(N)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SOUTHEND UNITED CREWE ALEXANDRA FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alonso Lopez 13 1 14 Gk Joshua Samed 12 1 13
Sw Glen Clarke 13 1 14 Sw John Taylor 7 0 7
Df Manuel Ortiz 12 1 13 Df Sion Davey 10 1 11
Df Kenzie Fraser 11 2 13 Df Gabriel Lind 10 0 10
Df Vincent Hamidou 10 1 11 Df Edwin O'Doherty 2 2 4
Df Mauricio López 5 2 7 Mf Stefan Boniek 10 1 11
Mf Claes Östberg 11 0 11 Mf Thomas Robinson 10 0 10
Mf Randall Navarrete 15 1 16 Mf Patrice Djemba 6 2 8
Fw Cássio Lemos 14 1 15 Fw Ryu Haraguchi 13 1 14
Fw Kenzie McDonald 11 2 13 Fw Joel Zamora 11 1 12
Fw Roman Radomski 10 1 11 Fw Slava Levchenko 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
14 14 44 27 39 ROSTER TOTALS 13 7 25 29 34
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 14 44 27 39 T O T A L S 13 7 25 29 34
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 40.62 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 89.19 (no red card)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.11 (no red card)
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.36 (no red card)
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.63 (no red card)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.09 (no red card)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.8 (no red card)
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.42 (no red card)
Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.42 (no red card)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.12 (no red card)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.48 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.68 (no second yellow)
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.96 (no red card)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.49 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.16 (no red card)
Sw John Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.21 (no red card)
Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.59 (no red card)
Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.91 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.07 (no second yellow)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.9 (no red card)
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.2 (no red card)
Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.86 (no red card)
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.13 (no red card)
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.47 (no red card)
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.84 (no red card)
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.93 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 10.46 (no injury)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.73 (no injury)
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.92 (no injury)
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.85 (no injury)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.84 (no injury)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.8 (no injury)
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.37 (no injury)
Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.41 (no injury)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.56 (no injury)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.6 (no injury)
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.62 (no injury)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 14.4 (no injury)
Sw John Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.93 (no injury)
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.72 (no injury)
Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.53 (no injury)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.76 (no injury)
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.42 (no injury)
Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.18 (no injury)
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.18 (no injury)
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.3 (no injury)
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.8 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Joel Zamora is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.57 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Randall Navarrete SL 15
- Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 12
intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ryu Haraguchi SL 13
- Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 17 14 44 27 39
Crewe Alexandra FC 13 7 25 29 34
Southend United Fw Attacks = 14 (39 - 25); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 4 ((44 - 34) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Df Manuel Ortiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 62.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Manuel Ortiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 98.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Df Vincent Hamidou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Manuel Ortiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 58.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 9.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 94.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 0.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 66.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 13 7 25 29 34
Southend United 17 14 44 27 39
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 44)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((29 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 39) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SOUTHEND UNITED 2 - CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
Match Notes
Crewe are through and Southend just need a point, but a loss is fine if Preston can't win and make up four goals of goal difference.
John (Port Vale FC) 05/19 - 12:11 AM
Southend will want to secure at least a point
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/19 - 8:08 AM
Expected a lot worse but suspect Colin knew that.
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/25 - 6:59 PM