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Wednesday, June 4th, 2025 - 01:31:46 PM (gmt)
 
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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentin Lugn          15    1   16     Gk Alexander Bach         14    1   15
Df Abdul Otu              11    0   11     Sw Toni Meyer             13    1   14
Df Joel Calvo             10    1   11     Df Radoslaw Kaminski      12    0   12
Df Harry Martyn            6    2    8     Df Goronwy Wright         10    1   11
Df Joan Hierro             2    2    4     Df Marek Murphy            5    2    7
Mf Arthur Goodwin         13    1   14     Mf Denis Fellaini         13    1   14
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait        10    1   11     Mf Tomasz Lewandowski     11    0   11
Mf Miguel López            8    0    8     Fw John Clarke            12    1   13
Mf Issa Daouda             6    2    8     Fw Dario Sucic             8    1    9
Fw Victor Pino             6    2    8     Fw Nii Mingle             12    2   14
Fw Atsushi Morioka         6    2    8     Fw Paolo Caccini           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 34 41 16        ROSTER TOTALS      15 14 30 25 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  5  2  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 39 43 16         T O T A L S       16 14 30 25 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.33 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.46 (no red card)

Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.64 (no red card)

Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.03 (no red card)

Df Joan Hierro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.53 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.93 (no red card)

Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.08 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.68 (no second yellow)

Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.64 (no red card)

Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.76 (no red card)

Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.12 (no red card)

Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.2 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 89.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 11.18 (no red card)

Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.3 (no red card)

Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.34 (no red card)

Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.3 (no red card)

Df Marek Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.53 (no red card)

Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.54 (no red card)

Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.89 (no red card)

Fw John Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.75 (no red card)

Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.16 (no red card)

Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.92 (no red card)

Fw Paolo Caccini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.38 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 91.66 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.7 (no injury) 
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.91 (no injury) 
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.7 (no injury) 
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.29 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.76 (no injury) 
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.33 (no injury) 
Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.11 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Miguel López is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.4 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.85 (no injury) 
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.44 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 87.89 (no injury) 
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.31 (no injury) 
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.11 (no injury) 
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.89 (no injury) 
Df Marek Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.33 (no injury) 
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.2 (no injury) 
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.36 (no injury) 
Fw John Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.49 (no injury) 
Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.03 (no injury) 
Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.3 (no injury) 
Fw Paolo Caccini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.24 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Paolo Caccini is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Arthur Goodwin SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Denis Fellaini SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 15

     intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     16   0  39  43  16
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    16  14  30  25  43

Preston North End FC is Playing For A Draw!
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 30)
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((43 - 25) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 43) / 5;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Issa Daouda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Bahaeeddine Ait
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 87.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Miguel López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    16  14  30  25  43
  Preston North End FC     16   0  39  43  16

Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 2 (43 - 39) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 5 ((30 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 78.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 7.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 54.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw John Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Dario Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 1  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1
 
Match Notes
Preston thru, while WSM need to win by at least four goals to even entertain advancing.
John (Port Vale FC) 05/25 - 10:26 PM
our chances here do not look good
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/31 - 1:11 PM
 
 
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