(N)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SOUTHEND UNITED DERBY COUNTY
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Alonso Lopez 13 1 14 Gk Fernando Pellistri 12 1 13
Sw Glen Clarke 12 1 13 Mf Johnny Müller 3 2 5
Df Vincent Hamidou 13 1 14 Df Khalid Harit 5 2 7
Df Alain Teulet 5 2 7 Df Kwadwo Danlad 2 2 4
Mf Marco Arce 11 1 12 Df Federico Sorin 2 2 4
Mf Diop N'day 11 1 12 Mf Cédric Kenne 6 2 8
Mf Cyril Chadli 2 2 4 Mf Krystian Sobolewski 5 2 7
Fw Cássio Lemos 14 1 15 Mf Ezequiel Araujo 2 -1 1
Fw Jamie Behich 10 1 11 Mf Muziano Doni 2 2 4
Fw Kenzie McDonald 14 1 15 Fw Sadou Moussa 5 2 7
Fw Marek Grabara 2 2 4 Fw Eligio Palacios 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
14 13 21 28 45 ROSTER TOTALS 13 0 15 25 14
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 7 0
=======================================================================
15 13 21 28 45 T O T A L S 13 0 15 32 14
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 84.82 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 13.1 (no red card)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.72 (no red card)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.73 (no red card)
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.93 (no red card)
Mf Marco Arce: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.74 (no red card)
Mf Diop N'day: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.14 (no red card)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.54 (no red card)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.18 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.7 (no second yellow)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.33 (no red card)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.18 (no red card)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.38 (no red card)
******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.81 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.33 (no red card)
Mf Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.31 (no red card)
Df Khalid Harit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.56 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.38 (no second yellow)
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.04 (no red card)
Df Federico Sorin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.22 (no red card)
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.89 (no red card)
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.23 (no red card)
Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.93 (no red card)
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.9 (no red card)
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.44 (no red card)
Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.94 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Derby County Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 92.14 (no injury)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.01 (no injury)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.39 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Vincent Hamidou is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.21 (no injury)
Mf Marco Arce: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.05 (no injury)
Mf Diop N'day: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.78 (no injury)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.79 (no injury)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.1 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.95 (no injury)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.3 (no injury)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.0 (no injury)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Derby County Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 25.06 (no injury)
Mf Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.45 (no injury)
Df Khalid Harit: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.72 (no injury)
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.63 (no injury)
Df Federico Sorin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.79 (no injury)
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.78 (no injury)
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.36 (no injury)
Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.04 (no injury)
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.82 (no injury)
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.46 (no injury)
Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.58 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 14
- Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 12
intRndPk = 21
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cédric Kenne SL 6
- Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 48% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 15 13 21 28 45
Derby County 13 0 15 32 14
Derby County is using Offside Trap!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 15 (45 - 15) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 32) / 2; rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 3 ((21 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Df Vincent Hamidou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 77.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Alain Teulet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Alain Teulet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 82.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 87.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 26.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 47.76 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 75.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 12.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 56.96 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Derby County 13 0 15 32 14
Southend United 15 13 21 28 45
Derby County is Playing For A Draw!
Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 21)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 1 ((32 - 28) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((15 - 45) / 5; rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SOUTHEND UNITED 4 - DERBY COUNTY 1
Match Notes
Southend thru unless they lose by 5 or more, Derby out unless they win by 5 or more.
John (Port Vale FC) 01/05 - 3:05 AM
Derby can also go thru if they win and Oldham draw.
John (Port Vale FC) 01/05 - 3:06 AM