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Watford
James Tucker
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Riccardo Di matteo     16    2   18     Gk Dara Hays              13    2   15
Sw Saul Aquino            15    1   16     Sw Ramires Jesus           9    2   11
Df Felipe Pérez           15    2   17     Df Toshihiro Nakamura     15    2   17
Df Alain Fauché           15    2   17     Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck   13    2   15
Df Walter McGree           9    2   11     Df Damir Vasilj           12    2   14
Mf Hirving Borgetti       12    2   14     Df Jacob Beynon            9    2   11
Mf Seth Sibley             5    2    7     Mf Jacek Frankowski       15    2   17
Fw Julien De Boeck        16    2   18     Mf Peter Bengtsson        13    2   15
Fw Edgar Jimenez          15    2   17     Mf Duško Kolomyets        10    2   12
Fw Matty Begum            13    1   14     Mf Marcus Teulet           9    2   11
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal        10    2   12     Fw Takeshi Fukunishi      15    2   17

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 16 45 21 61        ROSTER TOTALS      15 11 57 55 17    
       0  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  1  0  0  2    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 16 45 23 69         T O T A L S       15 12 64 55 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.67 (no red card)

Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.89 (no red card)

Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.17 (no red card)

Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.67 (no red card)

Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.86 (no red card)

Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.18 (no red card)

Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.13 (no red card)

Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.52 (no red card)

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.16 (no red card)

Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.97 (no red card)

Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.67 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.43 (no red card)

Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.18 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.47 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.64 (no red card)

Df Damir Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.2 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.6 (no red card)

Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.16 (no red card)

Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.32 (no red card)

Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.88 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.06 (no second yellow)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.74 (no red card)

Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.95 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 87.11 (no injury) 
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.69 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.72 (no injury) 
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.01 (no injury) 
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.83 (no injury) 
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.44 (no injury) 
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.08 (no injury) 
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.11 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.43 (no injury) 
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.56 (no injury) 
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.53 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 76.34 (no injury) 
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.63 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.84 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.53 (no injury) 
Df Damir Vasilj: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.28 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.68 (no injury) 
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.46 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.77 (no injury) 
Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.49 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.24 (no injury) 
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.4 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Julien De Boeck SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 13

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Toshihiro Nakamura SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  21  16  45  23  69
  Carlisle United          15  12  64  55  19

Watford Fw Attacks = 5 (69 - 64); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 55) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 9 ((45 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 92.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Alain Fauché
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 12.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Walter McGree
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Alain Fauché
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Alain Fauché
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Alain Fauché
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 71.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 86.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          15  12  64  55  19
  Watford                  21  16  45  23  69

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 45)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 8 ((55 - 23) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((64 - 69) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Duško Kolomyets
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 11.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Duško Kolomyets
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 19.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 2  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
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