(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST BRISTOL CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kurt Östman 16 2 18 Gk Alberto Flores 15 2 17
Sw Thiago Boniek 16 0 16 Df Willy Cerfbeer 14 2 16
Df Mbaye Dieng 15 2 17 Df Yahya Cheddira 9 2 11
Df Martin Persson 15 2 17 Df Patrick LecLercq 5 2 7
Df Gualberto Burgos 12 2 14 Mf Isaac Juhlin 15 2 17
Mf Noah Martinez 11 2 13 Mf Thomas Jacobs 9 2 11
Mf Bruno Freda 10 2 12 Fw Julius Nwosu 15 2 17
Fw Atef Omar 16 1 17 Fw Gavin Wright 17 0 17
Fw Keiron Chamberlain 15 2 17 Fw Ulf Helander 13 0 13
Fw Paul Dumont 16 2 18 Fw Mbark Sabiri 10 2 12
Fw Girnot Reus 12 0 12 Fw José Oliveira 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 16 48 25 64 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 34 28 70
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 16 48 25 73 T O T A L S 17 0 34 28 70
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.03 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.03 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.65 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.77 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.65 (no red card)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.01 (no red card)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.57 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.07 (no second yellow)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.52 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.54 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.35 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.87 (no red card)
Fw Girnot Reus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.65 (no red card)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.57 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.32 (no red card)
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.4 (no red card)
Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.48 (no red card)
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.18 (no red card)
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.64 (no red card)
Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.62 (no red card)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.74 (no red card)
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.28 (no red card)
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.29 (no red card)
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.35 (no red card)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 68.82 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.72 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.41 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.64 (no injury)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.39 (no injury)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.03 (no injury)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.42 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.51 (no injury)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.69 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.15 (no injury)
Fw Girnot Reus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.4 (no injury)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 12.26 (no injury)
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.98 (no injury)
Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.85 (no injury)
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.58 (no injury)
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.04 (no injury)
Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.24 (no injury)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.56 (no injury)
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.57 (no injury)
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.83 (no injury)
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.07 (no injury)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.32 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Atef Omar SL 16
- Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 15
intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gavin Wright SL 17
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16
intRndPk = 85
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 16 48 25 73
Bristol City FC 17 0 34 28 70
Bristol City FC is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 20 (73 - 34) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((48 - 70) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 20
1: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 92.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Girnot Reus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.03 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Girnot Reus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 87.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 3.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 70.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 70.28 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Girnot Reus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bristol City FC 17 0 34 28 70
Nottingham Forest 18 16 48 25 73
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 22 (70 - 48); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 73) / 5; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 24
1: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 65.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 76.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 19.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 50.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
23: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 44.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 3 - BRISTOL CITY FC 1
Match Notes
This is a must-win, Steve, to clinch the championship!!
Abe (Leeds United) 07/20 - 3:33 AM
NOT looking for their first ever league title.....can they hold off the evil empire?
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/23 - 12:41 PM
Will we prevent NOT from winning their first title? How could we hand the crown to the Evil Empire (TM)?
Jason (Bristol City FC) 07/26 - 12:07 AM
You know it makes sense, Jason (I also know you will la our best).
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 07/26 - 9:02 AM
that should say "you will do your best"
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 07/26 - 9:28 AM
Only 50% on target but the win means we re almost there. Now the dreaded John Holden.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 07/26 - 6:18 PM
Cracker
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 07/27 - 10:04 AM
Well done, Steve!!
Abe (Leeds United) 07/28 - 2:03 PM
Definitely a cracker (I don't know what those words mean)
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/29 - 12:06 AM