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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Maciej Piechniczek     15    1   16     Gk Toby Barmby            16    2   18
Sw Santiago Ramos         15    2   17     Sw Ji-An Sang-chul        17    2   19
Df Júlio Casemiro         11    2   13     Df Kurt Mörner            14    2   16
Df Christian Kristensen   10    2   12     Df Hakim Aguerd           13    2   15
Mf Cobi Keller            10    2   12     Df Roman Piatek            9    2   11
Mf Søren Jacobsen         10    2   12     Mf Darrell Sinclair       13    2   15
Fw Sebastian Zielinski    16    2   18     Mf Ogenyi Kabiru           9    2   11
Fw Granit Wicky           16    0   16     Mf Stjepan Grbic           5    2    7
Fw Valentyn Shulga        15    2   17     Fw Fabian Weber           14    2   16
Fw Tim Scholz             17    1   18     Fw Song Sun                5    2    7
Fw Robbie Murphy          10    2   12     Fw Justin Sibley           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 17 25 24 81        ROSTER TOTALS      18 19 42 33 29    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  4  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 18 28 28 83         T O T A L S       18 22 42 33 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.93 (no red card)

Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.23 (no red card)

Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.86 (no red card)

Df Christian Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.34 (no second yellow)

Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.46 (no red card)

Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.97 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.0 (no second yellow)

Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.14 (no red card)

Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.59 (no red card)

Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.08 (no red card)

Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.57 (no red card)

Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.77 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.04 (no red card)

Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.85 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.52 (no second yellow)

Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.56 (no red card)

Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.91 (no red card)

Df Roman Piatek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.17 (no red card)

Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.4 (no red card)

Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.38 (no red card)

Mf Stjepan Grbic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.12 (no red card)

Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.22 (no red card)

Fw Song Sun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.96 (no red card)

Fw Justin Sibley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.63 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 6.89 (no injury) 
Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.79 (no injury) 
Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.62 (no injury) 
Df Christian Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.31 (no injury) 
Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.64 (no injury) 
Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.56 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.05 (no injury) 
Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.88 (no injury) 
Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.96 (no injury) 
Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.25 (no injury) 
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.38 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 36.69 (no injury) 
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.19 (no injury) 
Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.58 (no injury) 
Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.23 (no injury) 
Df Roman Piatek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.19 (no injury) 
Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.71 (no injury) 
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.05 (no injury) 
Mf Stjepan Grbic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.11 (no injury) 
Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.01 (no injury) 
Fw Song Sun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.83 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Sibley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.05 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tim Scholz SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Toby Barmby SL 16

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kurt Mörner SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Maciej Piechniczek SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          19  18  28  28  83
  Queens Park Rangers      18  22  42  33  29

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 41 (83 - 42); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 29) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 41

1: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 70 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 74 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 73 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 31.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 50.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
40: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
41: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      18  22  42  33  29
  Tranmere Rovers          19  18  28  28  83

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 1 (29 - 28); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 3 ((33 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 83) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Darrell Sinclair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Stjepan Grbic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 79.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Darrell Sinclair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 0  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 0
 
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