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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Federico Curbelo        9    0    9     Gk Sung Ban-suk            6    2    8
Df Hajime Tanaka          13    0   13     Sw Jun-Yeong Tae-yong      5    2    7
Df Yahaya Etim             8    0    8     Df Papis Sall              9    1   10
Df Quentin Mertens        11    0   11     Df Asbjorn Ludvigsen       6    2    8
Mf Gustavo Moreno         13    0   13     Df Francisco DaSilva       2    2    4
Mf Fernando Militao        8    1    9     Mf Artur Zielinski         6    2    8
Mf Cameron Gates           6    1    7     Mf Martin Muñoz            2    2    4
Mf Toby Llewellyn         11    0   11     Fw Haris Streller          8    0    8
Fw Conway Roberts         15    0   15     Fw Clement Kenne           7    0    7
Fw Valeriy Yastenko        8    0    8     Fw Mehdi Kounde            6    2    8
Fw Francois Abdou          0   -4    0     Fw Iori Green              2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  0 32 40 23        ROSTER TOTALS       8  7 22 12 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  0 32 40 23         T O T A L S        8  7 22 12 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.59 (no red card)

Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.9 (no red card)

Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.38 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.21 (no second yellow)

Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.54 (no red card)

Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.44 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.89 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.31 (no red card)

Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.89 (no red card)

Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.35 (no red card)

Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.12 (no red card)

Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.87 (no red card)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sung Ban-suk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.07 (no red card)

Sw Jun-Yeong Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.1 (no red card)

Df Papis Sall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.5 (no red card)

Df Asbjorn Ludvigsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.43 (no red card)

Df Francisco DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.47 (no red card)

Mf Artur Zielinski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.33 (no red card)

Mf Martin Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.06 (no red card)

Fw Haris Streller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.52 (no red card)

Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.34 (no red card)

Fw Mehdi Kounde: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.95 (no red card)

Fw Iori Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.35 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 92.79 (no injury) 
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.43 (no injury) 
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.15 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.79 (no injury) 
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.26 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.47 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.27 (no injury) 
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.04 (no injury) 
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.91 (no injury) 
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.97 (no injury) 
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.21 (no injury) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Sung Ban-suk: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 77.14 (no injury) 
Sw Jun-Yeong Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.03 (no injury) 
Df Papis Sall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.42 (no injury) 
Df Asbjorn Ludvigsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.14 (no injury) 
Df Francisco DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.83 (no injury) 
Mf Artur Zielinski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.86 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.12 (no injury) 
Fw Haris Streller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.01 (no injury) 
Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.34 (no injury) 
Fw Mehdi Kounde: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.15 (no injury) 
Fw Iori Green: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.39 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Conway Roberts SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Sung Ban-suk SL 6

     intRndPk = 36
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Papis Sall SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Federico Curbelo SL 9

     intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          9   0  32  40  23
  Dagenham & Redbridge     8   7  22  12  27

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 1 (23 - 22); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 14 ((40 - 12) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((32 - 27) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Hajime Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 26.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 4.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 85.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 49.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 86.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 57.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 81.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 25.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     8   7  22  12  27
  Swindon Town FC          9   0  32  40  23

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 32)
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((12 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 23) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 3  -  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 0
 
Match Notes
Two sides searching for relevance. Should be competitive in the way that most things no one is watching tend to be.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/11 - 6:30 PM  
 
 
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