(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST BRISTOL CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonathan Kome 16 2 18 Gk Eugene Vasilev 15 2 17
Sw Thiago Boniek 16 2 18 Sw Atsushi Oshima 15 1 16
Df Mbaye Dieng 16 2 18 Df Yahya Cheddira 14 1 15
Df Nicomedes Martino 13 2 15 Df Willy Cerfbeer 13 1 14
Df Martin Persson 13 2 15 Df Martin Rodríguez 10 2 12
Mf Marwan Sforza 9 2 11 Df Patrick LecLercq 9 2 11
Mf Fernando Bentancur 9 2 11 Df Jeppe Bach 5 2 7
Fw Ederson Fabinho 15 2 17 Mf Valentin Gavranovic 9 2 11
Fw Keiron Chamberlain 14 2 16 Mf Samim Skov 5 2 7
Fw Atef Omar 13 1 14 Fw Mislav Caleta-Car 9 2 11
Fw Paul Dumont 14 2 16 Fw Jacob Jones 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 18 48 22 63 ROSTER TOTALS 17 16 59 18 22
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 2 0 2 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 4 3 0
=======================================================================
21 21 50 24 72 T O T A L S 17 16 63 21 22
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.69 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.03 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.31 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.69 (no red card)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.49 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.67 (no red card)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.71 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.87 (no red card)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.2 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.35 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.12 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.32 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.55 (no second yellow)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.5 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.22 (no red card)
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.49 (no red card)
Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.4 (no red card)
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.99 (no red card)
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.25 (no red card)
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.35 (no red card)
Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.94 (no red card)
Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.55 (no red card)
Mf Samim Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.06 (no red card)
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.5 (no red card)
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.87 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 42.36 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.11 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.75 (no injury)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.71 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.89 (no injury)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.36 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.34 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Fernando Bentancur is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Fernando Bentancur new match skill level = 5
Fernando Bentancur new match total level = 7
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.39 (no injury)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.55 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.23 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.9 (no injury)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 10.53 (no injury)
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.82 (no injury)
Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.49 (no injury)
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.98 (no injury)
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.43 (no injury)
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.03 (no injury)
Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.32 (no injury)
Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.97 (no injury)
Mf Samim Skov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.47 (no injury)
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.95 (no injury)
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.09 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mbaye Dieng SL 16
- Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 15
intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Yahya Cheddira SL 14
- Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 16
intRndPk = 42
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 21 21 50 20 72
Bristol City FC 17 16 63 21 22
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 9 (72 - 63); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 21) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 10 ((50 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Df Nicomedes Martino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Martin Persson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 28.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Martin Persson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 93.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 5.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Df Martin Persson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Df Martin Persson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 5.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Df Martin Persson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Df Martin Persson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 36.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.31 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bristol City FC 17 16 63 21 22
Nottingham Forest 21 21 50 20 72
Bristol City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 50)
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 20) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((63 - 72) / 3; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1 - BRISTOL CITY FC 0
Match Notes
A draw will be enough.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 03/07 - 6:43 PM
Steve, if you'd like to collude, let me know.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 03/14 - 3:39 PM
Clearly, the PL thinks we don't stand a chance.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 03/14 - 3:40 PM