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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
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Steve Turner
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko    13    0   13     Gk Noah Okafor             5    2    7
Df Goronwy Wright         12    0   12     Sw Nicomedes Martino      10    0   10
Df Hiroyuki Matsuda       11    0   11     Df Jean Courtial          11    0   11
Df Amine Harit             5    2    7     Df Phil Connolly          10    0   10
Mf Alberto Leao           14    0   14     Df Pieter Willems          5    2    7
Mf Andrej Kovac           12    0   12     Mf Taha Tagnaouti          8    0    8
Mf Cesar Beto             10    0   10     Mf Paul Simons             5    2    7
Mf Cadwaladr Harding       5    2    7     Fw Rico Santambrogio      10    0   10
Mf Sven Skog              14    0   14     Fw Atef Omar               9    0    9
Fw Paolo Caccini          11    0   11     Fw Ghaith Abid             5    2    7
Fw Eddie McBride          10    0   10     Fw Mohcine Youssef         2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  0 30 57 21        ROSTER TOTALS       7 10 28 15 30    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  0 30 57 21         T O T A L S        7 13 32 15 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 68.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 51.57 (no red card)

Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.43 (no red card)

Df Hiroyuki Matsuda: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.95 (no red card)

Df Amine Harit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.26 (no red card)

Mf Alberto Leao: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.25 (no red card)

Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.44 (no red card)

Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.35 (no red card)

Mf Cadwaladr Harding: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.83 (no red card)

Mf Sven Skog: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.11 (no red card)

Fw Paolo Caccini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.51 (no red card)

Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.64 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Noah Okafor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.76 (no red card)

Sw Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.79 (no red card)

Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.8 (no red card)

Df Phil Connolly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.31 (no red card)

Df Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.6 (no red card)

Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.17 (no red card)

Mf Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.81 (no red card)

Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.35 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.68 (no red card)

Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.38 (no red card)

Fw Mohcine Youssef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.75 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 89.43 (no injury) 
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.23 (no injury) 
Df Hiroyuki Matsuda: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.66 (no injury) 
Df Amine Harit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.78 (no injury) 
Mf Alberto Leao: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.65 (no injury) 
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.06 (no injury) 
Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.27 (no injury) 
Mf Cadwaladr Harding: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.36 (no injury) 
Mf Sven Skog: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.22 (no injury) 
Fw Paolo Caccini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.69 (no injury) 
Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.3 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Noah Okafor: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 60.21 (no injury) 
Sw Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.69 (no injury) 
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.62 (no injury) 
Df Phil Connolly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.21 (no injury) 
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.06 (no injury) 
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.99 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.56 (no injury) 
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.09 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.17 (no injury) 
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.63 (no injury) 
Fw Mohcine Youssef: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.0 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alberto Leao SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Noah Okafor SL 5

     intRndPk = 1
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 73 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jean Courtial SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Valentyn Tymoshenko SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 68% | Random number = 68 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    14   0  30  57  21
  Nottingham Forest        7  13  32  15  30

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 32)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 21 ((57 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 30) / 5;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Alberto Leao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 48.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Alberto Leao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Alberto Leao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 86.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 64.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 86.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 29.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Alberto Leao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 57.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Mf Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Alberto Leao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Alberto Leao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 31.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 24.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        7  13  32  15  30
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    14   0  30  57  21

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 30)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 57) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 2 ((32 - 21) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Jean Courtial
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 87.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Jean Courtial
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 4.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 5  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2
 
Match Notes
An early tester for both squads
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/03 - 2:13 PM  
does the Lewes manager not have anything better to do?
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/09 - 9:11 AM  
they should probably concentrate more on their own games
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/09 - 9:12 AM  
 
 
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