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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kurt Östman            12    0   12     Gk Samir Bouaziz          14    1   15
Sw Thiago Boniek          14    1   15     Sw Nazariy Kozak          12    2   14
Df Mbaye Dieng            13    1   14     Df Javi Flores            10    0   10
Df Martin Persson         13    1   14     Df Rodrygo Paulinho       10    0   10
Mf Bruno Freda             8    1    9     Df Cristhian Meza          7    1    8
Mf Noah Martinez           8    1    9     Df Kylian Rabiot           5    2    7
Mf Fernando Bentancur      5    2    7     Df Salvador Alvarado       2    2    4
Fw Keiron Chamberlain     13    1   14     Mf Imed Ahmed             13    1   14
Fw Atef Omar              13    1   14     Mf Damian Nabbout         10    0   10
Fw Ederson Fabinho        11    1   12     Fw Shinya Soma            13    0   13
Fw Paul Dumont            14    1   15     Fw Jose Pérez              7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 15 28 25 55        ROSTER TOTALS      15 14 39 24 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 15 28 25 55         T O T A L S       15 17 43 24 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.01 (no red card)

Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.44 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.85 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.22 (no red card)

Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.11 (no red card)

Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.02 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.2 (no red card)

Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.18 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.56 (no red card)

Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.51 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.49 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.1 (no red card)

Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.25 (no red card)

Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.43 (no red card)

Df Rodrygo Paulinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.42 (no red card)

Df Cristhian Meza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.98 (no red card)

Df Kylian Rabiot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.57 (no red card)

Df Salvador Alvarado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.51 (no red card)

Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.21 (no red card)

Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.56 (no red card)

Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.26 (no red card)

Fw Jose Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.85 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.54 (no injury) 
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.87 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.05 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.86 (no injury) 
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.16 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.36 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.56 (no injury) 
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.11 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.57 (no injury) 
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.37 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.54 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.77 (no injury) 
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.38 (no injury) 
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.15 (no injury) 
Df Rodrygo Paulinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.71 (no injury) 
Df Cristhian Meza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.19 (no injury) 
Df Kylian Rabiot: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.37 (no injury) 
Df Salvador Alvarado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.22 (no injury) 
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.22 (no injury) 
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.6 (no injury) 
Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.22 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.13 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Paul Dumont SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 14

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Imed Ahmed SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 12

     intRndPk = 64
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        15  15  28  25  55
  Lewes FC                 15  17  43  24  22

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 12 (55 - 43); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 2 ((28 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 90.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Martin Persson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Noah Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 18.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 90.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 15  17  43  24  22
  Nottingham Forest        15  15  28  25  55

Lewes FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 28)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2  -  LEWES FC 0
 
Match Notes
Neither team are through, but Lewes would have to lose by more than two goals and have Dorchester not overtake them on goal difference. Nottingham need to better Dorchester's result or win by two or more
John (Port Vale FC) 01/11 - 3:44 PM
Do we go through on head to head result? Or will there be a coin toss?
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 01/17 - 10:45 PM
By rule coin toss
Dave (Lewes FC) 01/17 - 11:21 PM
And I see that went Notts way…..good luck
Dave (Lewes FC) 01/17 - 11:36 PM
 
 
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