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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Samir Bouaziz          15   -2   13     Gk Petro Vasylenko        16    1   17
Sw Bradley Perry          14    2   16     Sw Ji-An Sang-chul        18    2   20
Df Jaap De wit            13    2   15     Df Roman Piatek           13    2   15
Df Eric Aidoo             11    2   13     Df Kurt Mörner            10    2   12
Df Joshua Partey          10    2   12     Mf Ogenyi Kabiru          13    2   15
Mf Yuriy Taran            12    2   14     Mf Darrell Sinclair        9    2   11
Mf Rigobert Mahamat       11    2   13     Fw Song Sun               15    0   15
Mf Gearoid O'Rourke       11    2   13     Fw Gabriel Maciocia       14    2   16
Mf Minki Sung-yeung        9    2   11     Fw Pierre Dumont          11    2   13
Fw Bastien Troussier      17    1   18     Fw Shkodran Neuville      10    2   12
Fw Elias Mayer             9    1   10     Fw Stewart Scholes         5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 16 40 51 28        ROSTER TOTALS      17 20 27 26 63    
       1  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 17 40 60 28         T O T A L S       17 23 27 26 63    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 21.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 81.35 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 22.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.67 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.08 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 23.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 5.77 (no red card)

Df Joshua Partey: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 35.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 56.79 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 40.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.5 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 29.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 26.33 (no red card)

Mf Gearoid O'Rourke: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.05 (no red card)

Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.31 (no red card)

Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.8 (no red card)

Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 77.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 56.82 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Petro Vasylenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.05 (no red card)

Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.23 (no red card)

Df Roman Piatek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.65 (no red card)

Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.28 (no red card)

Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.31 (no red card)

Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.64 (no red card)

Fw Song Sun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.33 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Maciocia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.7 (no red card)

Fw Pierre Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.39 (no red card)

Fw Shkodran Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.53 (no red card)

Fw Stewart Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.82 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 63.22 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.48 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 32.34 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.33 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Eric Aidoo is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.08 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 79.68 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.6 (no injury) 
Mf Gearoid O'Rourke: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 61.2 (no injury) 
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 44.0 (no injury) 
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 86.39 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 30.25 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Petro Vasylenko: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 97.26 (no injury) 
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 97.48 (no injury) 
Df Roman Piatek: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.01 (no injury) 
Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 46.91 (no injury) 
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 91.37 (no injury) 
Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.48 (no injury) 
Fw Song Sun: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.34 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Maciocia: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.9 (no injury) 
Fw Pierre Dumont: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.58 (no injury) 
Fw Shkodran Neuville: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 11.03 (no injury) 
Fw Stewart Scholes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 5.93 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bastien Troussier SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Petro Vasylenko SL 16

     intRndPk = 64
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Song Sun SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14  17  40  60  28
  Queens Park Rangers      17  23  27  26  63

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 1 (28 - 27); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 17 ((60 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Gearoid O'Rourke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Gearoid O'Rourke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 79.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Gearoid O'Rourke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 23.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Gearoid O'Rourke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 70 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 74 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Gearoid O'Rourke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 36.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Gearoid O'Rourke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Gearoid O'Rourke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Gearoid O'Rourke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      17  23  27  26  63
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14  17  40  60  28

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 23 (63 - 40); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 60) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 28) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Gabriel Maciocia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Stewart Scholes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 79.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Gabriel Maciocia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Pierre Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Pierre Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Stewart Scholes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 47.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Pierre Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 23.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 62.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Pierre Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Pierre Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 28.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Gabriel Maciocia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Pierre Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 1
 
Match Notes
Please see my comment from our match bs Lewes (we’re not doing well in the tie)
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/20 - 2:59 PM
Got pretty lucky today. James deserved at least a tie.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/26 - 9:45 PM
 
 
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