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Saturday, January 24th, 2026 - 12:44:23 AM (gmt)
 
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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
AP Cup Group (1)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kurt Östman            12    0   12     Gk Kris Vermant           10    0   10
Sw Thiago Boniek          13    0   13     Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han         13    0   13
Df Mbaye Dieng            13    0   13     Df Josip Sommer           13    0   13
Df Nicomedes Martino       9    0    9     Df Fabiano Nardone        11    0   11
Df Victor Rui              5    2    7     Df Bozidar Šimic           5    2    7
Mf Taha Tagnaouti         10    0   10     Mf Nazariy Gusak          13    0   13
Mf Fernando Bentancur      5    2    7     Mf Harold Thorne          10    0   10
Fw Keiron Chamberlain     13    0   13     Mf Peter Roldan            5    2    7
Fw Atef Omar              13    0   13     Fw Teun Van der berg      13    0   13
Fw Paul Dumont            14    0   14     Fw Aaron Jones            16    0   16
Fw Rico Santambrogio       5    2    7     Fw Luís Oliveira           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 13 29 17 47        ROSTER TOTALS      10 13 31 30 36    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 13 29 17 47         T O T A L S       13 13 38 30 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.38 (no red card)

Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.51 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.43 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Mbaye Dieng new match skill level =  7
      Mbaye Dieng new match total level =  7

Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.87 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.79 (no second yellow)

Df Victor Rui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.04 (no red card)

Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.98 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.85 (no red card)

Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.72 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.15 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.91 (no red card)

Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.98 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 89.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 79.57 (no red card)

Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 15.63 (no red card)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 52.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 95.15 (no red card)

Df Fabiano Nardone: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 41.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 33.05 (no red card)

Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 95.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 13.33 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 90.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 42.31 (no red card)

Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 6.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 94.93 (no second yellow)

Mf Peter Roldan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 36.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 48.93 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 60.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 16.88 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 1.84 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 98.16 (no second yellow)

Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 82.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 44.16 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 86.37 (no injury) 
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 41.37 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 86.34 (no injury) 
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 15.62 (no injury) 
Df Victor Rui: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 7.14 (no injury) 
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 62.76 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 86.76 (no injury) 
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 95.12 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 4.75 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Atef Omar is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 46.97 (no injury) 
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 37.29 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 52.74 (no injury) 
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.56 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.59 (no injury) 
Df Fabiano Nardone: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.97 (no injury) 
Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.5 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.19 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Nazariy Gusak is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.12 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Roldan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.07 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.42 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.74 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.69 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Paul Dumont SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Kris Vermant SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aaron Jones SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 12

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        12  13  23  17  47
  Dorchester Town          13  13  38  30  36

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 9 (47 - 38); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 14.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 93.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 52.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          13  13  38  30  36
  Nottingham Forest        12  13  23  17  47

Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 7 (36 - 23) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 3 ((30 - 17) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Harold Thorne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 16.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Harold Thorne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 91.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 6.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 74.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 2
 
Match Notes
Our first of our two difficult group matches.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 01/04 - 5:14 PM
Olmec doing Olmec things
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 01/11 - 4:40 PM
Got a bit lucky to win but happy with the result.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 01/11 - 7:23 PM
 
 
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