(N)

Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay

Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PRESTON NORTH END FC WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Valentin Lugn 15 1 16 Gk Alexander Bach 14 1 15 Df Abdul Otu 11 0 11 Sw Toni Meyer 13 1 14 Df Joel Calvo 10 1 11 Df Radoslaw Kaminski 12 0 12 Df Harry Martyn 6 2 8 Df Goronwy Wright 10 1 11 Df Joan Hierro 2 2 4 Df Marek Murphy 5 2 7 Mf Arthur Goodwin 13 1 14 Mf Denis Fellaini 13 1 14 Mf Bahaeeddine Ait 10 1 11 Mf Tomasz Lewandowski 11 0 11 Mf Miguel López 8 0 8 Fw John Clarke 12 1 13 Mf Issa Daouda 6 2 8 Fw Dario Sucic 8 1 9 Fw Victor Pino 6 2 8 Fw Nii Mingle 12 2 14 Fw Atsushi Morioka 6 2 8 Fw Paolo Caccini 5 2 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 0 34 41 16 ROSTER TOTALS 15 14 30 25 43 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 16 0 39 43 16 T O T A L S 16 14 30 25 43 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.4 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.33 (no red card) Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.46 (no red card) Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.64 (no red card) Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.03 (no red card) Df Joan Hierro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.53 (no red card) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.93 (no red card) Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.08 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.68 (no second yellow) Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.64 (no red card) Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.76 (no red card) Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.12 (no red card) Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.2 (no red card) ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 89.99 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 11.18 (no red card) Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.3 (no red card) Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.34 (no red card) Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.3 (no red card) Df Marek Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.53 (no red card) Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.54 (no red card) Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.89 (no red card) Fw John Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.75 (no red card) Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.16 (no red card) Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.92 (no red card) Fw Paolo Caccini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.38 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 91.66 (no injury) Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.7 (no injury) Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.91 (no injury) Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.7 (no injury) Df Joan Hierro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.29 (no injury) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.76 (no injury) Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.33 (no injury) Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.11 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Miguel López is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.4 (no injury) Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.85 (no injury) Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.44 (no injury) ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1 - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 87.89 (no injury) Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.31 (no injury) Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.11 (no injury) Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.89 (no injury) Df Marek Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.33 (no injury) Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.2 (no injury) Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.36 (no injury) Fw John Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.49 (no injury) Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.03 (no injury) Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.3 (no injury) Fw Paolo Caccini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.24 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Paolo Caccini is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Arthur Goodwin SL 13 - Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 14 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Denis Fellaini SL 13 - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 15 intRndPk = 89 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Preston North End FC 16 0 39 43 16 Weston-super-Mare AFC 16 14 30 25 43 Preston North End FC is Playing For A Draw! Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 30) Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((43 - 25) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 43) / 5; rounded up) Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 5 1: Attack for Mf Issa Daouda Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Bahaeeddine Ait Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 87.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Mf Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Weston-super-Mare AFC 16 14 30 25 43 Preston North End FC 16 0 39 43 16 Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap! Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 2 (43 - 39) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 43) / 2; rounded up) Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 5 ((30 - 16) / 3); result rounded up Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 7 1: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 78.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 7.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 54.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw John Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Dario Sucic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PRESTON NORTH END FC 1 - WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1
Match Notes

Preston thru, while WSM need to win by at least four goals to even entertain advancing.
John (Port Vale FC) 05/25 - 10:26 PM

our chances here do not look good
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/31 - 1:11 PM