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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Maddison         16    2   18     Gk Samir Bouaziz          15   -2   13
Sw Oisin Lundin            5    2    7     Sw Bradley Perry          14    2   16
Df Cássio Alisson         15    2   17     Df Jaap De wit            13    2   15
Df Javi Flores             9    2   11     Df Eric Aidoo             11    2   13
Mf Imed Ahmed             14    2   16     Df Jason McDiarmid         9    2   11
Mf Damian Nabbout          9    2   11     Mf Yuriy Taran            12    2   14
Fw Roberto Bonano         15    2   17     Mf Rigobert Mahamat       11    2   13
Fw Shinya Soma            14    2   16     Mf Gearoid O'Rourke       11    2   13
Fw Jean Diouf             15    1   16     Mf Minki Sung-yeung        9    2   11
Fw Edson Blanco            5    2    7     Fw Bastien Troussier      17    1   18
Fw Daniel Abdou            4    2    6     Fw Elias Mayer             9    1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  7 28 27 62        ROSTER TOTALS      13 16 39 51 28    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  7 28 27 71         T O T A L S       14 17 39 51 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 31.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 87.63 (no red card)

Sw Oisin Lundin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.82 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.62 (no red card)

Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.53 (no red card)

Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.04 (no red card)

Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.05 (no red card)

Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.73 (no red card)

Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.47 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.79 (no red card)

Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.41 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Abdou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.15 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 25.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 63.54 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.83 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 33.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 26.57 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 10.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 50.59 (no red card)

Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.85 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 68.62 (no second yellow)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.87 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 85.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 50.91 (no red card)

Mf Gearoid O'Rourke: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 88.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 79.37 (no red card)

Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 14.15 (no red card)

Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.53 (no red card)

Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.57 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 60.6 (no injury) 
Sw Oisin Lundin: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 19.52 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 51.24 (no injury) 
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 88.19 (no injury) 
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 68.32 (no injury) 
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 7.04 (no injury) 
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 91.7 (no injury) 
Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 95.32 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 71.24 (no injury) 
Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 15.89 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Abdou: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 41.75 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 27.2 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 69.74 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 80.87 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 64.93 (no injury) 
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 60.88 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 19.81 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 94.66 (no injury) 
Mf Gearoid O'Rourke: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 75.59 (no injury) 
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 99.06 (no injury) 
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 83.94 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 70.51 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Alisson SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bastien Troussier SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19   7  28  27  71
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14  17  39  51  28

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 32 (71 - 39); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 51) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 28) / 3;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Fw Daniel Abdou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Daniel Abdou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 37.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 99.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14  17  39  51  28
  Lewes FC                 19   7  28  27  71

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 28)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 12 ((51 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 71) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Gearoid O'Rourke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 36.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 95.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 40.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 0.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 1  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1
 
Match Notes
Great rivalry, but a bit one sided as of late.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/20 - 2:59 PM
Hopefully it stays that way, but this Gulls squad is up and coming.
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/23 - 12:35 PM
Kicking back with no worries this final session...best of luck to those battling for titles and cups!
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/24 - 12:42 PM
Lack of shots on goal sealed our fate
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/26 - 6:16 PM
A win would have seen the Gulls stay in D2.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/26 - 8:19 PM
Dave - congrats on the division title!!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/26 - 8:20 PM
nice work B
Aires (Wycombe Wanderers) 07/30 - 11:03 AM
 
 
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