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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Coventry City
Non League II
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

COVENTRY CITY                              CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alejandro Campana      11    0   11     Gk Joshua Samed           12    0   12
Df Samuel Alnoudji        11    0   11     Sw Tommy McGree           10    0   10
Df Manuel Santos           9    0    9     Df Santiago Castillo      13    0   13
Df Roberto Sanchez         9    0    9     Df Sion Davey             10    0   10
Df Roberto Mora            6    0    6     Df Michaël Van der Heyden  5    2    7
Df Saïd Mohamed            6    2    8     Mf Ian Tejeda             13    0   13
Mf Ramiro Murillo         11    0   11     Mf Stefan Boniek          10    0   10
Mf Dragoljub Bylyk         9    0    9     Mf Mario Pletikosa         2    2    4
Mf Martin Gil              8    0    8     Fw Damien Sanchez         14    0   14
Fw James Ganiyu           11    0   11     Fw Joel Zamora            10    0   10
Fw Oleksiy Shevchenko     10    0   10     Fw Luigi Suarez           10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  0 43 28 21        ROSTER TOTALS      12 10 30 27 34    
       2  0  1  2  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  0 44 30 21         T O T A L S       12 10 30 27 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  COVENTRY CITY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Alejandro Campana: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 31.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 52.17 (no red card)

Df Samuel Alnoudji: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 70.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 68.85 (no red card)

Df Manuel Santos: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 88.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 29.09 (no red card)

Df Roberto Sanchez: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 29.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 43.99 (no red card)

Df Roberto Mora: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 21.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 40.15 (no red card)

Df Saïd Mohamed: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 63.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 56.98 (no red card)

Mf Ramiro Murillo: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 33.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 18.52 (no red card)

Mf Dragoljub Bylyk: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 22.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 88.9 (no red card)

Mf Martin Gil: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 68.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 18.1 (no red card)

Fw James Ganiyu: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 43.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 31.08 (no red card)

Fw Oleksiy Shevchenko: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 90.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 4.14 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.53 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.66 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.5 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.82 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.58 (no red card)

Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.74 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.49 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.46 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.19 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.71 (no red card)

Fw Luigi Suarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.33 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  COVENTRY CITY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Coventry City Team Hardness = 5
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Alejandro Campana: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 58.78 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Alnoudji: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 92.56 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Santos: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 80.0 (no injury) 
Df Roberto Sanchez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 25.09 (no injury) 
Df Roberto Mora: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 41.03 (no injury) 
Df Saïd Mohamed: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 83.89 (no injury) 
Mf Ramiro Murillo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 69.23 (no injury) 
Mf Dragoljub Bylyk: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 49.72 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Gil: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 33.05 (no injury) 
Fw James Ganiyu: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 4.51 (no injury) 
Fw Oleksiy Shevchenko: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 54.83 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Coventry City Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 40.51 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 31.1 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 79.51 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 88.93 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 96.67 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 46.91 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 37.53 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 95.81 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 48.9 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 91.09 (no injury) 
Fw Luigi Suarez: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 79.05 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Samuel Alnoudji SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 12

     intRndPk = 39
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)

*******  COVENTRY CITY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Damien Sanchez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alejandro Campana SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  COVENTRY CITY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Coventry City            13   0  44  30  21
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  10  30  27  34

Coventry City Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 30)
Coventry City Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Coventry City Df Attacks = 2 ((44 - 34) / 5); result rounded up
Coventry City Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Roberto Mora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Manuel Santos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Ramiro Murillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ramiro Murillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 70.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  10  30  27  34
  Coventry City            13   0  44  30  21

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 44)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 3 ((30 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Michaël Van der Heyden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 84.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
COVENTRY CITY 1  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2
 
Match Notes
This just might be the play-off for the wooden spoon already
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/12 - 9:01 AM
A dull affair for the fans but delighted with the points
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/19 - 8:02 AM
 
 
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