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Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Thomas Anderson        12    0   12     Gk Charlie Cockayne       10    0   10
Df Gabriel Correia         9    0    9     Sw Édouard Gning          12    0   12
Df Herman Lambert          5    2    7     Df Manuel Barnetta         7    0    7
Df Zinedine Castex         2    2    4     Df Martin Persson          5    2    7
Mf Božo Rebic              8    0    8     Df Mbaye Dieng             2    2    4
Mf Jürg Elvedi             7    0    7     Mf Freddie Cockham        13    0   13
Mf Mats Larsson            2    2    4     Mf Noah Martinez           5    2    7
Fw Marouane Peeters       10    0   10     Mf Bruno Freda             2    2    4
Fw Wladimir Groen          5    2    7     Fw Paul Dumont            10    0   10
Fw Jakub Fabianski         5    2    7     Fw Ilija Caleta-Car        9    0    9
Fw Vladimir Ureña          2    2    4     Fw Atef Omar               5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 20 19 28        ROSTER TOTALS      10 12 18 24 26    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  0 20 19 28         T O T A L S       10 15 22 24 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 73.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 1.7 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.95 (no red card)

Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 94.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.79 (no red card)

Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 18.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.69 (no red card)

Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.28 (no red card)

Mf Jürg Elvedi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.14 (no red card)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 23.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.13 (no red card)

Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.65 (no red card)

Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 16.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 73.61 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 37.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.44 (no red card)

Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 56.39 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.91 (no red card)

Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.97 (no red card)

Df Manuel Barnetta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.42 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.79 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.9 (no red card)

Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.46 (no red card)

Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.36 (no red card)

Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.61 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.61 (no red card)

Fw Ilija Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.42 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.98 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 78.9 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 20.43 (no injury) 
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.48 (no injury) 
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.21 (no injury) 
Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 7.99 (no injury) 
Mf Jürg Elvedi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 25.75 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 25.15 (no injury) 
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 71.09 (no injury) 
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.16 (no injury) 
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 79.13 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 66.02 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 91.14 (no injury) 
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 96.37 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Barnetta: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.69 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Manuel Barnetta is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Manuel Barnetta new match skill level =  4
      Manuel Barnetta new match total level =  4
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 28.82 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.56 (no injury) 
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 36.79 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.0 (no injury) 
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 50.52 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.65 (no injury) 
Fw Ilija Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.83 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 73.79 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marouane Peeters SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Charlie Cockayne SL 10

     intRndPk = 86
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Freddie Cockham SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14   0  20  19  28
  Nottingham Forest        10  15  19  24  26

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 9 (28 - 19); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 26) / 5;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 74.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 18.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        10  15  19  24  26
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14   0  20  19  28

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 3 (26 - 20) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 19) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 28) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Freddie Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Ilija Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
Match Notes
A win against a good manager is always nice, also if it is only 1-0.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 05/24 - 6:59 PM
 
 
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