(H)

Swindon Town FC
Matt White

Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SWINDON TOWN FC OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Bo Norlén 14 0 14 Gk Manuel Zakaria 15 2 17 Df Martin Toivonen 14 1 15 Sw Mitsuo Soma 13 0 13 Df Dan Martinez 8 0 8 Df Herman Lambert 15 1 16 Df Yahaya Etim 8 0 8 Df Faryd Cuadrado 14 2 16 Df Nelson Kelly 6 2 8 Df Zinedine Castex 8 2 10 Mf Cameron Gates 13 1 14 Mf Vibeke Skov 14 2 16 Mf Etienne Willems 13 0 13 Mf Manuel Alves 16 2 18 Mf Artem Fedorov 10 2 12 Fw Jakub Fabianski 14 2 16 Mf Fernando Militao 9 0 9 Fw Wladimir Groen 13 2 15 Fw Yuto Kawashima 14 0 14 Fw Marouane Peeters 13 2 15 Fw Valeriy Yastenko 9 2 11 Fw Vladimir Ureña 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 0 39 48 25 ROSTER TOTALS 17 13 42 34 56 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 14 0 39 48 42 T O T A L S 17 15 42 34 56 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.57 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.2 (no red card) Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.48 (no red card) Df Dan Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.5 (no red card) Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.89 (no red card) Df Nelson Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.23 (no red card) Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.37 (no red card) Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.84 (no red card) Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.22 (no red card) Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.58 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.92 (no second yellow) Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.73 (no red card) Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.32 (no red card) ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.24 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.74 (no red card) Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.99 (no red card) Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.39 (no red card) Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.13 (no red card) Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.25 (no red card) Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.26 (no red card) Mf Manuel Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.43 (no red card) Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.17 (no red card) Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.25 (no red card) Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.43 (no red card) Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.45 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.63 (no injury) Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.13 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 4 Martin Toivonen loses 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Martin Toivonen new match skill level = 7 Martin Toivonen new match total level = 8 Df Dan Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.43 (no injury) Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.22 (no injury) Df Nelson Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.73 (no injury) Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.26 (no injury) Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.97 (no injury) Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.8 (no injury) Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.06 (no injury) Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.08 (no injury) Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.73 (no injury) ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.95 (no injury) Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.48 (no injury) Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.77 (no injury) Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.61 (no injury) Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.97 (no injury) Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.47 (no injury) Mf Manuel Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.94 (no injury) Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.54 (no injury) Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.21 (no injury) Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.12 (no injury) Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.96 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Yuto Kawashima SL 14 - Defending Gk: Manuel Zakaria SL 15 intRndPk = 91 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick) ******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Manuel Alves SL 16 - Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 14 intRndPk = 37 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swindon Town FC 14 0 32 48 42 Oldham Athletic AFC 17 15 42 34 56 Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (42 - 42) Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((48 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 56) / 5; rounded up) Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 7 1: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Artem Fedorov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Oldham Athletic AFC 17 15 42 34 56 Swindon Town FC 14 0 32 48 42 Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 24 (56 - 32); result rounded up Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 48) / 2; rounded up) Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 42) / 3; rounded up) Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 24 1: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 33.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 12.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 94.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 72.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 68.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 33.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 38.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 37.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 79.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 17: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 44.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 14.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 62.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 64.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SWINDON TOWN FC 0 - OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 3