(H)
Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
Watford
James Tucker
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC WATFORD
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Timothy James 14 2 16 Gk Mads Frost 15 2 17
Sw Randall Gutiérrez 13 1 14 Sw Nico Lehmann 9 2 11
Df Ado Di matteo 16 -1 15 Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 17 1 18
Df Herman Lambert 13 1 14 Df Keita Hattori 16 2 18
Df Zinedine Castex 12 2 14 Df Oskar Qvist 8 2 10
Mf Mats Larsson 13 2 15 Mf Kevin Castex 16 2 18
Mf Abdel Baya 9 2 11 Mf Octavio Barbosa 5 2 7
Fw Alhassan Baffoe 14 2 16 Fw Valerio Paredes 16 0 16
Fw Jakub Fabianski 14 1 15 Fw Takao Soma 13 1 14
Fw Wladimir Groen 10 1 11 Fw Vitalik Semenyuk 9 2 11
Fw Salvatore De luca 9 2 11 Fw Yassine Aloui 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
16 14 43 26 53 ROSTER TOTALS 17 11 46 25 48
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 1 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
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16 14 43 26 62 T O T A L S 17 11 54 25 48
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Timothy James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.39 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.57 (no red card)
Sw Randall Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.88 (no red card)
Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.49 (no red card)
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.19 (no red card)
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.4 (no red card)
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.3 (no red card)
Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.92 (no red card)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.82 (no red card)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.78 (no red card)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.55 (no red card)
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.44 (no red card)
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.08 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.53 (no red card)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.19 (no red card)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.47 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.28 (no red card)
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.8 (no red card)
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.63 (no red card)
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.66 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.7 (no red card)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.92 (no red card)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.36 (no red card)
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.81 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Timothy James: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 21.69 (no injury)
Sw Randall Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.38 (no injury)
Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.83 (no injury)
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.48 (no injury)
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.76 (no injury)
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.69 (no injury)
Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.74 (no injury)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.98 (no injury)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.76 (no injury)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.22 (no injury)
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.12 (no injury)
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 31.37 (no injury)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.66 (no injury)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.21 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.77 (no injury)
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.84 (no injury)
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.09 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Kevin Castex is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.78 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.05 (no injury)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.45 (no injury)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.29 (no injury)
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.85 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ado Di matteo SL 16
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mykhailo Pavlyuk SL 17
- Defending Gk: Timothy James SL 14
intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 16 14 43 26 62
Watford 17 11 54 25 48
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 8 (62 - 54); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 48) / 3; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Mf Mats Larsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 68.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 47.05 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 17 11 54 25 48
Oldham Athletic AFC 16 14 43 26 62
Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 3 (48 - 43) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 26) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 62) / 3; rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0 - WATFORD 0
Match Notes
We’re still sticking to the idea of not losing on our home turf!
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 03/14 - 7:46 AM