(N)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Blyth Spartans AFC
Non League I
AP Cup Group (1)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST BLYTH SPARTANS AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Charlie Cockayne 10 0 10 Gk Pedro Corona 11 0 11
Sw Thiago Boniek 5 2 7 Df Jorge Figo 13 0 13
Df Laurence Clarke 13 0 13 Df Hassen Mkademi 10 0 10
Df Kazimierz Szczesny 9 0 9 Df Bartosz Janas 10 0 10
Mf Johnny Rieder 9 0 9 Df Adam Smith 8 0 8
Mf Noah Martinez 5 2 7 Mf Jamal Dirar 11 0 11
Mf Abel Peeters 2 2 4 Mf Lars Depay 10 0 10
Fw Óscar Vargas 13 0 13 Mf Reece Morrissey 8 0 8
Fw Kian Clarke 13 0 13 Mf Smahi Ait 6 2 8
Fw Josh Watson 13 0 13 Fw Ibrahim Yahaya 10 0 10
Fw Atef Omar 5 2 7 Fw Aaron White 10 0 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
10 7 22 20 46 ROSTER TOTALS 11 0 41 37 20
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 2 2 1 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
10 7 22 20 46 T O T A L S 13 2 42 38 21
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.43 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.29 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.05 (no red card)
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.3 (no red card)
Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.41 (no red card)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.56 (no red card)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.83 (no red card)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.25 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.22 (no second yellow)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.56 (no red card)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.05 (no red card)
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.29 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.7 (no red card)
******* BLYTH SPARTANS AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 7
- Gk Hardness = 2
Gk Pedro Corona: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.42 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 52.37 (no red card)
Df Jorge Figo: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 29.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 80.62 (no red card)
Df Hassen Mkademi: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 85.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 83.24 (no red card)
Df Bartosz Janas: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 20.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 52.29 (no red card)
Df Adam Smith: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 64.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 63.41 (no red card)
Mf Jamal Dirar: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 12.7 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 24.65 (no second yellow)
Mf Lars Depay: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 77.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 82.98 (no red card)
Mf Reece Morrissey: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 30.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 8.52 (no red card)
Mf Smahi Ait: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 46.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 66.16 (no red card)
Fw Ibrahim Yahaya: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 79.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 10.69 (no red card)
Fw Aaron White: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 87.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 91.82 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Blyth Spartans AFC Team Hardness = 7
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 3.87%
Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of injury = 3.87% | Random number = 36.94 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 40.04 (no injury)
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 37.43 (no injury)
Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 91.96 (no injury)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 64.68 (no injury)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 73.91 (no injury)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 19.46 (no injury)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 1.24 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 6
Óscar Vargas is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Óscar Vargas new match skill level = 7
Óscar Vargas new match total level = 7
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 83.79 (no injury)
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 40.29 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 59.07 (no injury)
******* BLYTH SPARTANS AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Blyth Spartans AFC Team Hardness = 7
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Pedro Corona: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 58.39 (no injury)
Df Jorge Figo: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 21.58 (no injury)
Df Hassen Mkademi: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 0.81 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Hassen Mkademi is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Hassen Mkademi new match skill level = 5
Hassen Mkademi new match total level = 5
Df Bartosz Janas: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 9.89 (no injury)
Df Adam Smith: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 32.99 (no injury)
Mf Jamal Dirar: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 3.68 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Jamal Dirar is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Jamal Dirar new match skill level = 6
Jamal Dirar new match total level = 6
Mf Lars Depay: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 26.86 (no injury)
Mf Reece Morrissey: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 73.9 (no injury)
Mf Smahi Ait: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 89.38 (no injury)
Fw Ibrahim Yahaya: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 37.52 (no injury)
Fw Aaron White: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 73.91 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BLYTH SPARTANS AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 7; (7 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Laurence Clarke SL 13
- Defending Gk: Pedro Corona SL 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jorge Figo SL 13
- Defending Gk: Charlie Cockayne SL 10
intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 10 7 22 20 40
Blyth Spartans AFC 13 0 37 33 21
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 3 (40 - 37); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 33) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 1 ((22 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Df Laurence Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 70.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
******* BLYTH SPARTANS AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Blyth Spartans AFC 13 0 37 33 21
Nottingham Forest 10 7 22 20 40
Blyth Spartans AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 22)
Blyth Spartans AFC Mf Attacks = 7 ((33 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Blyth Spartans AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 40) / 5; rounded up)
Blyth Spartans AFC Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Mf Lars Depay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Reece Morrissey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 30.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Reece Morrissey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 62.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Smahi Ait
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 33.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Smahi Ait
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Lars Depay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Reece Morrissey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 12.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1 - BLYTH SPARTANS AFC 0
Match Notes
Olmec Head appears to be loving Steve in both leagues with another non-league fixture here...
Allan (Brentford FC) 04/28 - 10:28 PM
How many injuries in this game?
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 05/14 - 6:08 PM
The over/under gambling number is 2.5 injuries. I'm taking the over.
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/15 - 10:44 PM