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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            HEREFORD UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Bo Norlén               9    2   11     Gk Mauricio Higuain       10    2   12
Df Martin Toivonen        14    0   14     Sw Victor Cruz             8    0    8
Df Enrique Gimenez        14    0   14     Df Alan Cole              10    2   12
Df Secundino López         9    2   11     Df Seny Sarr               5    2    7
Mf Etienne Willems        15    0   15     Mf Filip Kramaric          5    2    7
Mf Brecht De wit          12    1   13     Mf Blaise Akanji           5    2    7
Mf Cameron Gates           9    2   11     Fw Manuel Benaglio        12    1   13
Mf Artem Fedorov           8    2   10     Fw Sviatoslav Polishchuk  11   -1   10
Fw Bartosz Frankowski     12    0   12     Fw Kaj Jensen             10    2   12
Fw António Guerreiro      12    0   12     Fw Lukasz Dudka            9    2   11
Fw Yuto Kawashima          9    2   11     Fw Exequiel Gutierrez      4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  0 39 49 35        ROSTER TOTALS      12  8 19 14 52    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  0 39 49 44         T O T A L S       12 11 19 18 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.61 (no red card)

Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.32 (no red card)

Df Enrique Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.01 (no red card)

Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.82 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.26 (no red card)

Mf Brecht De wit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.99 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.04 (no red card)

Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.69 (no red card)

Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.59 (no red card)

Fw António Guerreiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.89 (no red card)

Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.34 (no red card)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.94 (no red card)

Sw Victor Cruz: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 32.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 17.57 (no red card)

Df Alan Cole: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.75 (no red card)

Df Seny Sarr: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 55.79 (no red card)

Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 55.18 (no red card)

Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 89.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.78 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.34 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.34 (no second yellow)

Fw Sviatoslav Polishchuk: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.83 (no red card)

Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 93.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.87 (no red card)

Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 53.91 (no red card)

Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.39 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 25.93 (no injury) 
Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.37 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Gimenez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.21 (no injury) 
Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.09 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.04 (no injury) 
Mf Brecht De wit: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 73.96 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.25 (no injury) 
Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.72 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Artem Fedorov loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Artem Fedorov new match skill level =  4
      Artem Fedorov new match total level =  6
Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.26 (no injury) 
Fw António Guerreiro: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 42.19 (no injury) 
Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.77 (no injury) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 82.12 (no injury) 
Sw Victor Cruz: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 77.08 (no injury) 
Df Alan Cole: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 48.68 (no injury) 
Df Seny Sarr: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 88.03 (no injury) 
Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.44 (no injury) 
Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 20.28 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.87 (no injury) 
Fw Sviatoslav Polishchuk: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 48.82 (no injury) 
Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 30.84 (no injury) 
Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.39 (no injury) 
Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.14 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Etienne Willems SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Mauricio Higuain SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Manuel Benaglio SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 9

     intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          11   0  39  45  44
  Hereford United FC       12  11  19  18  52

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 25 (44 - 19); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 14 ((45 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 52) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 39

1: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 12.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Artem Fedorov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 45.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 92.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 89.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Yuto Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 54.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 68.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 97.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Yuto Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 57.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 31.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Yuto Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Yuto Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
37: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 49.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       12  11  19  18  52
  Swindon Town FC          11   0  39  45  44

Hereford United FC is Playing For A Draw!
Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 7 (52 - 39) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Kaj Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 51.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 77.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 54.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Sviatoslav Polishchuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 83.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 5  -  HEREFORD UNITED FC 2
 
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