(H)
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S LEWES FC SWANSEA CITY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Marcos Cruz 16 2 18 Gk Pathé Ndong 7 2 9 Sw Nazariy Kozak 15 1 16 Df Enrique Masis 15 -1 14 Df Shay Given 14 2 16 Df Gharib Alami 13 1 14 Df Marco Sibaja 9 2 11 Df Miguel de la Cruz 9 2 11 Mf Faber Ruiz 13 1 14 Df Lucas Stuhr 8 2 10 Mf Luis Jarquin 9 2 11 Mf Mikkel Hedegaard 9 2 11 Fw Ichiro Sakai 14 1 15 Mf Kenneth Sani 7 2 9 Fw Justice Shorunmu 14 1 15 Mf Per Hamann 4 2 6 Fw Taylor Stevenson 14 1 15 Fw Gerry Maclaren 15 0 15 Fw Jean Diouf 9 1 10 Fw Michaël Van der heijden17 2 19 Fw Roberto Bonano 5 2 7 Fw Renato Cabanas 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 16 27 25 62 ROSTER TOTALS 9 0 49 26 45 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 19 16 27 25 71 T O T A L S 9 0 49 26 45 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 1.38 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 8.48 (no red card) Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.08 (no red card) Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.49 (no red card) Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.29 (no red card) Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.29 (no red card) Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.74 (no red card) Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.97 (no red card) Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.5 (no red card) Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.44 (no red card) Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.31 (no red card) Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.0 (no red card) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.73 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.06 (no red card) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.1 (no red card) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.86 (no red card) Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.48 (no red card) Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.06 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.38 (no second yellow) Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.89 (no red card) Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.45 (no red card) Mf Per Hamann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.94 (no red card) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.83 (no red card) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.66 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.6 (no second yellow) Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.06 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1 - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 87.03 (no injury) Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.97 (no injury) Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.89 (no injury) Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.24 (no injury) Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.17 (no injury) Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.1 (no injury) Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.52 (no injury) Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.19 (no injury) Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.72 (no injury) Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.33 (no injury) Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.76 (no injury) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 96.55 (no injury) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.01 (no injury) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.8 (no injury) Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.05 (no injury) Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.16 (no injury) Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.58 (no injury) Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.37 (no injury) Mf Per Hamann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.37 (no injury) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.68 (no injury) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.55 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Michaël Van der heijden is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.41 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Shay Given SL 14 - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 7 intRndPk = 55 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick) ******* LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 17 - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Lewes FC 19 16 27 25 71 Swansea City AFC 9 0 49 26 45 Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 22 (71 - 49); result rounded up Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 45) / 3; rounded up) Lewes FC Total Attacks = 22 1: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 29.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 24.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 82.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 12.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 21.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 57.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 4.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 40.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 8.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 40.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 45.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 60.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 21: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 52.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swansea City AFC 9 0 49 26 45 Lewes FC 19 16 27 25 71 Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 18 (45 - 27); result rounded up Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 71) / 5; rounded up) Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 19 1: Attack for Mf Kenneth Sani Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 80.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 4.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 87.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 76.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 45.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 34.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 10.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 18.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E LEWES FC 3 - SWANSEA CITY AFC 1
Match Notes
Finished 3rd.....not sure how as we anticipated relegation. Long rebuild ahead
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/20 - 6:49 PM