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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alexander Bach         15    2   17     Gk Yassine Amara          16    2   18
Sw Blerim Omlin           16    2   18     Sw Gilbert Tchato         16    1   17
Df Joseph Okoro           13    0   13     Df Eric Kompany           15    2   17
Df Kachi Kubo             10    2   12     Df Tetsuo Hoshizawa       14    2   16
Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi        11    2   13     Df Johan Teulet           12    2   14
Mf José Salvio            11    2   13     Df Lars Koster            12    2   14
Fw Kwadwo Djiku           16    2   18     Df Donal Reid              5    2    7
Fw Chibuikem Thomas       19    2   21     Mf Ludwig Troell          13    2   15
Fw Yun-u Seung-woo        15    2   17     Mf Oscar Sosa              4    2    6
Fw Minato Nishino         12    2   14     Fw Percy Maguire          16    2   18
Fw Secundino Frondizi     11    2   13     Fw Jacob White             5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 18 25 26 83        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 68 21 25    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  6  2  1       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  1  3  0    
=======================================================================
      20 19 31 28 84         T O T A L S       21 20 69 24 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.46 (no red card)

Sw Blerim Omlin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.17 (no red card)

Df Joseph Okoro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.5 (no red card)

Df Kachi Kubo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.91 (no red card)

Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.2 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.95 (no second yellow)

Mf José Salvio: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.49 (no red card)

Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.36 (no red card)

Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.91 (no red card)

Fw Yun-u Seung-woo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.86 (no red card)

Fw Minato Nishino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.6 (no red card)

Fw Secundino Frondizi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.21 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 80.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 57.24 (no red card)

Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 31.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 81.35 (no red card)

Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 55.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 0.22 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Eric Kompany new match skill level =  8
      Eric Kompany new match total level =  10

Df Tetsuo Hoshizawa: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 36.86 (no red card)

Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 71.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 43.47 (no red card)

Df Lars Koster: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 42.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 39.76 (no red card)

Df Donal Reid: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 35.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 10.51 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 31.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 60.13 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Sosa: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 82.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 78.43 (no red card)

Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 59.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 0.84 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Percy Maguire new match skill level =  8
      Percy Maguire new match total level =  10

Fw Jacob White: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 41.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 73.41 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.73 (no injury) 
Sw Blerim Omlin: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 64.4 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Okoro: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 70.77 (no injury) 
Df Kachi Kubo: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 74.25 (no injury) 
Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 35.95 (no injury) 
Mf José Salvio: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 70.36 (no injury) 
Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 71.9 (no injury) 
Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 58.77 (no injury) 
Fw Yun-u Seung-woo: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 91.77 (no injury) 
Fw Minato Nishino: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 5.93 (no injury) 
Fw Secundino Frondizi: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 65.38 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 3
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 5.02 (no injury) 
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.42 (no injury) 
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.05 (no injury) 
Df Tetsuo Hoshizawa: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.17 (no injury) 
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.9 (no injury) 
Df Lars Koster: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.18 (no injury) 
Df Donal Reid: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 48.05 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.66 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Sosa: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 66.54 (no injury) 
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 14.37 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob White: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 12.24 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Chibuikem Thomas SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tetsuo Hoshizawa SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          20  19  31  28  84
  Southend United          21  20  62  24  17

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 22 (84 - 62); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 5 ((31 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Df Joseph Okoro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Kachi Kubo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Joseph Okoro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 2.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Kachi Kubo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Kachi Kubo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 0.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 4.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 28.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 69 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Secundino Frondizi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Secundino Frondizi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Secundino Frondizi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Secundino Frondizi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 20.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Secundino Frondizi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Yun-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Yun-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 8.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Minato Nishino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Secundino Frondizi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 76.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Minato Nishino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 28.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          21  20  62  24  17
  Tranmere Rovers          20  19  31  28  84

Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 31)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((62 - 84) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 0  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 

Match Notes

Colin Scott making the trip down from Lesmahagow — long way to come for nothing, pal. Tranmere at home won't roll over for anyone.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jul 8 (Blyth Spartans AFC)  
Impressive draw in Tranmere's territory. Well done Colin!!
~ Abe ~ Jul 15 (Leeds United)  
 
 
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