(H)

Derby County
Martyn Hathaway

Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S DERBY COUNTY CREWE ALEXANDRA FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Muhammed Asamoah 14 1 15 Gk Per Holmdahl 9 2 11 Sw Artur Boniek 12 1 13 Sw Tommy McGree 14 2 16 Df Rodrigo de Corona 16 0 16 Df Michaël Van der Heyden 15 2 17 Df Alex Hassan 14 1 15 Df Edwin O'Doherty 9 2 11 Mf Henry Rowles 11 2 13 Df Festus Abubakar 5 2 7 Mf Krystian Sobolewski 9 2 11 Mf Smahi Youssef 16 2 18 Fw Yahia El mostafa 14 0 14 Mf Patrice Djemba 15 2 17 Fw Erik Christiansen 11 1 12 Mf Mario Pletikosa 9 2 11 Fw Reimundo Almada 11 2 13 Fw Slava Levchenko 15 2 17 Fw Sadou Moussa 9 2 11 Fw Joel Zamora 14 2 16 Fw Eligio Palacios 9 2 11 Fw Zvonimir Bradaric 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 13 31 24 61 ROSTER TOTALS 11 16 35 46 44 0 0 0 0 2 HARDNESS 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 13 31 24 72 T O T A L S 14 16 38 46 46 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.86 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.72 (no red card) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 35.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 5.64 (no red card) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 85.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 83.52 (no red card) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 85.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 6.43 (no red card) Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.43 (no red card) Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 47.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.2 (no red card) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 44.51 (no red card) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 59.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.34 (no red card) Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.89 (no red card) Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.72 (no red card) Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.14 (no red card) ******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 3 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.45 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.79 (no red card) Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 25.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 83.95 (no red card) Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 20.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 11.2 (no red card) Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 64.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 17.35 (no red card) Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.37 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 52.0 (no second yellow) Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 65.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 39.42 (no red card) Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 24.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 39.83 (no red card) Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 9.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 67.27 (no red card) Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 67.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 96.83 (no red card) Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 71.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 84.44 (no red card) Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 19.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 13.02 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 3 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.25% - Gk chance of injury = 2.62% Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of injury = 2.62% | Random number = 97.38 (no injury) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 70.64 (no injury) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 41.37 (no injury) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 25.4 (no injury) Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 93.58 (no injury) Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 34.33 (no injury) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 49.5 (no injury) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 31.34 (no injury) Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 63.93 (no injury) Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 35.56 (no injury) Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 64.22 (no injury) ******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 3 - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75% - Gk chance of injury = 2.37% Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 89.89 (no injury) Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 62.07 (no injury) Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 16.53 (no injury) Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 23.68 (no injury) Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 56.09 (no injury) Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 95.65 (no injury) Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 47.06 (no injury) Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 17.51 (no injury) Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 46.85 (no injury) Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 61.22 (no injury) Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 93.23 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Rodrigo de Corona SL 16 - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 9 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Smahi Youssef SL 16 - Defending Gk: Muhammed Asamoah SL 14 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Derby County 15 13 31 24 72 Crewe Alexandra FC 14 16 38 46 46 Derby County Fw Attacks = 34 (72 - 38); result rounded up Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 46) / 2; rounded up) Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 46) / 3; rounded up) Derby County Total Attacks = 34 1: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 39.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Eligio Palacios Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Eligio Palacios Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Eligio Palacios Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 6.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 0.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Eligio Palacios Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Eligio Palacios Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 27: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 92.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 30: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 72.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 32: Attack for Fw Eligio Palacios Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 33: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) ******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Crewe Alexandra FC 14 16 38 46 46 Derby County 15 13 31 24 72 Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 15 (46 - 31); result rounded up Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((46 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 72) / 3; rounded up) Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 26 1: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 48.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 14.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 51.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 14.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 78.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E DERBY COUNTY 2 - CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
Match Notes

The sort of game we hang our heads after this season
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/02 - 10:45 AM


We hang our heads again
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/09 - 12:51 PM