Session 11 Coaches Poll deadline in 44 hours and 2 minutes
Automated Scheduler now on for the rest of the season. If you need extra time some week email commish directly.
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Monday, March 16th, 2026 - 09:57:28 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats TablesTeams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(H)
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Muhammed Asamoah       11    0   11     Gk Dani Cassio             9    2   11
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo  10   -1    9     Sw Philippe Manago        15    2   17
Df Kwadwo Danlad          16    0   16     Df Marco Sa               15    2   17
Df Johnny Müller          15    0   15     Df Eirwyn Davey           13    2   15
Fw Muziano Doni           12    1   13     Df Jacob Beynon           10    2   12
Fw Cédric Kenne           12    1   13     Df Nicola Panucci          9    2   11
Mf Henry Rowles           11    2   13     Mf Marco D'amato          15    2   17
Mf Enoch Gyan             10    1   11     Mf Aliyu Edet             13    2   15
Fw Sadou Moussa           14    0   14     Mf Minato Morishima        9    2   11
Fw Roque Ramos            13    0   13     Fw Jordan Pérez           15    2   17
Fw Donal O'Moore          10    2   12     Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue     9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  9 31 24 65        ROSTER TOTALS      11 17 55 43 28    
       0  0  0  1  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  6  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  9 31 27 81         T O T A L S       14 17 62 43 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.95 (no red card)

Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 34.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.73 (no red card)

Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 17.78 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 54.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.42 (no red card)

Fw Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.77 (no red card)

Fw Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.44 (no red card)

Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 73.0 (no red card)

Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.03 (no red card)

Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 47.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.61 (no red card)

Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.89 (no red card)

Fw Donal O'Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 43.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.94 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.27 (no red card)

Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.28 (no red card)

Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.27 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.16 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.71 (no second yellow)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.26 (no red card)

Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.85 (no red card)

Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.39 (no red card)

Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.05 (no red card)

Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.98 (no red card)

Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.92 (no red card)

Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 40.02 (no injury) 
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.89 (no injury) 
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 11.96 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.49 (no injury) 
Fw Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.7 (no injury) 
Fw Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 66.48 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 23.22 (no injury) 
Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 72.26 (no injury) 
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.71 (no injury) 
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 17.11 (no injury) 
Fw Donal O'Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 67.76 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 50.06 (no injury) 
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.9 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.44 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.54 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.19 (no injury) 
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.06 (no injury) 
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 15.06 (no injury) 
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.51 (no injury) 
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.8 (no injury) 
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 11.47 (no injury) 
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.57 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kwadwo Danlad SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 9

     intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Marco Sa SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Muhammed Asamoah SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             11   9  31  27  81
  Carlisle United          14  17  62  43  28

Derby County Fw Attacks = 19 (81 - 62); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 1 ((31 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Derby County Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Johnny Müller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 46.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 82.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 60.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 23.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 65.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 7.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          14  17  62  43  28
  Derby County             11   9  31  27  81

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 31)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 4 ((43 - 27) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((62 - 81) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Minato Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 68.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Marco D'amato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Marco D'amato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Minato Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 1  -  CARLISLE UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
 
 
Terms and Conditions