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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Leicester City FC
Hazel Hawker
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         LEICESTER CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joshua Samed           15    2   17     Gk Waylon Gómez           10    2   12
Sw Tommy McGree           15    2   17     Sw Tony Humphreys         11    2   13
Df Sion Davey             15    2   17     Df Jose-Manuel Mendez     13    0   13
Df Santiago Castillo      13    2   15     Df Michael Frost          10    2   12
Df Michaël Van der Heyden  9    2   11     Df Aidan Callahan         10    2   12
Mf Stefan Boniek          15    2   17     Df Jules Giguere           5    1    6
Mf Ian Tejeda             13    2   15     Mf Erik Sané              13    0   13
Mf Mario Pletikosa         5    2    7     Mf Ivan Rowles            10    2   12
Fw Joel Zamora            15    2   17     Mf Youssouf Konaté         5    2    7
Fw Ryu Haraguchi          14    2   16     Fw Gökhan Egli             9    1   10
Fw Damien Sanchez         14    1   15     Fw Sven Skog               5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 17 43 39 48        ROSTER TOTALS      12 13 43 32 17    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 17 43 41 55         T O T A L S       12 13 43 32 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.43 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.5 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.57 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.71 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.12 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.61 (no red card)

Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.82 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.92 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.66 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.36 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.23 (no red card)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Waylon Gómez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.57 (no red card)

Sw Tony Humphreys: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.26 (no red card)

Df Jose-Manuel Mendez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.34 (no red card)

Df Michael Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.45 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.32 (no second yellow)

Df Aidan Callahan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.3 (no red card)

Df Jules Giguere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.47 (no red card)

Mf Erik Sané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.06 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Rowles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.56 (no red card)

Mf Youssouf Konaté: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.51 (no red card)

Fw Gökhan Egli: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.55 (no red card)

Fw Sven Skog: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.99 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.11 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.61 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.33 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.65 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.56 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.64 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.24 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.99 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.54 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.15 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.1 (no injury) 

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Waylon Gómez: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 14.65 (no injury) 
Sw Tony Humphreys: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.57 (no injury) 
Df Jose-Manuel Mendez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.92 (no injury) 
Df Michael Frost: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.96 (no injury) 
Df Aidan Callahan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.06 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Aidan Callahan is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Jules Giguere: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.91 (no injury) 
Mf Erik Sané: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.3 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.71 (no injury) 
Mf Youssouf Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.23 (no injury) 
Fw Gökhan Egli: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.77 (no injury) 
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.22 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sion Davey SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Waylon Gómez SL 10

     intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jose-Manuel Mendez SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 15

     intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       17  17  43  41  55
  Leicester City FC        12  13  43  32  17

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 12 (55 - 43); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((41 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 9 ((43 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Df Michaël Van der Heyden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Michaël Van der Heyden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Sion Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 2.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 30.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 49.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 74.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 3.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 43.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leicester City FC        12  13  43  32  17
  Crewe Alexandra FC       17  17  43  41  55

Leicester City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 43)
Leicester City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Leicester City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Leicester City FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1  -  LEICESTER CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
We will have to throw the kitchen sink at Leicester if we are to jump a division
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/14 - 5:19 AM
We managed to silence the Leicester attack
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/21 - 5:51 AM
 
 
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