(H)
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRENTFORD FC LEWES FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Jordan Rose 15 2 17 Gk Marcos Cruz 16 2 18
Sw Ricardo Xavier 15 2 17 Sw Nazariy Kozak 15 1 16
Df Martyn Owen 15 2 17 Df Shay Given 14 2 16
Df Dragan Jedjav 14 2 16 Df André Bukari 13 2 15
Df Chad Moore 13 2 15 Df Aaron MacKay 10 2 12
Df Maciek Szymanski 5 2 7 Df Cássio Alisson 5 2 7
Mf Geert De Ketelaere 14 2 16 Mf Faber Ruiz 13 1 14
Mf Shoji Tanaka 14 2 16 Mf Luis Jarquin 9 2 11
Fw Lilian Cazenave 14 2 16 Mf Imed Ahmed 5 2 7
Fw Michael Lagerbäck 13 2 15 Fw Taylor Stevenson 14 1 15
Fw Armin Seuffert 9 2 11 Fw Shinya Soma 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 17 55 32 42 ROSTER TOTALS 18 16 50 32 21
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
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20 17 55 32 51 T O T A L S 20 19 54 32 21
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.49 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.48 (no red card)
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.3 (no red card)
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.13 (no red card)
Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.73 (no red card)
Df Chad Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.67 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.35 (no second yellow)
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.2 (no red card)
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.61 (no red card)
Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.35 (no red card)
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.15 (no red card)
Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.37 (no red card)
Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.68 (no red card)
******* LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 11.23 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 97.45 (no red card)
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.57 (no red card)
Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.05 (no red card)
Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.51 (no red card)
Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.56 (no red card)
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.49 (no red card)
Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.46 (no red card)
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.16 (no red card)
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.22 (no red card)
Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.28 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.29 (no second yellow)
Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.89 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
- Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 60.09 (no injury)
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.64 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 6
Ricardo Xavier is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Ricardo Xavier new match skill level = 8
Ricardo Xavier new match total level = 10
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.0 (no injury)
Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.43 (no injury)
Df Chad Moore: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.63 (no injury)
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.45 (no injury)
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.92 (no injury)
Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.4 (no injury)
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.44 (no injury)
Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.5 (no injury)
Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.8 (no injury)
******* LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 50.45 (no injury)
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.77 (no injury)
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.31 (no injury)
Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.41 (no injury)
Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.19 (no injury)
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.44 (no injury)
Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.62 (no injury)
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.97 (no injury)
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.7 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Imed Ahmed is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Imed Ahmed new match skill level = 3
Imed Ahmed new match total level = 5
Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.67 (no injury)
Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.89 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Martyn Owen SL 15
- Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Shay Given SL 14
- Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 15
intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brentford FC 20 10 55 32 51
Lewes FC 20 19 54 30 21
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (51 - 54)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((32 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 12 ((55 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 84.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 82.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 35.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Df Maciek Szymanski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Df Chad Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 13.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 31.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Df Chad Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 83.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Mf Shoji Tanaka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
******* LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Lewes FC 20 19 54 30 21
Brentford FC 20 10 55 32 51
Lewes FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 55)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 32) / 2; rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 1 ((54 - 51) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Df Cássio Alisson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 89.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
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F I N A L S C O R E
BRENTFORD FC 0 - LEWES FC 1
Match Notes
We are 4 goal under dogs here. Let's see if we can retain the top spot in discipline points shall we?
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/15 - 10:06 PM
Al is in a position to relegate Dave here, if all goes to plan!
Ian (Preston North End FC) 07/16 - 2:44 PM
We look forward to hosting our friend Dave. Still deciding in Big Df or No Sw and Offside Trap.
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/18 - 10:04 PM
Sad comments coming from PNE who most certainly will be relegated.
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/18 - 11:56 PM
Could Dave pull a surprise out the bag predictions say otherwise
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 07/19 - 9:50 PM
Relegators…..MOUNT UP!
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 07/20 - 4:30 AM
Poetic justice
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/20 - 6:40 PM
No surprises here as Genius Dave comes up with the winning strategy to defeat the commish. Well done Dave!
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/20 - 10:59 PM