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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          LEEDS UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kurt Östman            15    2   17     Gk Tadhg Boyle            15    1   16
Sw Édouard Gning          15    2   17     Sw Enoch Yahaya           10    2   12
Df Nour Zaroury           15    2   17     Df Servando Verón         14    2   16
Df Laurence Clarke        13    2   15     Df Yozhef Shapoval        14    2   16
Df Moez Mhedhebi          12    1   13     Df Manuel Palencia        11    2   13
Df Martin Persson          9    1   10     Df Frederik Hansen         9    2   11
Df Mbaye Dieng             5    2    7     Mf Etienne Waseige        12    2   14
Mf Noah Martinez           9    2   11     Mf Leif Abrahamsen         9    2   11
Mf Abel Peeters            5    2    7     Fw Christophe Thuram      15    0   15
Fw Atef Omar               9   -1    8     Fw Jozef Waseige          15    2   17
Fw Fredrik Engberg         8    0    8     Fw Jens Larsen            16   -2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 17 62 18 16        ROSTER TOTALS      16 12 56 25 46    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  8  1       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 20 62 26 17         T O T A L S       16 12 56 25 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.49 (no red card)

Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.02 (no red card)

Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.67 (no red card)

Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.97 (no red card)

Df Moez Mhedhebi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.14 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.23 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.64 (no red card)

Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.22 (no red card)

Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.88 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.51 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Atef Omar new match skill level =  5
      Atef Omar new match total level =  4

Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.81 (no red card)

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tadhg Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.13 (no red card)

Sw Enoch Yahaya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.92 (no red card)

Df Servando Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.84 (no red card)

Df Yozhef Shapoval: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.29 (no red card)

Df Manuel Palencia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.68 (no red card)

Df Frederik Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.39 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Waseige: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.09 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Etienne Waseige new match skill level =  6
      Etienne Waseige new match total level =  8

Mf Leif Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.07 (no red card)

Fw Christophe Thuram: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.33 (no red card)

Fw Jozef Waseige: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.26 (no red card)

Fw Jens Larsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.51 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 17.32 (no injury) 
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.03 (no injury) 
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.95 (no injury) 
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.48 (no injury) 
Df Moez Mhedhebi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.76 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.66 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.88 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.32 (no injury) 
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.59 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.15 (no injury) 
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.9 (no injury) 

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Tadhg Boyle: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.07 (no injury) 
Sw Enoch Yahaya: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.59 (no injury) 
Df Servando Verón: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.04 (no injury) 
Df Yozhef Shapoval: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.37 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Palencia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.0 (no injury) 
Df Frederik Hansen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.33 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Waseige: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.98 (no injury) 
Mf Leif Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.76 (no injury) 
Fw Christophe Thuram: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.09 (no injury) 
Fw Jozef Waseige: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.75 (no injury) 
Fw Jens Larsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.95 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nour Zaroury SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Tadhg Boyle SL 15

     intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jens Larsen SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 15

     intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        20  20  62  26  13
  Leeds United             16  12  56  19  46

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 56)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 2 ((26 - 19) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 3 ((62 - 46) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Laurence Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Martin Persson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 83.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Martin Persson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Noah Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Noah Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 39.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             16  12  56  19  46
  Nottingham Forest        20  20  62  26  13

Leeds United Fw Attacks = 0 (46 - 62)
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 15 ((56 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Leeds United Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Frederik Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Yozhef Shapoval
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Manuel Palencia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Servando Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Frederik Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Manuel Palencia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 16.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Servando Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Frederik Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 3.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Yozhef Shapoval
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Df Servando Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 70 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Df Yozhef Shapoval
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Df Yozhef Shapoval
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Df Manuel Palencia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Df Servando Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Df Servando Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1  -  LEEDS UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Fortunate to win and we're safe. Not sure what happened with PFD as I missed 4 for MF.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 07/20 - 6:30 PM
 
 
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