(H)
Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
HEREFORD UNITED FC SWINDON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Sebastian Cavani 11 1 12 Gk Federico Curbelo 10 0 10
Sw Anthony Makepeace 7 2 9 Df Quentin Mertens 15 0 15
Df Thierry Renard 7 2 9 Df Hajime Tanaka 13 0 13
Df Roberto Marcelo 5 2 7 Df Thiago De Paul 7 0 7
Df Jacob Kaminski 5 2 7 Df Marten Huisman 4 2 6
Mf Josh Jordan 11 1 12 Mf Toby Llewellyn 15 0 15
Mf Tarek Jlassi 7 1 8 Mf Krunoslav Ivusic 8 2 10
Fw Bengt Lindström 13 0 13 Mf Han Gae 4 2 6
Fw Eric Mertens 10 1 11 Fw Conway Roberts 15 0 15
Fw Alexandre LaPorte 7 2 9 Fw Maxi Olivera 10 1 11
Fw Patrice Mertens 6 2 8 Fw Duje Majer 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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12 9 23 20 41 ROSTER TOTALS 10 0 41 31 32
0 0 0 0 2 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
12 9 23 20 50 T O T A L S 10 0 41 31 32
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Sebastian Cavani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.96 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.51 (no red card)
Sw Anthony Makepeace: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.33 (no red card)
Df Thierry Renard: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.2 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.81 (no second yellow)
Df Roberto Marcelo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.8 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.18 (no second yellow)
Df Jacob Kaminski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.12 (no red card)
Mf Josh Jordan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 94.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 56.56 (no red card)
Mf Tarek Jlassi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.53 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.67 (no second yellow)
Fw Bengt Lindström: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.21 (no red card)
Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.07 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.97 (no second yellow)
Fw Alexandre LaPorte: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 20.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 23.04 (no red card)
Fw Patrice Mertens: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.34 (no red card)
******* SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.13 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.1 (no red card)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.99 (no red card)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.44 (no red card)
Df Thiago De Paul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.98 (no red card)
Df Marten Huisman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.25 (no red card)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.06 (no red card)
Mf Krunoslav Ivusic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.55 (no red card)
Mf Han Gae: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.96 (no red card)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.57 (no red card)
Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.28 (no red card)
Fw Duje Majer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.68 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 2
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Sebastian Cavani: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 32.03 (no injury)
Sw Anthony Makepeace: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 45.9 (no injury)
Df Thierry Renard: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.23 (no injury)
Df Roberto Marcelo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.93 (no injury)
Df Jacob Kaminski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 12.48 (no injury)
Mf Josh Jordan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 80.7 (no injury)
Mf Tarek Jlassi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 45.74 (no injury)
Fw Bengt Lindström: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.73 (no injury)
Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 90.77 (no injury)
Fw Alexandre LaPorte: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.69 (no injury)
Fw Patrice Mertens: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 67.42 (no injury)
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 41.23 (no injury)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.44 (no injury)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.64 (no injury)
Df Thiago De Paul: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.6 (no injury)
Df Marten Huisman: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 65.81 (no injury)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.14 (no injury)
Mf Krunoslav Ivusic: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.17 (no injury)
Mf Han Gae: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.87 (no injury)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 13.51 (no injury)
Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.71 (no injury)
Fw Duje Majer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 34.57 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Bengt Lindström SL 13
- Defending Gk: Federico Curbelo SL 10
intRndPk = 72
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Quentin Mertens SL 15
- Defending Gk: Sebastian Cavani SL 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Hereford United FC 12 9 23 20 50
Swindon Town FC 10 0 41 31 32
Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 9 (50 - 41); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 31) / 2; rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 32) / 3; rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Fw Bengt Lindström
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 0.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Eric Mertens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 39.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Alexandre LaPorte
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 69.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Bengt Lindström
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Bengt Lindström
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Alexandre LaPorte
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 62.39 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Bengt Lindström
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Patrice Mertens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Eric Mertens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
******* SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Town FC 10 0 41 31 32
Hereford United FC 12 9 23 20 50
Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 9 (32 - 23); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((31 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 50) / 5; rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 15
1: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Krunoslav Ivusic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Krunoslav Ivusic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 20.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 21.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
HEREFORD UNITED FC 1 - SWINDON TOWN FC 0
Match Notes
Hereford hosting Swindon in Division 3 — tidy enough fixture on paper. Someone will impose their structure early, and the other will spend 90 minutes reacting.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jul 10 (Coventry City)