(H)

Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker

Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S HEREFORD UNITED FC DERBY COUNTY Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Mauricio Higuain 12 2 14 Gk Muhammed Asamoah 14 0 14 Df Seny Sarr 13 2 15 Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo 5 2 7 Df Alan Cole 12 0 12 Df Johnny Müller 14 2 16 Mf Filip Kramaric 12 2 14 Df Mikkel Iversen 13 1 14 Mf Blaise Akanji 11 2 13 Df Rodrigo de Corona 11 1 12 Fw Exequiel Gutierrez 12 2 14 Df Kwadwo Danlad 9 2 11 Fw Lukasz Dudka 14 2 16 Mf Cédric Kenne 13 2 15 Fw Kaj Jensen 10 0 10 Mf Henry Rowles 13 2 15 Fw Eric Mertens 8 2 10 Df Muziano Doni 7 2 9 Fw Manuel Benaglio 8 0 8 Fw Sadou Moussa 12 2 14 Fw Gerald Ruiz 3 2 5 Fw Roque Ramos 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 0 27 27 63 ROSTER TOTALS 14 7 62 30 25 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 4 4 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 0 28 31 76 T O T A L S 14 7 64 30 25 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.43 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.79 (no red card) Df Seny Sarr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.46 (no red card) Df Alan Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.0 (no red card) Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.87 (no red card) Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.39 (no red card) Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.18 (no red card) Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.62 (no red card) Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.71 (no red card) Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.57 (no red card) Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.35 (no red card) Fw Gerald Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.79 (no red card) ******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.19 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.29 (no red card) Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.69 (no red card) Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.31 (no red card) Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 82.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 37.35 (no red card) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.02 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 75.75 (no second yellow) Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 26.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.64 (no red card) Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.0 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 85.05 (no second yellow) Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.25 (no red card) Df Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.24 (no red card) Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 23.13 (no red card) Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.42 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 13.78 (no second yellow) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0 - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 88.76 (no injury) Df Seny Sarr: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 42.37 (no injury) Df Alan Cole: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.6 (no injury) Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 65.49 (no injury) Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.22 (no injury) Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.83 (no injury) Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.47 (no injury) Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.45 (no injury) Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 5.63 (no injury) Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.88 (no injury) Fw Gerald Ruiz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.0 (no injury) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0% - Gk chance of injury = 1.5% Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 1.61 (no injury) Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 83.17 (no injury) Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.11 (no injury) Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.11 (no injury) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 72.44 (no injury) Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.09 (no injury) Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 48.08 (no injury) Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 50.51 (no injury) Df Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 50.54 (no injury) Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 59.51 (no injury) Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 41.33 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Lukasz Dudka SL 14 - Defending Gk: Muhammed Asamoah SL 14 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Johnny Müller SL 14 - Defending Gk: Mauricio Higuain SL 12 intRndPk = 27 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Hereford United FC 15 0 28 31 76 Derby County 14 7 64 30 25 Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 12 (76 - 64); result rounded up Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((31 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 1 ((28 - 25) / 5); result rounded up Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 14 1: Attack for Df Alan Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Filip Kramaric Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 50.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Kaj Jensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 41.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Kaj Jensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 34.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 45.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 10.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Derby County 14 7 64 30 25 Hereford United FC 15 0 28 31 76 Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 28) Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 31) / 2; rounded up) Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((64 - 76) / 3; rounded up) Derby County Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E HEREFORD UNITED FC 0 - DERBY COUNTY 0