(H)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SOUTHEND UNITED NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Alonso Lopez 16 2 18 Gk Kurt Östman 16 2 18
Sw Glen Clarke 12 2 14 Sw Thiago Boniek 15 2 17
Df Vincent Hamidou 16 2 18 Df Martin Persson 15 2 17
Df Mauricio López 14 2 16 Df Gualberto Burgos 14 2 16
Mf Diop N'day 11 2 13 Df Nour Zaroury 13 2 15
Mf Marco Arce 11 2 13 Df Mbaye Dieng 9 2 11
Fw Cássio Lemos 17 2 19 Mf Noah Martinez 12 2 14
Fw Jamie Behich 14 2 16 Mf Bruno Freda 9 2 11
Fw Ignacio Pékerman 12 2 14 Fw Atef Omar 15 2 17
Fw Rónald Aguilera 12 2 14 Fw Paul Dumont 15 2 17
Fw Kenzie McDonald 14 1 15 Fw Óscar Vargas 16 2 18
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 14 34 26 78 ROSTER TOTALS 18 17 59 25 52
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 1 2 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
19 14 35 28 84 T O T A L S 18 17 59 25 52
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 25.76 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 23.73 (no red card)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.85 (no red card)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.31 (no red card)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.52 (no red card)
Mf Diop N'day: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.7 (no red card)
Mf Marco Arce: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.18 (no red card)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.54 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.25 (no red card)
Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.99 (no red card)
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.74 (no red card)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.86 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.61 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.57 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.35 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.33 (no red card)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.11 (no red card)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.99 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.38 (no red card)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.2 (no red card)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.22 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.66 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.92 (no red card)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.23 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 88.77 (no injury)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.4 (no injury)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.72 (no injury)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.95 (no injury)
Mf Diop N'day: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.67 (no injury)
Mf Marco Arce: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.2 (no injury)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.85 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.23 (no injury)
Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.2 (no injury)
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.92 (no injury)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.91 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 9.89 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.46 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.42 (no injury)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.02 (no injury)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.42 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.17 (no injury)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.34 (no injury)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.29 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.18 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.75 (no injury)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.1 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 17
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16
intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Óscar Vargas SL 16
- Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 19 14 35 28 84
Nottingham Forest 18 17 59 25 52
Southend United Fw Attacks = 25 (84 - 59); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 52) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 27
1: Attack for Mf Diop N'day
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Marco Arce
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 67.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 36.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 17 59 25 52
Southend United 19 14 35 28 84
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 17 (52 - 35); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((59 - 84) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 95.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 4.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 89.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 25.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SOUTHEND UNITED 0 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2
Match Notes
Sorry, Colin.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 03/08 - 6:21 PM
That’s ok Steve. I’ve had worse days 😂
Colin (Southend United) 03/09 - 11:33 AM