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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Smahi Regragui         13    0   13     Gk Joshua Samed           12    0   12
Sw Tjoris Dumfried        12    0   12     Sw Tommy McGree           10    0   10
Df Abdul Otu              10    0   10     Df Santiago Castillo      13    0   13
Df Kim Yong                8    0    8     Df Gabriel Lind           10    0   10
Df Miguel Torres           5    2    7     Df Michaël Van der Heyden  5    2    7
Mf Angus McKay            13    0   13     Mf Ian Tejeda             13    0   13
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait         2    2    4     Mf Thomas Robinson        10    0   10
Fw Heorhiy Kozak          10    0   10     Mf Patrice Djemba          5    2    7
Fw Quique Diez            10    0   10     Fw Ryu Haraguchi          13    0   13
Fw Johan Van Zandt         8    0    8     Fw Damien Sanchez         14    0   14
Fw Raphaël Mayeux          5    2    7     Fw Slava Levchenko         5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 12 25 17 35        ROSTER TOTALS      12 10 30 30 34    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 12 25 17 35         T O T A L S       12 10 30 30 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.13 (no red card)

Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.47 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.3 (no red card)

Df Kim Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.66 (no red card)

Df Miguel Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.94 (no red card)

Mf Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.08 (no red card)

Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.2 (no red card)

Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.32 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Heorhiy Kozak new match skill level =  5
      Heorhiy Kozak new match total level =  5

Fw Quique Diez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.44 (no red card)

Fw Johan Van Zandt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.36 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.53 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.13 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.06 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.42 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.48 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.62 (no red card)

Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.93 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.39 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.54 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.8 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.0 (no red card)

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.43 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 24.86 (no injury) 
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.22 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.24 (no injury) 
Df Kim Yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.66 (no injury) 
Df Miguel Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.11 (no injury) 
Mf Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.99 (no injury) 
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.94 (no injury) 
Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.99 (no injury) 
Fw Quique Diez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.16 (no injury) 
Fw Johan Van Zandt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.99 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.58 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 94.25 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.7 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.38 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.58 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.09 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.85 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.91 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.77 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.43 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.56 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.32 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Angus McKay SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 12

     intRndPk = 28
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Damien Sanchez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 13

     intRndPk = 19
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     13  12  25  17  30
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  10  30  30  34

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 30)
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 34) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  10  30  30  34
  Preston North End FC     13  12  25  17  30

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 9 (34 - 25); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((30 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Thomas Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Thomas Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Thomas Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 59.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 74.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 73.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 53.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 23.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 0  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2
 
Match Notes
Ian’s sides are never easy to take on. Preston are no different.
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/12 - 9:02 AM
Happy with that result
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/19 - 8:03 AM
 
 
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