(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dara Hays 13 2 15 Gk Jonas Lien 16 2 18
Sw Cristhian Dybala 14 2 16 Sw Théo Billard 16 2 18
Df Toshihiro Nakamura 15 2 17 Df Eric Aidoo 14 2 16
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 13 2 15 Df Óscar Cespedes 14 2 16
Df Jacob Beynon 9 2 11 Df Michael Addo 12 2 14
Mf Jacek Frankowski 15 2 17 Mf Raouf Salem 14 2 16
Mf Marcus Teulet 9 2 11 Mf Rigobert Mahamat 14 2 16
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 15 2 17 Mf William Gomez 13 2 15
Fw Salem Bejaoui 14 2 16 Fw Elliot Wilkins 19 2 21
Fw Noah Zimmermann 11 1 12 Fw Hideaki Endo 12 2 14
Fw Jorge Diaz 11 1 12 Fw Khalilou Konaté 12 2 14
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 16 43 28 57 ROSTER TOTALS 18 18 46 47 49
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 1 0 0 0
0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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17 16 43 31 63 T O T A L S 18 19 46 47 49
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.23 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.65 (no red card)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.5 (no red card)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.59 (no red card)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.02 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.32 (no red card)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.81 (no red card)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.47 (no red card)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.02 (no red card)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.79 (no red card)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.9 (no red card)
Fw Jorge Diaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.63 (no red card)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.22 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.32 (no red card)
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.41 (no red card)
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.74 (no red card)
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.68 (no red card)
Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.89 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.98 (no second yellow)
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.48 (no red card)
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.41 (no red card)
Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.88 (no red card)
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.19 (no red card)
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.3 (no red card)
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.48 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 13.57 (no injury)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.36 (no injury)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.09 (no injury)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.6 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Kristoffer Lagerbäck is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Kristoffer Lagerbäck new match skill level = 7
Kristoffer Lagerbäck new match total level = 9
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.71 (no injury)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.08 (no injury)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.08 (no injury)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.68 (no injury)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.41 (no injury)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.04 (no injury)
Fw Jorge Diaz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.37 (no injury)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 39.41 (no injury)
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.12 (no injury)
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.99 (no injury)
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.51 (no injury)
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.13 (no injury)
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.01 (no injury)
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.5 (no injury)
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.97 (no injury)
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.53 (no injury)
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.73 (no injury)
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.07 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Toshihiro Nakamura SL 15
- Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 19
- Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 13
intRndPk = 2
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 78 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 17 16 37 31 63
Brighton & Hove Albion 18 19 46 47 49
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 17 (63 - 46); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 47) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 49) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Jorge Diaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Jorge Diaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Jorge Diaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Jorge Diaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Jorge Diaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 93.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 18 19 46 47 49
Carlisle United 17 16 37 31 63
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 12 (49 - 37); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 8 ((47 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 63) / 3; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 20
1: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf William Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf William Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf William Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf William Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 92.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 18.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
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F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 1 - BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 3