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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Finlay Palmer          16    2   18     Gk Alexander Bach          9    2   11
Sw Bryn Gough             15    2   17     Sw Toni Meyer             14    2   16
Df Nestor Omlin           15    2   17     Df Hugo Simons            15    2   17
Df Bassirou Mbaye         13    2   15     Df Radoslaw Kaminski      13    2   15
Df Robert Bak              5    2    7     Df Martin Rodríguez        9   -1    8
Mf Jorge Perez            15    2   17     Df Goronwy Wright          5    2    7
Mf Khaled Balhadj         12    1   13     Df James Aminu             5    2    7
Fw Si-Won Min-woo         15   -2   13     Mf Tomasz Lewandowski     14    2   16
Fw Syam Arfaoui           15    1   16     Mf Denis Fellaini          9   -1    8
Fw Nenad Kovtun           13    1   14     Fw Nii Mingle             19    0   19
Fw Charles Sweeney        16    1   17     Fw Dario Sucic             9   -1    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 39 30 60        ROSTER TOTALS      11 16 54 24 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  3  0  0  1  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 20 39 30 70         T O T A L S       14 16 61 24 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.54 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.59 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.29 (no red card)

Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.2 (no red card)

Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.14 (no red card)

Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.96 (no red card)

Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.68 (no red card)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.97 (no red card)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.43 (no red card)

Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.12 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.23 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 30.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 38.38 (no red card)

Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.87 (no red card)

Df Hugo Simons: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.59 (no red card)

Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.85 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.62 (no red card)

Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.09 (no red card)

Df James Aminu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.62 (no red card)

Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.85 (no red card)

Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.72 (no red card)

Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.8 (no red card)

Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.36 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 27.14 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.32 (no injury) 
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.96 (no injury) 
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.79 (no injury) 
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.4 (no injury) 
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.64 (no injury) 
Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.06 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.36 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.98 (no injury) 
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.84 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.89 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 96.67 (no injury) 
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.87 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Simons: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.86 (no injury) 
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.42 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.29 (no injury) 
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.1 (no injury) 
Df James Aminu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.7 (no injury) 
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.7 (no injury) 
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.56 (no injury) 
Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.57 (no injury) 
Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.32 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Charles Sweeney SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nii Mingle SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 16

     intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       21  20  39  30  70
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    14  16  61  24  27

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 9 (70 - 61); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((30 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 4 ((39 - 27) / 3); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Nestor Omlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Robert Bak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 39.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Robert Bak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Nestor Omlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 54.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 2.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 15.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 63.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    14  16  61  24  27
  Plymouth Argyle FC       21  20  39  30  70

Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 39)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((61 - 70) / 3;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Still, a chance for Plymouth to secure the second spot here!
Abe (Leeds United) 07/15 - 3:26 PM
No one is catching Bristol, the runaway champs. We might as well all play our youth.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/20 - 1:41 AM
Wow this was absolutely crazy.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/26 - 1:29 AM
 
 
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