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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joshua Samed           11    1   12     Gk Gregory Reyna           5    2    7
Df Sion Davey             13    1   14     Sw Ramires Jesus          10    1   11
Df Michaël Van der Heyden 11    2   13     Df Damir Vasilj            8    0    8
Df Emir Sellimi            6    1    7     Df Eirwyn Davey            5    2    7
Df Festus Abubakar         2    2    4     Df Marco Sa                2    2    4
Mf Stefan Boniek          13    1   14     Df Marcus Teulet           8    1    9
Mf Patrice Djemba         10    1   11     Df Peter Bengtsson         8    0    8
Mf Elkin Molina            3    2    5     Mf Aliyu Edet              5    2    7
Fw Joel Zamora            13    1   14     Mf Marco D'amato           2    2    4
Fw Erik Strömstedt        12    0   12     Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek      5    2    7
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric       6    2    8     Fw Jordan Pérez            2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 38 30 34        ROSTER TOTALS       7 11 36 11 11    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  4  3  0    
=======================================================================
      12  0 38 32 41         T O T A L S       10 11 40 14 11    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.5 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.11 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.96 (no red card)

Df Emir Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.67 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.94 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.57 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.16 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.67 (no second yellow)

Mf Elkin Molina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.23 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.17 (no red card)

Fw Erik Strömstedt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.61 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.68 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.69 (no red card)

Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.69 (no red card)

Df Damir Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.01 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.39 (no red card)

Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.57 (no red card)

Df Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.87 (no red card)

Df Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.56 (no red card)

Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.92 (no red card)

Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.01 (no red card)

Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.49 (no red card)

Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.79 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.72 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.5 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.95 (no injury) 
Df Emir Sellimi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.03 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.6 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.2 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.48 (no injury) 
Mf Elkin Molina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.33 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.27 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Strömstedt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.29 (no injury) 
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.29 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 16.31 (no injury) 
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.26 (no injury) 
Df Damir Vasilj: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.68 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.15 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.07 (no injury) 
Df Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.0 (no injury) 
Df Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.85 (no injury) 
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.8 (no injury) 
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.36 (no injury) 
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.83 (no injury) 
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.23 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sion Davey SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 5

     intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Damir Vasilj SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 11

     intRndPk = 72
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12   0  38  32  41
  Carlisle United          10  11  40  14  11

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 1 (41 - 40); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((32 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 6 ((38 - 11) / 5); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Michaël Van der Heyden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 16.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Sion Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Sion Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Emir Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 76.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Emir Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Sion Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 61.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Elkin Molina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 89.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 96.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 47.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Erik Strömstedt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          10  11  40  14  11
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12   0  38  32  41

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (11 - 38)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 3  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Carlisle again
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/05 - 8:18 AM
Another thumping on the cards for us again.
Dave (Carlisle United) 01/11 - 12:40 AM
Much needed first win in the league campaign
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/12 - 7:10 AM
 
 
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