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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           PORT VALE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Pathé Ndong            14    2   16     Gk Hyun Tae-yong          15    1   16
Df Jordan Cummings        15    2   17     Sw Fokke Taylor           15    1   16
Df Bonturo Ferrari        13    2   15     Df Carsten Kragelund      15    0   15
Df Miguel de la Cruz      13    2   15     Df Philipp Vogel          14    2   16
Df Enrique Masis          10    2   12     Df Sven Thoren             9    2   11
Mf Walid Sellimi          12    2   14     Mf Santiago Villa         15    1   16
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard       11    2   13     Mf Alan Herdman            9    2   11
Fw Renato Cabanas         16    2   18     Fw Adam Vasilev           15    2   17
Fw Yeltsin Venegas        15    2   17     Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi   18   -1   17
Fw Gerry Maclaren         16    1   17     Fw Peter Goossens         14    2   16
Fw Dario Vasilj            9    2   11     Fw Hermidio Rivera         9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 59 27 63        ROSTER TOTALS      16 16 42 27 61    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  3    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 59 27 72         T O T A L S       19 16 42 27 64    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.41 (no red card)

Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.24 (no red card)

Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.58 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.05 (no red card)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.42 (no red card)

Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.97 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.74 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.4 (no red card)

Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.62 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.87 (no red card)

Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.2 (no red card)

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.54 (no red card)

Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.91 (no red card)

Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.58 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.84 (no second yellow)

Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.42 (no red card)

Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.35 (no red card)

Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.25 (no red card)

Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.73 (no red card)

Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.93 (no red card)

Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.0 (no red card)

Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.34 (no red card)

Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.82 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.94 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.37 (no injury) 
Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.06 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.12 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.22 (no injury) 
Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.86 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.51 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.4 (no injury) 
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.83 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.94 (no injury) 
Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.55 (no injury) 

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 12.08 (no injury) 
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.49 (no injury) 
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.63 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.12 (no injury) 
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.47 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.52 (no injury) 
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.67 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.53 (no injury) 
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.27 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.62 (no injury) 
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.39 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Renato Cabanas SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 15

     intRndPk = 23
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 14

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         16   0  59  27  72
  Port Vale FC             19  16  42  27  64

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 30 (72 - 42); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((59 - 64) / 5;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 30

1: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 28.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 59.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 49.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 90.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 83.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 96.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             19  16  42  27  64
  Swansea City AFC         16   0  59  27  72

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 5 (64 - 59); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 72) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 19.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 82.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 8.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 75.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 3  -  PORT VALE FC 1
 
Match Notes
Well done Roy
Colin (Southend United) 07/26 - 6:38 PM
Well that's frustrating
John (Port Vale FC) 07/26 - 10:45 PM
 
 
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