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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               LINCOLN CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jordan Rose            16    2   18     Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi     14    2   16
Sw Ricardo Xavier         15    2   17     Sw Jakob Petersen         16    0   16
Df Rasmus Antonsen        14    0   14     Df Hans Murphy            15    1   16
Df Martyn Owen            13    2   15     Df Percy Triggs           14    2   16
Df Kazu Fukunishi          5    2    7     Df Dante Geromel          10    2   12
Mf Alvaro Rodríguez       15   -1   14     Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan       10    2   12
Mf Shoji Tanaka           11    2   13     Mf Akira Nagatomo          9    2   11
Fw Armin Seuffert         15    1   16     Mf Fabio Luis              5    2    7
Fw Lilian Cazenave        13    1   14     Fw Benedicto Ortega        9    2   11
Fw Oliver Claesson        16    2   18     Fw Martin Jashari          9    2   11
Fw Michael Lagerbäck      10    1   11     Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong    5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 36 27 59        ROSTER TOTALS      16 16 56 18 29    
       3  3  4  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      21 20 40 27 68         T O T A L S       19 19 56 26 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 44.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 72.61 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 94.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 80.37 (no red card)

Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 49.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 8.08 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 31.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 39.85 (no red card)

Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 95.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 18.34 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 36.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 31.51 (no red card)

Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 29.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 62.32 (no red card)

Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 40.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 77.1 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 56.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 27.91 (no red card)

Fw Oliver Claesson: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 82.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 61.83 (no red card)

Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 0.36 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 88.87 (no second yellow)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.66 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.87 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.18 (no red card)

Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.31 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.81 (no second yellow)

Df Dante Geromel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.46 (no red card)

Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.5 (no red card)

Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.21 (no red card)

Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.05 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.31 (no second yellow)

Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.7 (no red card)

Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.81 (no red card)

Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.67 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 95.6 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 4.75 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Ricardo Xavier is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 0.4 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Rasmus Antonsen is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 83.35 (no injury) 
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 48.96 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 34.1 (no injury) 
Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 65.28 (no injury) 
Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 84.94 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 60.46 (no injury) 
Fw Oliver Claesson: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 14.15 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 57.15 (no injury) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.12%
Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 5.12% | Random number = 82.25 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 32.54 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 91.69 (no injury) 
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 66.75 (no injury) 
Df Dante Geromel: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 25.66 (no injury) 
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 16.91 (no injury) 
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 7.54 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Akira Nagatomo is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 69.95 (no injury) 
Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 63.36 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 94.23 (no injury) 
Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 72.58 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oliver Claesson SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Abdallah El Ahmadi SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Hans Murphy SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 29 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             21  20  40  27  68
  Lincoln City FC          19  19  56  26  29

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 12 (68 - 56); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 4 ((40 - 29) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Df Kazu Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Shoji Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Oliver Claesson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 88.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 90.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 61.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Oliver Claesson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          19  19  56  26  29
  Brentford FC             21  20  40  27  68

Lincoln City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 40)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((56 - 68) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 2  -  LINCOLN CITY FC 1
 
Match Notes
Lincoln City FC
• Lincoln City FC are free of injuries entering today's match.
Allan (Brentford FC) 03/08 - 12:09 AM
 
 
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