(H)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION DERBY COUNTY Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Jonas Lien 16 2 18 Gk Fernando Pellistri 15 2 17 Sw Théo Billard 16 2 18 Sw Artur Boniek 15 1 16 Df Eric Aidoo 14 2 16 Df Rodrigo de Corona 14 1 15 Df Michael Addo 12 2 14 Df Alex Hassan 14 2 16 Df Jaap De wit 9 2 11 Df Mikkel Iversen 9 2 11 Mf Raouf Salem 14 2 16 Df Johnny Müller 5 2 7 Mf Rigobert Mahamat 14 2 16 Mf Ike Azeez 14 2 16 Mf William Gomez 13 2 15 Mf Cédric Kenne 5 2 7 Fw Khalilou Konaté 12 2 14 Mf Krystian Sobolewski 5 2 7 Fw Hamdi Mabrouk 10 2 12 Fw Erik Christiansen 9 2 11 Fw Takao Soma 9 2 11 Fw Eligio Palacios 5 2 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 18 41 47 37 ROSTER TOTALS 17 16 49 30 18 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 18 41 47 46 T O T A L S 17 16 49 36 18 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.23 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.4 (no red card) Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.08 (no red card) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.33 (no red card) Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.13 (no red card) Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.95 (no red card) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.84 (no red card) Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.1 (no red card) Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.21 (no red card) Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.16 (no red card) Fw Hamdi Mabrouk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.13 (no red card) Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.54 (no red card) ******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.97 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.85 (no red card) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 82.52 (no red card) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 79.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 56.31 (no red card) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 81.21 (no red card) Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 73.53 (no red card) Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 79.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 1.73 (no red card) Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.09 (no red card) Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 19.72 (no red card) Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 23.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.35 (no red card) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 30.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 82.34 (no red card) Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.81 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0 - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 78.06 (no injury) Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 42.5 (no injury) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 11.78 (no injury) Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.38 (no injury) Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.95 (no injury) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.56 (no injury) Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 34.48 (no injury) Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 42.07 (no injury) Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.98 (no injury) Fw Hamdi Mabrouk: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 11.64 (no injury) Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.99 (no injury) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0% - Gk chance of injury = 1.5% Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 31.38 (no injury) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 45.44 (no injury) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.04 (no injury) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.3 (no injury) Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.44 (no injury) Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 45.19 (no injury) Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 20.1 (no injury) Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 11.19 (no injury) Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 73.63 (no injury) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 41.71 (no injury) Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 58.83 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Eric Aidoo SL 14 - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Rodrigo de Corona SL 14 - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 16 intRndPk = 42 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brighton & Hove Albion 18 18 41 47 46 Derby County 17 16 49 36 18 Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (46 - 49) Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 6 ((47 - 36) / 2) ; result rounded up Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 8 ((41 - 18) / 3); result rounded up Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 14 1: Attack for Df Jaap De wit Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Eric Aidoo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Michael Addo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Df Jaap De wit Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Df Eric Aidoo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Df Jaap De wit Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Df Jaap De wit Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Df Michael Addo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Mf William Gomez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 34.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 2.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Mf William Gomez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Mf William Gomez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) ******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Derby County 17 16 49 36 18 Brighton & Hove Albion 18 18 41 47 46 Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 41) Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 47) / 2; rounded up) Derby County Df Attacks = 1 ((49 - 46) / 3); result rounded up Derby County Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Df Alex Hassan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0 - DERBY COUNTY 0