(N)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST LEWES FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kurt Östman 11 2 13 Gk Marcos Cruz 14 1 15
Sw Édouard Gning 13 0 13 Sw Nazariy Kozak 10 2 12
Df Laurence Clarke 13 0 13 Df André Bukari 13 0 13
Df Moez Mhedhebi 12 0 12 Df Shay Given 10 0 10
Df Kazimierz Szczesny 9 1 10 Mf Veselin Dudnyk 12 1 13
Mf Freddie Cockham 13 0 13 Mf Luis Jarquin 5 2 7
Mf Johnny Rieder 9 1 10 Fw Justice Shorunmu 13 0 13
Fw Kian Clarke 13 0 13 Fw Juan Carlos Parra 13 0 13
Fw Paul Dumont 10 1 11 Fw Ichiro Sakai 10 1 11
Fw Josh Watson 13 1 14 Fw Taylor Stevenson 14 0 14
Fw Atef Omar 6 2 8 Fw Fredrik Engberg 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
13 13 35 23 46 ROSTER TOTALS 15 12 23 20 58
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
13 13 35 23 46 T O T A L S 18 12 23 20 58
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.6 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.37 (no red card)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.82 (no red card)
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.81 (no red card)
Df Moez Mhedhebi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.05 (no red card)
Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.38 (no red card)
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.28 (no red card)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.84 (no red card)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.77 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.68 (no red card)
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.9 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.63 (no red card)
******* LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 50.64 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 52.83 (no red card)
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.29 (no red card)
Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.39 (no red card)
Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.21 (no red card)
Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.91 (no red card)
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.05 (no red card)
Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.44 (no red card)
Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.76 (no red card)
Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.68 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Ichiro Sakai new match skill level = 5
Ichiro Sakai new match total level = 6
Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.8 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Taylor Stevenson new match skill level = 7
Taylor Stevenson new match total level = 7
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.91 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 58.15 (no injury)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.81 (no injury)
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.16 (no injury)
Df Moez Mhedhebi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.27 (no injury)
Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.75 (no injury)
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.7 (no injury)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.26 (no injury)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.19 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.11 (no injury)
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.5 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.9 (no injury)
******* LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 42.79 (no injury)
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.0 (no injury)
Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.89 (no injury)
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.17 (no injury)
Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.17 (no injury)
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.1 (no injury)
Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.12 (no injury)
Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.85 (no injury)
Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.11 (no injury)
Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.99 (no injury)
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.33 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Laurence Clarke SL 13
- Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: André Bukari SL 13
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 11
intRndPk = 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 13 13 35 23 46
Lewes FC 18 12 23 20 46
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 23 (46 - 23); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 2 ((23 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 46) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Mf Freddie Cockham
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Johnny Rieder
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
19: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
******* LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Lewes FC 18 12 23 20 46
Nottingham Forest 13 13 35 23 46
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 11 (46 - 35); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 23) / 2; rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 46) / 3; rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 75.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 40.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 0.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1 - LEWES FC 1
Match Notes
Winner take all, Lewes advance in a draw.
John (Port Vale FC) 05/19 - 12:09 AM
2 red cards castrates the Rooks attacks
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/25 - 6:47 PM
A draw was a fair result at the start but only 5 shots from 25 attacks?
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 05/25 - 7:15 PM