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Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARDIFF CITY FC                            DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos     12    1   13     Gk Carlos Ferreto          6    2    8
Sw Lewis Kane             10    0   10     Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo  10    0   10
Df Mark O'Byrne           11    1   12     Df Kwadwo Danlad          14    0   14
Df Nick Jacobs            10    1   11     Df Johnny Müller          12    0   12
Mf Emil Jeppesen          13    0   13     Df Andrew Vaughan          6    2    8
Mf Russell Baccus         10    1   11     Df Gregory Reilly          5    2    7
Fw Leonardo Alonso        13    0   13     Mf Muziano Doni           15    0   15
Fw Fabrice Ndi            15    0   15     Mf Cédric Kenne           11    0   11
Fw Edson Blanco           10    1   11     Mf Martin Scholes          6    2    8
Fw Gustavo Pavon          10    0   10     Fw Roque Ramos            12    0   12
Fw Eddy Perez              5    2    7     Fw Sadou Moussa           11    0   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 10 23 24 56        ROSTER TOTALS       8 10 41 34 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 10 23 24 65         T O T A L S        8 10 41 34 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.56 (no red card)

Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.08 (no red card)

Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.6 (no red card)

Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.64 (no red card)

Mf Emil Jeppesen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.33 (no red card)

Mf Russell Baccus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.64 (no red card)

Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.26 (no red card)

Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.13 (no red card)

Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.65 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo Pavon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.1 (no red card)

Fw Eddy Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.82 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.57 (no red card)

Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.81 (no red card)

Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.87 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.76 (no red card)

Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.75 (no red card)

Df Gregory Reilly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.67 (no red card)

Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.11 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.08 (no red card)

Mf Martin Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.04 (no red card)

Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.22 (no red card)

Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.98 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 33.38 (no injury) 
Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.38 (no injury) 
Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.66 (no injury) 
Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.37 (no injury) 
Mf Emil Jeppesen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.94 (no injury) 
Mf Russell Baccus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.99 (no injury) 
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.02 (no injury) 
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.57 (no injury) 
Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.18 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo Pavon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.64 (no injury) 
Fw Eddy Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.81 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.54 (no injury) 
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.99 (no injury) 
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.3 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.84 (no injury) 
Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.3 (no injury) 
Df Gregory Reilly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.78 (no injury) 
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.2 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.5 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Scholes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.28 (no injury) 
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.84 (no injury) 
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.14 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabrice Ndi SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Carlos Ferreto SL 6

     intRndPk = 64
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Muziano Doni SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ronaldo Marquinhos SL 12

     intRndPk = 49
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          13  10  23  24  65
  Derby County             8  10  41  34  23

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 24 (65 - 41); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 23) / 3;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 26.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 39.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Gustavo Pavon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 75.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Gustavo Pavon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 73.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Gustavo Pavon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 22.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Eddy Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Gustavo Pavon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             8  10  41  34  23
  Cardiff City FC          13  10  23  24  65

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 23)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 5 ((34 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARDIFF CITY FC 2  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
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