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Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Reuben Lennon          12    2   14     Gk Isa Etim               16    2   18
Sw Esteban Martin         15    2   17     Sw Rafael Corona          16    2   18
Df Vieira Mendes          15    2   17     Df Erik Richter           14    2   16
Df Jonathan Acosta        14    2   16     Df Juan-Carlos Pique      10    2   12
Df Benedicto Montiel      13    1   14     Df Paul Muir              13    2   15
Df Marko Mandžukic        12    2   14     Df Daley Hiddink           9    2   11
Mf Bertus De leeuw        15    1   16     Mf Shigeo Makino          13    2   15
Mf Ivan Vida              13    2   15     Mf Ghaith Ahmed           12    2   14
Fw Boris Rudenko          16    2   18     Mf Clint Smith             9    0    9
Fw Torben Thygesen        15    2   17     Fw Greg Rashford          15    2   17
Fw Ayrton Bielsa          13    1   14     Fw Christian Egli          9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 17 61 31 49        ROSTER TOTALS      18 18 54 38 28    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  6  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  4  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 17 61 37 52         T O T A L S       18 18 54 42 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 80.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 9.03 (no red card)

Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.32 (no red card)

Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 46.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 23.19 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 82.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 69.6 (no red card)

Df Benedicto Montiel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 38.48 (no red card)

Df Marko Mandžukic: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 5.06 (no red card)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.19 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.8 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 21.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.44 (no red card)

Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 35.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 1.13 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Torben Thygesen new match skill level =  8
      Torben Thygesen new match total level =  10

Fw Ayrton Bielsa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 56.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.89 (no red card)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Isa Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.29 (no red card)

Sw Rafael Corona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.4 (no red card)

Df Erik Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.81 (no red card)

Df Juan-Carlos Pique: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.93 (no red card)

Df Paul Muir: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.76 (no red card)

Df Daley Hiddink: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.84 (no red card)

Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.2 (no red card)

Mf Ghaith Ahmed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.46 (no red card)

Mf Clint Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.08 (no red card)

Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.43 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.62 (no second yellow)

Fw Christian Egli: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.18 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 4.09 (no injury) 
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.66 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Esteban Martin is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.7 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Vieira Mendes is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 75.38 (no injury) 
Df Benedicto Montiel: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 67.81 (no injury) 
Df Marko Mandžukic: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.06 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 33.52 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.81 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 3.9 (no injury) 
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.46 (no injury) 
Fw Ayrton Bielsa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.5 (no injury) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Isa Etim: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 38.34 (no injury) 
Sw Rafael Corona: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.81 (no injury) 
Df Erik Richter: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.19 (no injury) 
Df Juan-Carlos Pique: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 2.51 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Juan-Carlos Pique is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Paul Muir: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.63 (no injury) 
Df Daley Hiddink: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.17 (no injury) 
Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.32 (no injury) 
Mf Ghaith Ahmed: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.09 (no injury) 
Mf Clint Smith: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.57 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.86 (no injury) 
Fw Christian Egli: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.61 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Boris Rudenko SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Isa Etim SL 16

     intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Greg Rashford SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Reuben Lennon SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          16  17  61  37  45
  Northampton Town FC      18  18  54  42  28

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (45 - 54)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((37 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 11 ((61 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Vieira Mendes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Vieira Mendes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Vieira Mendes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 7.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Vieira Mendes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Marko Mandžukic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Vieira Mendes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 54.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Benedicto Montiel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Jonathan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 81.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Df Marko Mandžukic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Df Benedicto Montiel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Df Vieira Mendes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 86.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      18  18  54  42  28
  Dorchester Town          16  17  61  37  45

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 61)
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((42 - 37) / 2) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((54 - 45) / 3); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Erik Richter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Paul Muir
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Daley Hiddink
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 40.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Shigeo Makino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Ghaith Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Shigeo Makino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 46.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 3  -  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Definitely a must win game for us to have any chance of winning promotion.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/19 - 11:31 AM
Dorchester have had a fantastic season
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/21 - 5:57 AM
Finished the league campaign in style and won promotion.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/24 - 10:25 PM
Nice win for Dorchester who have a good team
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 08/31 - 10:32 PM
 
 
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