(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Sheffield United
James Bucknall
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED SHEFFIELD UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dani Cassio 15 2 17 Gk Miljenko Sucic 16 -1 15
Sw Philippe Manago 14 0 14 Sw Raichi Nakamura 14 -1 13
Df Marco Sa 13 1 14 Df Ivan Rakitic 14 2 16
Df Jonas Schäfer 12 2 14 Df André Ricken 13 2 15
Df Kyria Brozovic 9 2 11 Df Vladimir Kuhn 9 2 11
Mf Minato Morishima 14 2 16 Df Cian Broderick 5 2 7
Mf Ousmane Laforest 9 2 11 Mf Ismaila Aminu 14 2 16
Fw Jordan Pérez 16 1 17 Mf Mathew Driver 5 2 7
Fw Yannick Vanaken 12 2 14 Fw Samuel Agbo 19 2 21
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 11 2 13 Fw Pablo Ryan 14 2 16
Fw Agustin Martinez 9 2 11 Fw Aidan Brown 10 2 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 14 39 27 55 ROSTER TOTALS 15 13 49 23 49
0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 2 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 14 39 30 62 T O T A L S 18 15 49 23 49
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.21 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.96 (no red card)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.91 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.94 (no second yellow)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.75 (no red card)
Df Jonas Schäfer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.68 (no red card)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.04 (no red card)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.74 (no red card)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.94 (no red card)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.22 (no red card)
Fw Yannick Vanaken: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.36 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.06 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.79 (no red card)
******* SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.32 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.98 (no red card)
Sw Raichi Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.23 (no red card)
Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.66 (no red card)
Df André Ricken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.03 (no red card)
Df Vladimir Kuhn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.86 (no red card)
Df Cian Broderick: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.75 (no red card)
Mf Ismaila Aminu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.16 (no red card)
Mf Mathew Driver: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.26 (no red card)
Fw Samuel Agbo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.55 (no red card)
Fw Pablo Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.89 (no red card)
Fw Aidan Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.46 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
- Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 17.67 (no injury)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.15 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.99 (no injury)
Df Jonas Schäfer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.86 (no injury)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.44 (no injury)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.47 (no injury)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.32 (no injury)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.62 (no injury)
Fw Yannick Vanaken: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.75 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.75 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.13 (no injury)
******* SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 7.92 (no injury)
Sw Raichi Nakamura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.99 (no injury)
Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.79 (no injury)
Df André Ricken: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.79 (no injury)
Df Vladimir Kuhn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.67 (no injury)
Df Cian Broderick: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.15 (no injury)
Mf Ismaila Aminu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.27 (no injury)
Mf Mathew Driver: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.1 (no injury)
Fw Samuel Agbo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.75 (no injury)
Fw Pablo Ryan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.24 (no injury)
Fw Aidan Brown: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.09 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jordan Pérez SL 16
- Defending Gk: Miljenko Sucic SL 16
intRndPk = 19
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Samuel Agbo SL 19
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 17 14 39 30 62
Sheffield United 18 15 49 23 49
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 13 (62 - 49); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 4 ((30 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 49) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Mf Ousmane Laforest
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Ousmane Laforest
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Minato Morishima
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Ousmane Laforest
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 12.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Agustin Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
******* SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Sheffield United 18 15 49 23 49
Carlisle United 17 14 39 30 62
Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 10 (49 - 39); result rounded up
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 62) / 3; rounded up)
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Pablo Ryan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Aidan Brown
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Aidan Brown
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Aidan Brown
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Aidan Brown
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 0 - SHEFFIELD UNITED 0
Match Notes
Carlisle still have something to play for here.
~ James ~ Jul 6 (Sheffield United)
Buckers makes the trip from Beverley with Sheffield United, though Carlisle at home rarely roll out the welcome mat. Jose Mourinho vibes or not, the data will decide.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jul 8 (Coventry City)
Perhaps we should’ve gone for it a little more. Lesson learnt.
~ James ~ Jul 11 (Sheffield United)