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Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

QUEENS PARK RANGERS                        PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Toby Barmby            16    2   18     Gk Smahi Regragui         16   -2   14
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul        17    2   19     Sw Tjoris Dumfried        15    2   17
Df Kurt Mörner            14    2   16     Df Hayden Goodwin         16    2   18
Df Hakim Aguerd           13    2   15     Df Abdul Otu              14    2   16
Mf Darrell Sinclair       13    2   15     Df Oribe Vega             17    2   19
Mf Amdy Diedhiou          13    2   15     Mf Miguel López           15    2   17
Fw Sebastiaan Jansen      13    1   14     Mf Angus McKay            13    2   15
Fw Raul Duarte            13    2   15     Fw Eduardo Luna           14    2   16
Fw Mats Göthberg          13    2   15     Fw Sebastian Murillo      12    2   14
Fw Ilarion Novykov        13    1   14     Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan       12    2   14
Fw Fabian Weber           14    2   16     Fw Geovanny Arley          5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 19 31 30 74        ROSTER TOTALS      14 17 53 32 51    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 22 31 30 83         T O T A L S       17 17 53 32 51    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.24 (no red card)

Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.75 (no red card)

Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.54 (no red card)

Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.95 (no red card)

Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.28 (no red card)

Mf Amdy Diedhiou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.04 (no red card)

Fw Sebastiaan Jansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.12 (no red card)

Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.5 (no red card)

Fw Mats Göthberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.05 (no red card)

Fw Ilarion Novykov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.45 (no red card)

Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.34 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.96 (no red card)

Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.01 (no red card)

Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.68 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.35 (no red card)

Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.3 (no red card)

Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.2 (no red card)

Mf Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.2 (no second yellow)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.01 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Murillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.78 (no red card)

Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.86 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.06 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 56.43 (no injury) 
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.25 (no injury) 
Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.42 (no injury) 
Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.14 (no injury) 
Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.09 (no injury) 
Mf Amdy Diedhiou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.21 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastiaan Jansen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.55 (no injury) 
Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.49 (no injury) 
Fw Mats Göthberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.36 (no injury) 
Fw Ilarion Novykov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.11 (no injury) 
Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.34 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 43.56 (no injury) 
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.2 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.89 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.41 (no injury) 
Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.61 (no injury) 
Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.97 (no injury) 
Mf Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.59 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.88 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Murillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.46 (no injury) 
Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.33 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.92 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kurt Mörner SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 16

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oribe Vega SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Toby Barmby SL 16

     intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      18  22  31  30  83
  Preston North End FC     17  17  53  32  51

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 30 (83 - 53); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 30

1: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Ilarion Novykov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 32.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Ilarion Novykov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Ilarion Novykov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     17  17  53  32  51
  Queens Park Rangers      18  22  31  30  83

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 20 (51 - 31); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((32 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 83) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Miguel López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Sebastian Murillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Sebastian Murillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 69 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Sebastian Murillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 70 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
QUEENS PARK RANGERS 1  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 2
 
Match Notes
Ian needs points this session. Lots of them. Will he start off with a first game upset?
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/20 - 2:04 AM
Nice one, Ian!
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 07/22 - 4:03 AM
 
 
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