereszynski      5    2    7
Fw Nii Mingle             17    0   17     Mf Henry Rowles            5    2    7
Fw Krystian Zewlakow      13    0   13     Fw Reimundo Almada        12    0   12
Fw Javier Jimenez         12    0   12     Fw Ramzi Sellimi           5    2    7
Fw Dario Sucic             5    2    7     Fw Erik Christiansen       5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 10 36 17 49        ROSTER TOTALS      13 13 17 39 26    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  2  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 10 36 17 49         T O T A L S       13 13 19 39 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 58.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 36.25 (no red card)

Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.16 (no red card)

Df Hugo Simons: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.71 (no red card)

Df Freddie Harris: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.28 (no red card)

Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.81 (no red card)

Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.63 (no red card)

Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.65 (no red card)

Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.27 (no red card)

Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.72 (no red card)

Fw Javier Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.1 (no red card)

Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.48 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.53 (no red card)

Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.99 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.57 (no red card)

Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.11 (no red card)

Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 37.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.59 (no red card)

Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.93 (no red card)

Mf Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 93.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.32 (no red card)

Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 98.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.24 (no red card)

Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 32.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.96 (no red card)

Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.73 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.35 (no second yellow)

Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 90.43 (no injury) 
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 1.13 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Toni Meyer is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Toni Meyer new match skill level =  5
      Toni Meyer new match total level =  5
Df Hugo Simons: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 11.16 (no injury) 
Df Freddie Harris: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 88.03 (no injury) 
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 60.8 (no injury) 
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 92.02 (no injury) 
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 51.85 (no injury) 
Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 81.08 (no injury) 
Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 62.12 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Jimenez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 60.38 (no injury) 
Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 75.54 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 51.64 (no injury) 
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 9.08 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 61.28 (no injury) 
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 15.95 (no injury) 
Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 62.3 (no injury) 
Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 68.69 (no injury) 
Mf Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 54.1 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 41.88 (no injury) 
Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 21.29 (no injury) 
Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 23.2 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 63.09 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Nii Mingle SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 61 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ike Azeez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Wayne Carroll SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    14   5  36  17  49
  Derby County             13  13  19  39  26

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 30 (49 - 19); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((36 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Df Freddie Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 86.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Freddie Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Freddie Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Dario Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 58.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 16.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Dario Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 31.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 85.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
28: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 87.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
29: Attack for Fw Dario Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             13  13  19  39  26
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    14   5  36  17  49

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 36)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 11 ((39 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 42 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 98.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 78.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 42 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 24.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Lukasz Bereszynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 62.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 4  -  DERBY COUNTY 2
 
Match Notes
hopefully we will get a good result here!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/11 - 4:14 PM
good to see the lads show their mettle and come back from a 2 0 deficit to win
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/18 - 7:50 PM
 
 
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