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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Smahi Regragui         16   -2   14     Gk Finlay Palmer          16    2   18
Sw Tjoris Dumfried        15    2   17     Sw Bryn Gough             15    2   17
Df Hayden Goodwin         16    2   18     Df Nestor Omlin           15    2   17
Df Abdul Otu              14    2   16     Df Bassirou Mbaye         13    2   15
Df Oribe Vega             17    2   19     Df Alan Matuidi           11    2   13
Mf Miguel López           15    2   17     Mf Jorge Perez            15    2   17
Mf Angus McKay            13    2   15     Mf Faustino Verón          5    2    7
Fw Eduardo Luna           14    2   16     Fw Si-Won Min-woo         15   -2   13
Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan       12    2   14     Fw Syam Arfaoui           15    1   16
Fw Šime Sucic              9    2   11     Fw Nenad Kovtun           13    1   14
Fw Pol Ruiz                5    2    7     Fw Charles Sweeney        16    1   17

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 17 53 32 48        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 45 24 60    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 17 53 32 57         T O T A L S       21 20 45 24 60    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.91 (no red card)

Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.21 (no red card)

Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.89 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.09 (no red card)

Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.23 (no red card)

Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.55 (no red card)

Mf Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.96 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.93 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.53 (no second yellow)

Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.7 (no red card)

Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.18 (no red card)

Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.72 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.76 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.14 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.16 (no red card)

Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.47 (no red card)

Df Alan Matuidi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.43 (no red card)

Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.17 (no red card)

Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.28 (no red card)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.36 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Si-Won Min-woo new match skill level =  8
      Si-Won Min-woo new match total level =  6

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.62 (no red card)

Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.0 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.4 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.65 (no injury) 
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.91 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.19 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.61 (no injury) 
Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.32 (no injury) 
Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.67 (no injury) 
Mf Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.99 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.93 (no injury) 
Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.2 (no injury) 
Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.38 (no injury) 
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.09 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 46.95 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.12 (no injury) 
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.05 (no injury) 
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.51 (no injury) 
Df Alan Matuidi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.43 (no injury) 
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.47 (no injury) 
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.82 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.13 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.7 (no injury) 
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.9 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.34 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oribe Vega SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 16

     intRndPk = 83
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Charles Sweeney SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 16

     intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     17  17  53  32  57
  Plymouth Argyle FC       21  20  45  24  53

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 12 (57 - 45); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((32 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Angus McKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Angus McKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 19.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Angus McKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Angus McKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 24.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 37.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 91.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       21  20  45  24  53
  Preston North End FC     17  17  53  32  57

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (53 - 53)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 1  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Still, a chance for Plymouth to secure the second spot here!
Abe (Leeds United) 07/15 - 3:27 PM
Ian needs a big session to avoid relegation. I imagine he'll come out with a full squad.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/20 - 1:42 AM
That unwarranted and unjustified red card ended up costing us the match.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/26 - 1:31 AM
 
 
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